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Lok. Plovdiv vs Neftchi IK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 90-82
Projected total 172.2
Final 76-72
13-19 23-11 14-23 26-19
Position#23
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game86.0
Vs
73%
27%
■ LOK. 73%■ NEFT 27%
Pythia win probability
Position#45
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game84.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Hristo Bonev
European cup2026
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Lok. Plovdiv will host Neftchi IK on 4 November 2026 in the FIBA Europe Cup, and the contrast is stark: Lok. Plovdiv sits at 2-2 with a 85.2 points per game average and a 26th league position, while Neftchi IK struggles at 1-5, scoring only 74.8 points per game and occupying 45th place. At home, Lok. Plovdiv is unbeaten, winning both of its two home games, averaging 87.0 points and allowing 76.0, whereas Neftchi IK has lost all three of its road outings, averaging 64.0 points and conceding 76.3. In the last five games, Lok. Plovdiv has three wins and two losses, highlighted by a 95-83 victory over Fribourg Olympic, while Neftchi IK has suffered five straight defeats, including a 94-110 loss to VEF Riga. The teams have met once before, with Lok. Plovdiv prevailing. Pythia rates Lok. Plovdiv as the favourite with a 73% chance of winning against Neftchi IK's 27%, projecting a 90-82 score for a total of 172.2 points. The home team's line is -8.0 with a 50% chance of covering, and the over line of 167.0 carries a 62% probability. The game carries a 4% chance of overtime, and Neftchi IK's recent form suggests a cautious approach to the contest.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lok. Plovdiv winWon
72.7%fair 1.37
Best odds1.25
Implied77.8%
Edge-5.0pp
Neftchi IK winLost
27.3%fair 3.67
Best odds4.23
Implied22.2%
Edge+5.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 03 Nov 08:29 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPlovdiv
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
W
84-78
84
78
+6
77avg 83
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
75avg 83
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#11
L
83-106
83
106
-23
72avg 83
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 83
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#9
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
85avg 83
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
67avg 83
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
83avg 83
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#44
W
95-83
95
83
+12
92avg 83
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#4
L
79-88
79
88
-9
66avg 83
A31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-25
26-19
16-16
18-20
21-18
19-22
22-21
27-27
14-26
17-28
25-25
21-15
23-19
29-18
19-21
17-20
26-18
20-15
16-16
24-21
15-19
26-28
22-19
16-14
20-21
24-25
24-26
22-24
22-11
18-20
25-10
24-11
21-20
24-26
26-26
14-25
25-20
17-20
23-23
168.5Avg total
86.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)85.286.0171.2-0.850%
Season at home (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)83.596.0179.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)86.182.4168.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)88.683.4172.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.987.3172.2-2.444%
vs Similar (3)88.782.3171.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)91.278.6169.8+12.591%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
no box
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 71
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 71
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
86-95
86
95
-9
73avg 71
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 71
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
L
61-73
61
73
-12
54avg 71
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#3
L
58-78
58
78
-20
45avg 71
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#11
L
94-110
94
110
-16
85avg 71
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#44
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 71
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
83-99
83
99
-16
72avg 71
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
26-26
21-23
30-22
15-16
22-23
17-19
17-20
26-26
28-20
15-27
25-22
18-26
20-13
22-16
18-19
20-19
19-19
17-21
13-17
12-16
19-25
21-9
4-23
14-21
26-24
30-26
16-30
22-30
18-15
13-20
22-25
20-18
16-23
24-29
25-26
18-21
167.4Avg total
81.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.884.2159.0-9.317%
Season at home (3)85.792.0177.7-6.333%
Season away (3)64.076.3140.3-12.30%
Last 10 (10)81.386.1167.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)73.887.6161.4-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)78.395.7174.0-17.30%
vs Similar (6)81.083.3164.3-2.350%
vs Weaker (3)83.383.3166.7+0.033%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1301%1352%1404%1456%1508%15510%16012%16512%17011%17510%1808%1856%1904%1952%2001%2051%2100%2150%220
1%1302%1406%15010%16012%17010%1806%1902%2001%2100%220
Pythia expects about 172 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%). The market's main line is 168.
Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163
Over 163
71.3%
@ 1.51
Under 163
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.51
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 168 · main lineActual: Under 168
Over 168
59.7%
@ 1.91+9.7pp
Under 168
40.3%
@ 1.91-9.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.80
Over/Under 173Actual: Under 173
Over 173
47.1%
@ 2.26+4.9pp
Under 173
52.9%
@ 1.65-4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathon Be
2.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathon Be
1.49

📊 3. Team Totals

Lok. Plovdiv total 86.5Actual: Lok. Plovdiv under 86.5
Over 86.5
62.9%
@ 1.78+11.2pp
Under 86.5
37.1%
@ 1.90-11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Marathon Be
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Under
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.85
Lok. Plovdiv total 90.5 · main lineActual: Lok. Plovdiv under 90.5
Over 90.5
48.2%
@ 1.93-0.3pp
Under 90.5
51.8%
@ 1.83+0.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.71
Lok. Plovdiv total 94.5Actual: Lok. Plovdiv under 94.5
Over 94.5
33.7%
Under 94.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neftchi IK total 75Actual: Neftchi IK under 75
Over 75
75.7%
Under 75
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neftchi IK total 79 · main lineActual: Neftchi IK under 79
Over 79
61.7%
@ 1.85+11.7pp
Under 79
38.3%
@ 1.85-11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Under
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
Neftchi IK total 83Actual: Neftchi IK under 83
Over 83
46.1%
Under 83
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%1%-241%-211%-182%-153%-125%-97%-67%-35%+010%+310%+610%+99%+127%+156%+185%+214%+243%+272%+301%+331%+360%+39
1%-241%-183%-127%-65%+010%+69%+126%+184%+242%+301%+36
Margin from Lok. Plovdiv's side (positive = Lok. Plovdiv win). Pythia's expected margin is +7.8; Lok. Plovdiv win by 1+ in 67% of simulations.
Spread Lok. Plovdiv -13Actual: Neftchi IK +13
LOK. -13
33.8%
@ 2.40-4.9pp
NEFT +13
66.2%
@ 1.52+4.9pp
Best 5 market prices
LOK.
Bet365
2.40
NEFT
Bet365
1.52
Marathon Be
1.50
Spread Lok. Plovdiv -10 · main lineActual: Neftchi IK +10
LOK. -10
43.1%
@ 1.90-7.0pp
NEFT +10
56.9%
@ 1.91+7.0pp
Best 5 market prices
LOK.
Marathon Be
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.86
NEFT
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Spread Lok. Plovdiv -7Actual: Neftchi IK +7
LOK. -7
53.1%
@ 1.74-8.3pp
NEFT +7
46.9%
@ 2.45+8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
LOK.
