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Louisiana Lafayette vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-54
0-0 34-18 0-0 33-36
Position#320
Record9-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game62.9
Allowed / game69.9
Louisiana Lafayette 🏆
USA
vs
Texas State
USA
Position#125
Record18-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game71.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State
21 Feb 2026
LOUI67
TEXA54
23 Jan 2025
LOUI74
TEXA89
28 Jan 2024
LOUI66
TEXA46
05 Mar 2023
LOUI64
TEXA58
02 Feb 2023
LOUI82
TEXA63
10 Feb 2022
LOUI73
TEXA82
02 Jan 2021
LOUI59
TEXA71
01 Jan 2021
LOUI83
TEXA77
18 Jan 2020
LOUI59
TEXA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A15/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A17/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H31/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A16/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
62-79
62
79
-17
H20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-29
0-0
32-30
0-0
26-25
0-0
33-31
0-0
30-31
0-0
28-41
0-0
46-28
0-0
36-44
0-0
29-29
0-0
40-31
0-0
29-32
0-0
35-29
0-0
38-42
0-0
47-38
0-0
29-36
0-0
36-33
0-0
33-34
0-0
39-49
0-0
33-36
0-0
29-43
136.1Avg total
67.0Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)62.969.9132.8-7.032%
Season at home (14)66.768.5135.2-1.843%
Season away (14)59.171.3130.4-12.221%
Last 10 (10)67.069.1136.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)69.674.4144.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)59.971.0130.9-11.118%
vs Similar (5)72.067.8139.8+4.280%
vs Weaker (3)68.764.0132.7+4.767%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
81-64
81
64
+17
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
90-82 OT
90
82
+8
A20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-28
0-0
47-39
0-0
27-32
0-0
43-40
0-0
28-47
0-0
29-35
0-0
39-29
0-0
33-39
0-0
42-33
0-0
39-31
0-0
30-31
0-0
47-40
0-0
36-25
0-0
41-36
0-0
36-29
0-0
38-33
0-0
45-43
0-0
50-41
0-0
40-33
0-0
35-42
148.0Avg total
76.7Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.071.2146.2+3.762%
Season at home (17)77.765.4143.1+12.388%
Season away (12)71.179.5150.6-8.425%
Last 10 (10)76.771.3148.0+5.480%
Last 5 (5)82.672.0154.6+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.083.0131.0-35.00%
vs Similar (16)72.976.6149.5-3.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.563.2141.7+15.285%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
Louisiana LafayetteTexas State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#125
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A15/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A17/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H31/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A05/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A16/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H20/02
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.5Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.731.860.5-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.232.764.9-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)25.230.956.1-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.263.7-0.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.068.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)27.032.759.7-5.818%-
vs Similar (5)34.828.663.4+6.280%-
vs Weaker (3)31.330.061.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H17/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A23/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A24/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H29/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A05/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H07/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A20/02
NCAA
68.0Avg total
35.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.332.868.1+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.730.266.9+6.572%-
Last 30 away (12)33.236.669.8-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.068.0+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.269.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (16)32.235.767.9-3.519%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.628.668.2+11.0100%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Louisiana Lafayette wins
3
Texas State wins
DateGameScore
15/01/26Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette59-54
31/01/25Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette61-70
23/01/25Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State74-89
28/01/24Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State66-46
18/01/24Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette68-86
06/03/23Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State64-58
03/02/23Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State82-63
21/01/23Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette51-60
05/03/22Texas State v Louisiana Lafayette72-79
11/02/22Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State73-82
Louisiana Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HArkansas State62-79
16/02/26AOld Dominion72-83
13/02/26HCoastal Carolina65-69
07/02/26HCentral Michigan85-80
05/02/26AJames Madison64-61
31/01/26HGeorgia Southern69-60
30/01/26HGeorgia State82-72
22/01/26AAppalachian State58-72
17/01/26ASouth Alabama59-56
15/01/26ATexas State54-59
Texas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ASouth Alabama90-82 OT
14/02/26HLouisiana Monroe95-84
12/02/26HTroy74-62
07/02/26HWestern Michigan77-61
05/02/26AGeorgia Southern77-71
31/01/26HOld Dominion81-64
29/01/26HMarshall72-68
24/01/26AJames Madison57-82
23/01/26ACoastal Carolina70-72
17/01/26HSouthern Miss74-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL32%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayLWLWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%43%21%
Points / game62.966.759.1
Allowed / game69.968.571.3
Point differential-7.0-1.8-12.2
Avg total132.8135.2130.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW62%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %62%88%25%
Points / game75.077.771.1
Allowed / game71.265.479.5
Point differential+3.7+12.3-8.4
Avg total146.2143.1150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)80% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %10%6%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy28181064%81.574.7+6.8
2 Marshall28181064%80.976.8+4.1
3 Appalachian State29181162%71.965.3+6.6
4 Texas State29181162%75.071.2+3.7
5 Arkansas State28171161%82.477.0+5.4
6 South Alabama28171161%74.370.6+3.8
7 Coastal Carolina28161257%73.271.9+1.3
8 Georgia Southern28151354%80.579.4+1.1
9 James Madison28151354%73.774.2-0.6
10 Southern Miss28141450%73.473.3+0.1
11 Old Dominion28101836%74.876.6-1.9
12 Georgia State28101836%70.373.9-3.6
13 Louisiana Lafayette2891932%62.969.9-7.0
14 Louisiana Monroe2842414%72.383.1-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Louisiana Lafayette03403367
Texas State01803654
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