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Louisiana Lafayette vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 73-82
36-41 37-41
Position#188
Record10-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#40
Record15-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Louisiana Lafayette v Texas State
21 Feb 2026
LOUI67
TEXA54
23 Jan 2025
LOUI74
TEXA89
28 Jan 2024
LOUI66
TEXA46
05 Mar 2023
LOUI64
TEXA58
02 Feb 2023
LOUI82
TEXA63
10 Feb 2022
LOUI73
TEXA82
02 Jan 2021
LOUI59
TEXA71
01 Jan 2021
LOUI83
TEXA77
18 Jan 2020
LOUI59
TEXA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisiana Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A01/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
H07/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A15/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
70-77
70
77
-7
H21/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
65-66
65
66
-1
H30/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
75-51
75
51
+24
A04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
28-35
35-30
38-43
33-39
40-44
32-32
36-40
26-20
44-57
30-28
39-31
34-35
30-33
29-32
36-34
24-19
51-32
23-34
35-33
137.4Avg total
69.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)70.168.1138.3+2.048%
Season at home (10)74.967.6142.5+7.360%
Season away (11)65.868.6134.5-2.836%
Last 10 (10)69.068.4137.4+0.640%
Last 5 (5)66.262.2128.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)66.473.4139.9-7.014%
vs Similar (16)72.171.2143.4+0.956%
vs Weaker (6)74.068.0142.0+6.050%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
80-56
80
56
+24
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-45
25-35
24-33
39-45
51-33
29-23
32-32
40-36
43-24
26-35
32-32
28-35
21-36
37-34
26-29
32-24
41-29
27-37
29-29
40-35
130.5Avg total
64.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.063.4134.3+7.671%
Season at home (11)74.257.0131.2+17.291%
Season away (10)67.470.4137.8-3.050%
Last 10 (10)64.466.1130.5-1.760%
Last 5 (5)62.664.0126.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (9)67.168.7135.8-1.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)71.859.0130.8+12.985%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: -1.6-1.6
Louisiana LafayetteTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A01/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A15/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H21/01
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H23/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H28/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H30/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
24-19
24
19
+5
A04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A05/02
NCAA
60.1Avg total
30.3Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.865.2-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.531.665.2+1.954%-
Last 30 away (17)31.533.765.2-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)30.329.860.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)28.029.657.6-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.634.365.9-2.743%-
vs Similar (16)31.832.664.4-0.844%-
vs Weaker (6)33.533.366.8+0.267%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#9
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#99
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/02
NCAA
64.3Avg total
32.1Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.828.762.6+5.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.326.962.2+8.367%-
Last 30 away (12)31.731.463.1+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)32.132.264.3-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)29.831.060.8-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (9)32.329.261.6+3.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)35.127.762.8+7.460%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Louisiana Lafayette wins
4
Texas State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22AArkansas State58-67
04/02/22AUALR75-51
30/01/22HGeorgia Southern65-66
28/01/22HGeorgia State64-68
23/01/22HTroy69-59
21/01/22HSouth Alabama70-77
15/01/22ATexas State68-72
14/01/22AUT Arlington73-83
07/01/22HArkansas State83-77 OT
01/01/22ACoastal Carolina65-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-64
03/02/22HAppalachian State68-66
29/01/22HUT Arlington58-53
28/01/22AUT Arlington58-70
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67
21/01/22AUALR69-59
15/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-68
14/01/22HLouisiana Monroe80-56
31/12/21HTroy63-78
23/12/21AHouston47-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL48%
HomeWLWLL60%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game70.174.965.8
Allowed / game68.167.668.6
Point differential+2.0+7.3-2.8
Avg total138.3142.5134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%91%50%
Points / game71.074.267.4
Allowed / game63.457.070.4
Point differential+7.6+17.2-3.0
Avg total134.3131.2137.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%55%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2115671%71.063.4+7.6
2 Troy2417771%71.165.5+5.6
3 Arkansas State2215768%73.068.0+5.0
4 South Alabama2315865%73.364.3+9.0
5 Appalachian State26161062%67.362.7+4.6
6 James Madison23131057%77.372.5+4.8
7 Georgia State2011955%71.565.8+5.7
8 Coastal Carolina23121152%73.365.5+7.7
9 Louisiana Monroe25131252%72.873.6-0.8
10 Georgia Southern22111150%67.163.3+3.8
11 Louisiana Lafayette21101148%70.168.1+2.0
12 Old Dominion2491538%65.867.2-1.4
13 Marshall2481633%74.276.9-2.6
14 Southern Miss2361726%62.972.4-9.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisiana Lafayette363773
Texas State414182
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