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Louisiana Lafayette vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-46
30-24 36-22
Position#147
Record12-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game72.7
vs
Position#214
Record7-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State
21 Feb 2026
LOUI67
TEXA54
23 Jan 2025
LOUI74
TEXA89
28 Jan 2024
LOUI66
TEXA46
05 Mar 2023
LOUI64
TEXA58
02 Feb 2023
LOUI82
TEXA63
10 Feb 2022
LOUI73
TEXA82
02 Jan 2021
LOUI59
TEXA71
01 Jan 2021
LOUI83
TEXA77
18 Jan 2020
LOUI59
TEXA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Lafayette winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A17/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
84-67
84
67
+17
A23/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A13/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A18/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
39-46
40-26
44-41
25-39
36-36
23-22
38-46
40-36
45-41
30-37
43-42
42-37
42-40
44-29
42-39
37-34
51-45
41-28
40-47
151.4Avg total
77.5Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.072.7150.7+5.360%
Season at home (9)79.766.2145.9+13.489%
Season away (11)76.677.9154.5-1.336%
Last 10 (10)77.573.9151.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)82.475.6158.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.671.9138.5-5.212%
vs Similar (10)77.476.6154.0+0.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.366.2143.5+11.191%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#550
W
110-68
110
68
+42
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
65-82
65
82
-17
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
82-85
82
85
-3
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A25/01
NCAA
1H
2H
53-30
57-38
18-29
19-43
28-36
37-46
31-33
32-38
40-37
35-42
39-38
43-47
33-29
34-25
29-44
39-42
36-43
36-36
34-39
31-39
145.8Avg total
70.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.872.0141.8-2.135%
Season at home (9)75.870.7146.4+5.133%
Season away (11)65.073.0138.0-8.036%
Last 10 (10)70.475.4145.8-5.020%
Last 5 (5)70.876.4147.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.675.9137.5-14.38%
vs Similar (13)72.868.4141.2+4.562%
vs Weaker (4)86.862.8149.5+24.075%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -3.3-3.3
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -3.3-3.3
Louisiana LafayetteTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
McNeese State
#7
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A17/12
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A23/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A30/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H05/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/01
NCAA
Texas State
#214
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A18/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H26/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
35.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.731.367.0+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.128.366.3+9.880%-
Last 30 away (15)33.334.367.7-1.053%-
Last 10 (10)35.531.667.1+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.071.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)27.232.659.9-5.438%-
vs Similar (10)36.334.170.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.227.867.0+11.491%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Tourneau
#550
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H19/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A22/12
NCAA
James Madison
#6
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#330
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/01
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#302
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H18/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Troy
#98
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A25/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
34.1Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.833.465.1-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.233.466.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)30.533.463.9-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)34.135.869.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.672.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.236.764.8-8.50%-
vs Similar (13)33.431.464.8+2.062%-
vs Weaker (4)38.229.067.2+9.275%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/24HArkansas State81-75
20/01/24ASouth Alabama88-79
18/01/24ATexas State86-68
13/01/24AArkansas State84-77
11/01/24ATroy73-79
07/01/24HCoastal Carolina85-77
05/01/24HJames Madison61-68
30/12/23AMarshall61-75
23/12/23ARice84-67
17/12/23AMcNeese State72-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24ATroy65-78
20/01/24HArkansas State72-79
18/01/24HLouisiana Lafayette68-86
13/01/24ALouisiana Monroe67-54
12/01/24AArkansas State82-85
06/01/24HMarshall75-79
05/01/24HCoastal Carolina63-71
30/12/23AJames Madison65-82
22/12/23AHouston37-72
19/12/23HLe Tourneau110-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeWWLWW89%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %60%89%36%
Points / game78.079.776.6
Allowed / game72.766.277.9
Point differential+5.3+13.4-1.3
Avg total150.7145.9154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%56%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL35%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %35%33%36%
Points / game69.875.865.0
Allowed / game72.070.773.0
Point differential-2.1+5.1-8.0
Avg total141.8146.4138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison2118386%85.069.4+15.6
2 Appalachian State2117481%77.864.3+13.5
3 Troy2113862%80.069.8+10.2
4 Louisiana Lafayette2012860%78.072.7+5.3
5 Southern Miss2112957%70.170.8-0.7
6 Marshall22111150%75.476.0-0.6
7 South Alabama21101148%74.277.7-3.5
8 Georgia State2091145%78.975.1+3.8
9 Arkansas State2081240%78.178.6-0.5
10 Texas State2071335%69.872.0-2.1
11 Louisiana Monroe1861233%68.672.8-4.2
12 Coastal Carolina2061430%75.078.1-3.0
13 Old Dominion2151624%71.677.3-5.8
14 Georgia Southern2151624%70.478.9-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisiana Lafayette303666
Texas State242246
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