SBO
1.74
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Be
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.54
NEFT
Pinnacle
2.45
Bet365
2.22
Marathon Be
2.14
1xBet
2.14
SBO
1.95

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.0-3.0
Lok. PlovdivNeftchi IK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lok. PlovdivLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Balkan
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/06
NBL
Balkan
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A05/06
NBL
VEF Riga
#11
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A11/10
NBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A17/10
NBL
Mykonos
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H24/10
NBL
Fribourg Olympic
#44
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A31/10
NBL
80.4Avg total
41.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84
Last 30 (30)44.641.085.6+3.670%37%
Last 30 at home (13)46.039.485.4+6.685%38%
Last 30 away (17)43.542.285.7+1.459%35%
Last 10 (10)41.239.280.4+2.060%20%
Last 5 (5)40.637.277.8+3.460%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)42.942.084.9+0.962%38%
vs Similar (3)42.337.079.3+5.367%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.640.588.2+7.182%45%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#37
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#3
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#11
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Fribourg Olympic
#44
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSM Oradea
#17
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.2Avg total
42.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84
Last 30 (12)40.842.583.3-1.733%42%
Last 30 at home (6)43.844.888.7-1.033%67%
Last 30 away (6)37.840.278.0-2.333%17%
Last 10 (10)42.142.184.2+0.040%50%
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)45.345.390.7+0.067%67%
vs Similar (6)41.542.584.0-1.033%50%
vs Weaker (3)35.039.774.7-4.70%0%
This opponent (Lok. Plovdiv) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Lok. Plovdiv win
LOK. win
67.7%
@ 1.36-6.8pp
NEFT win
32.3%
@ 3.70+6.8pp
1st half Spread Lok. Plovdiv -5.5 · main lineActual: Lok. Plovdiv -5.5
LOK. -5.5
44.1%
@ 2.00-5.9pp
NEFT +5.5
55.9%
@ 1.91+5.9pp
1st half Over/Under 84 · main lineActual: Under 84
Over
59.1%
@ 1.91+9.2pp
Under
40.9%
@ 1.90-9.2pp
Lok. Plovdiv 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Lok. Plovdiv under 43.5
Over
59.1%
@ 1.83+7.0pp
Under
40.9%
@ 1.98-7.0pp
Neftchi IK 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Neftchi IK under 39.5
Over
59.2%
@ 1.93+11.0pp
Under
40.8%
@ 1.83-11.0pp
1st half: LOK. + total 83.5
LOK. & over
39.7%
@ 2.80+8.6pp
LOK. & under
25.4%
@ 2.65-7.4pp
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
2.5%
@ 31.00-0.3pp
Draw & under
1.3%
@ 29.00-1.7pp
1st half: NEFT + total 83.5
NEFT & over
18.5%
@ 6.00+4.0pp
NEFT & under
12.6%
@ 5.50-3.2pp
1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5
Over
64.1%
@ 1.91+7.9pp
Under
35.9%
@ 2.17-7.9pp
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5
Over
53.2%
@ 2.03+6.3pp
Under
46.8%
@ 1.79-6.3pp
1st half Spread Lok. Plovdiv -6.5Actual: Neftchi IK +6.5
LOK. -6.5
39.9%
@ 2.08-5.8pp
NEFT +6.5
60.1%
@ 1.75+5.8pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Lok. Plovdiv (regulation)
LOK.
65.1%
@ 1.40-1.9pp
Draw
3.8%
@ 17.50-1.4pp
NEFT
31.1%
@ 3.38+3.3pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
LOK. win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
NEFT win + total 168.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LOK. leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEFT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (LOK.:NEFT): LOK. wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Q2: Over 3971.9%1.77
Marathon Bet
1.77
----+19.6ppLost
Q4: Over 3970.5%1.74
Marathon Bet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
---+17.3ppWon
Q2: Neftchi IK over 1870.8%1.70
Marathon Bet
1.70
----+16.4ppLost
Over 162.572.0%1.57
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.49
--+14.0ppLost
1st half: Neftchi IK over 35.579.0%1.36
Bet365
1.36
----+10.9ppLost
1st half: Neftchi IK over 33.586.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+10.2ppLost
Over 157.581.5%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+9.6ppLost
Over 152.588.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16
----+9.2ppLost
Lok. Plovdiv over 76.589.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+8.9ppLost
Lok. Plovdiv over 77.587.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+8.8ppLost
1st half: Neftchi IK over 31.591.7%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+8.6ppLost
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv over 39.579.0%1.32
Bet365
1.32
----+8.6ppLost
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv over 37.586.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+8.2ppLost
Neftchi IK over 69.588.6%1.15
Bet365
1.15
----+8.1ppWon
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv over 41.570.0%1.50
Bet365
1.50
----+7.5ppLost
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv over 35.591.3%1.11
Bet365
1.11
----+7.5ppWon
