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Louisville vs Miami (FL) Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 20 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#156
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#92
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game59.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Louisville v Miami (FL)
19 Jan 2027
LOUI v MIAM
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
LOUI88
MIAM78
04 Dec 2022
LOUI53
MIAM80
16 Feb 2022
LOUI63
MIAM70
07 Jan 2020
LOUI74
MIAM58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A12/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H19/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A21/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#214
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#238
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Memphis
#142
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
40-42
39-21
38-41
46-37
46-52
26-26
36-32
38-37
35-41
37-27
46-52
31-36
38-41
56-35
28-35
46-33
61-24
–
–
154.8Avg total
80.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.775.0164.7+14.767%
Season at home (2)95.563.5159.0+32.0100%
Season away (1)78.098.0176.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)80.074.8154.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)62.583.5146.0-21.00%
vs Similar (7)74.780.3155.0-5.629%
vs Weaker (21)86.371.6158.0+14.781%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A13/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A22/03
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A02/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
83-57
83
57
+26
H07/11
NCAA
North Florida
#332
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H10/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#245
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
39-38
37-46
52-46
37-38
41-35
23-38
39-46
27-26
53-40
40-38
29-41
36-46
31-31
34-21
49-36
44-25
45-26
54-26
40-26
148.8Avg total
78.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.259.2142.5+24.075%
Season at home (3)88.753.3142.0+35.3100%
Season away (1)67.077.0144.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)78.870.0148.8+8.860%
Last 5 (5)80.463.2143.6+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)74.078.1152.1-4.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.069.0152.0+14.086%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +5.3+5.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +5.3+5.3
LouisvilleMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H19/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#214
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#238
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
39.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.333.473.8+6.959%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.631.272.8+10.475%-
Last 30 away (13)38.836.274.9+2.638%-
Last 10 (9)39.332.271.6+7.167%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.675.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)37.538.075.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (7)35.034.769.7+0.343%-
vs Weaker (20)42.532.575.0+10.065%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H07/03
NCAA
Louisville
#53
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/03
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A13/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H21/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A22/03
NCAA
Florida
#52
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A02/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H07/11
NCAA
North Florida
#332
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H10/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#245
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H13/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.774.1+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.834.774.4+5.150%-
Last 30 away (12)36.237.273.5-1.058%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.570.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.272.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)35.939.575.4-3.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.334.373.6+5.059%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Louisville wins
5
Miami (FL) wins
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMemphis78-98
07/11/26HMorehead State107-57
03/11/26HChattanooga Mocs84-70
21/03/26AMichigan State69-77
19/03/26HSouth Florida83-79
12/03/26AMiami (FL)73-78
11/03/26HSMU Mustangs62-58
07/03/26AMiami (FL)92-89
04/03/26HSyracuse77-62
28/02/26AClemson75-80
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HNorth Alabama94-52
10/11/26HNorth Florida89-51
07/11/26HWagner83-57
02/11/26AFlorida67-77
22/03/26APurdue69-79
21/03/26HMissouri80-66
13/03/26AVirginia62-84
12/03/26HLouisville78-73
07/03/26HLouisville89-92
05/03/26ASMU Mustangs77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game89.795.578.0
Allowed / game75.063.598.0
Point differential+14.7+32.0-20.0
Avg total164.7159.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game83.288.767.0
Allowed / game59.253.377.0
Point differential+24.0+35.3-10.0
Avg total142.5142.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
2 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
3 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
4 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
5 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
6 Boston College440100%74.053.5+20.5
7 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
8 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
9 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
10 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
11 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
12 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
13 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
14 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
15 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
16 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
17 Louisville32167%89.775.0+14.7
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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