1st half: Neftchi IK over 29.595.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+7.4ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv over 74.592.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+7.3ppWon
Neftchi IK over 68.590.3%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+7.3ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv over 72.594.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+7.1ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv over 68.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.0ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv over 67.598.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+7.0ppWon
Over 147.593.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+7.0ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv over 70.596.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+7.0ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv over 18.580.2%1.27
Bet365
1.27
----+6.8ppLost
Neftchi IK over 66.593.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+6.6ppWon
Neftchi IK over 64.595.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+6.6ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv over 16.589.7%1.12
Bet365
1.12
----+6.6ppLost
Lok. Plovdiv over 66.598.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.6ppWon
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv over 33.594.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+6.5ppWon
Over 142.596.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+6.5ppWon
Neftchi IK over 62.597.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.5ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv over 12.597.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.4ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv over 14.595.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05
----+6.3ppLost
Neftchi IK over 60.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.1ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK over 17.573.0%1.38
Bet365
1.38
----+6.1ppWon
Neftchi IK over 59.598.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.9ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK over 11.596.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+5.7ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK over 15.584.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18
----+5.6ppWon
Neftchi IK over 58.599.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.3ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK over 13.592.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07
----+5.0ppWon
Neftchi IK +32.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.6ppWon
Overtime: no96.1%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.1pp-
Neftchi IK +27.594.1%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.9ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv under 107.595.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+3.8ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv +17.596.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.8ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv under 32.597.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.7ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK under 29.596.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+3.5ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv or Neftchi IK94.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+3.5pp-
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv under 30.593.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.1ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv +12.593.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03
----+3.0ppWon
Neftchi IK under 99.594.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+2.8ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK under 27.591.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+2.0ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv +2.577.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+1.3ppWon
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv under 53.587.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+1.2ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv +7.587.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+1.1ppWon
Neftchi IK +22.586.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+0.7ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv under 28.587.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+0.6ppWon
Under 192.589.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----0.0ppWon
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv under 51.581.1%1.14
Bet365
1.14
-----0.4ppWon
Neftchi IK +17.577.3%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----0.5ppWon
1st half: Neftchi IK under 49.588.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----0.6ppWon
Q1: Lok. Plovdiv under 26.577.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20
-----0.6ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK under 25.583.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11
-----0.9ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv (regulation)70.5%1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
----2.5ppWon
1st half: Lok. Plovdiv under 49.572.5%1.23
Bet365
1.23
-----2.8ppWon
Q1: Neftchi IK under 23.571.9%1.25
Bet365
1.25
-----2.8ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv under 97.575.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----3.0ppWon
Neftchi IK under 89.575.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----3.0ppWon
Under 187.582.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09
-----3.2ppWon
1st half: Neftchi IK under 47.581.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----3.6ppWon
Lok. Plovdiv win72.7%1.22
WilliamHill
1.25
SBO
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathon Bet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
-5.0ppWon
1st half: Neftchi IK under 45.573.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18
-----5.1ppWon
Under 182.574.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16
-----5.2ppWon
Over 160.576.0%1.41
Marathon Bet
1.41
-----Lost
Over 16175.5%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.42
-----Lost
Lok. Plovdiv or draw75.1%1.16
Marathon Bet
1.16
------
Over 161.574.0%1.45
Marathon Bet
1.45
-----Lost
Over 16273.5%1.47
Marathon Bet
1.47
-----Lost
Neftchi IK +15.572.5%1.35
Marathon Bet
1.35
-----Won
Neftchi IK +1571.8%1.37
Marathon Bet
1.37
-----Won
Over 16371.3%1.51
Marathon Bet
1.51
-----Lost
Lok. Plovdiv -1.570.6%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33
-----Won
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lok. Plovdivtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lok. Plovdiv: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.7
54.6%
53.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.4
31.5%
32.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
72.8%17.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.7
54.5%
53.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.5
35.2%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
72.8%12.0
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lok. Plovdiv
LWWLWWWLLW
Neftchi IK
LLLLLWLLWW
#23
League position
#45
+6.2
Net rating
-5.8
96.7
Offensive rating
97.7
90.5
Defensive rating
103.5
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.5%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.5%
3-point %
35.2%
58.8%
Assist %
59.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 97.7Defence90.5 · 103.5Shooting51.5% · 53.7%3-point %31.5% · 35.2%Ball care13.5% · 16.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Lok. Plovdiv   ■ Neftchi IK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lok. Plovdiv wins
0
Neftchi IK wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ARilski Sportist79-88
28/10/26HFribourg Olympic95-83
24/10/26HPolytechnica87-65
20/10/26AMykonos84-86
17/10/26ABeroe98-95 OT
14/10/26HCSM Oradea79-69
11/10/26ASpartak Pleven92-73
07/10/26AVEF Riga83-106
05/06/26ABalkan80-81
01/06/26HBalkan84-78
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HCSM Oradea83-99
21/10/26AFribourg Olympic73-78
14/10/26HVEF Riga94-110
06/10/26AMykonos58-78
30/09/26AParnu61-73
23/09/26HParnu80-67
19/11/25HAbsheron Lions86-95
12/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
05/11/25HTrefl Sopot92-87
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lok. Plovdiv
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game85.287.083.5
Allowed / game86.076.096.0
Point differential-0.8+11.0-12.5
Avg total171.2163.0179.5
Over 16875%50%100%
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game74.885.764.0
Allowed / game84.292.076.3
Point differential-9.3-6.3-12.3
Avg total159.0177.7140.3
Over 16833%67%0%
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor550100%96.272.0+24.2
2 Trier440100%95.575.5+20.0
3 Mykonos550100%84.874.8+10.0
4 Basquet Girona54180%91.273.2+18.0
5 Nancy54180%84.469.8+14.6
6 Korfez Basket54180%84.673.4+11.2
7 Bakken Bears54180%82.681.2+1.4
8 Chalon/Saone43175%86.872.2+14.5
9 Benfica43175%93.887.0+6.8
10 Trepca43175%83.877.5+6.2
11 Szczecin43175%87.282.2+5.0
12 AEK Larnaca43175%84.280.2+4.0
13 Dziki Warszawa43175%86.283.0+3.2
14 Wurzburg53260%85.875.4+10.4
15 Kolossos Rhodes53260%77.467.8+9.6
16 CSM Oradea53260%86.480.4+6.0
17 Keravnos53260%79.879.0+0.8
18 Split53260%81.681.0+0.6
19 Sporting CP53260%76.879.2-2.4
20 Dinamo Bucharest63350%87.577.7+9.8
21 BC Prievidza63350%89.882.7+7.2
22 VEF Riga42250%97.090.0+7.0
23 Iraklis42250%84.879.8+5.0
24 Promitheas42250%86.882.0+4.8
25 Geneva Lions42250%86.882.8+4.0
26 BC Kalev/Cramo42250%82.883.2-0.5
27 Lok. Plovdiv42250%85.286.0-0.8
28 Oostende42250%78.280.0-1.8
29 Szolnoki Olaj42250%80.585.2-4.8
30 Zielona Gora42250%77.285.0-7.8
31 Denizli Basket52340%83.283.0+0.2
32 Levice52340%73.279.6-6.4
33 Tartu Ulikool52340%88.8101.4-12.6
34 Parnu62433%72.877.3-4.5
35 Manchester Basketball31233%77.392.0-14.7
36 Gence31233%64.779.7-15.0
37 Opava41325%82.582.0+0.5
38 Vienna Basket41325%78.282.5-4.2
39 Valmiera Glass Via41325%80.287.2-7.0
40 SCM Craiova41325%85.294.5-9.2
41 Bashkimi41325%72.882.8-10.0
42 Absheron Lions41325%87.297.5-10.2
43 Fribourg Olympic41325%73.285.2-12.0
44 Nitra Blue Wings41325%75.288.8-13.5
45 Neftchi IK61517%74.884.2-9.3
46 MZT Skopje4040%73.282.8-9.5
47 Rilski Sportist4040%73.292.0-18.8
48 Batumi5050%68.894.6-25.8
49 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lok. Plovdiv1323142676
Neftchi IK1911231972
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