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Louisville vs Miami (FL) Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-78
46-38 42-40
Position#26
Record17-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#344
Record5-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game79.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Miami (FL)
19 Jan 2027
LOUI v MIAM
upcoming
08 Feb 2025
LOUI88
MIAM78
04 Dec 2022
LOUI53
MIAM80
16 Feb 2022
LOUI63
MIAM70
07 Jan 2020
LOUI74
MIAM58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami (FL) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
82-78
82
78
+4
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
46-39
32-27
38-23
42-35
32-29
35-34
47-44
43-27
42-34
39-28
42-39
50-27
48-46
45-21
27-38
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
145.6Avg total
79.9Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.869.1147.9+9.774%
Season at home (13)75.568.6144.1+6.869%
Season away (10)83.269.7152.9+13.580%
Last 10 (10)79.965.7145.6+14.290%
Last 5 (5)81.066.8147.8+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.081.3148.3-14.30%
vs Similar (9)74.074.9148.9-0.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.965.1145.9+15.886%
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
85-86
85
86
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
54-89
54
89
-35
A15/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
74-117
74
117
-43
H18/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
51-88
51
88
-37
A23/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-29
27-49
39-40
46-46
25-39
40-41
31-39
47-49
26-50
28-39
26-60
48-57
21-37
30-51
39-47
40-32
29-40
42-42
25-36
38-21
156.6Avg total
70.3Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.979.6154.5-4.723%
Season at home (13)78.576.9155.4+1.538%
Season away (9)69.783.4153.1-13.80%
Last 10 (10)70.386.3156.6-16.010%
Last 5 (5)70.688.4159.0-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.779.8151.6-8.120%
vs Similar (8)72.580.4152.9-7.90%
vs Weaker (2)84.571.5156.0+13.050%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: -11.5-11.52nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -4.1-4.1
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.4+11.41st half: -11.5-11.52nd half2nd half: +2.8+2.82nd half: -4.1-4.1
LouisvilleMiami (FL)
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
40.2Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.933.269.1+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.633.469.1+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)36.332.969.2+3.469%-
Last 10 (10)40.228.869.0+11.4100%-
Last 5 (5)42.626.869.4+15.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.940.071.9-8.129%-
vs Similar (9)35.734.670.2+1.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.128.967.1+9.279%-
This opponent (Miami (FL)) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami (FL)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#298
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H09/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A15/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
26-60
26
60
-34
H18/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A23/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H30/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H02/02
NCAA
71.9Avg total
30.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.937.571.4-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.835.671.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)31.839.671.4-7.97%-
Last 10 (10)30.241.771.9-11.510%-
Last 5 (5)28.044.072.0-16.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.237.569.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (8)35.138.873.9-3.625%-
vs Weaker (2)46.032.078.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisville wins
4
Miami (FL) wins
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
29/01/25HWake Forest72-59
22/01/25ASMU Mustangs98-73
18/01/25HVirginia81-67
15/01/25ASyracuse85-61
11/01/25APittsburgh82-78
08/01/25HClemson74-64
04/01/25AVirginia70-50
01/01/25HNorth Carolina83-70
Miami (FL)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25HNotre Dame63-57
30/01/25HVirginia71-82
26/01/25ACalifornia94-98 OT
23/01/25AStanford51-88
18/01/25HSMU Mustangs74-117
15/01/25ADuke54-89
11/01/25HWake Forest78-88
09/01/25HFlorida State65-80
04/01/25AVirginia Tech85-86
01/01/25ABoston College68-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW74%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %74%69%80%
Points / game78.875.583.2
Allowed / game69.168.669.7
Point differential+9.7+6.8+13.5
Avg total147.9144.1152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%54%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%10%
Miami (FL)
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %23%38%0%
Points / game74.978.569.7
Allowed / game79.676.983.4
Point differential-4.7+1.5-13.8
Avg total154.5155.4153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%8%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2220291%80.559.8+20.7
2 SMU Mustangs2318578%82.871.5+11.3
3 Clemson2318578%77.367.1+10.2
4 Louisville2317674%78.869.1+9.7
5 Wake Forest2317674%70.166.5+3.6
6 Stanford2315865%75.870.8+5.0
7 Pittsburgh2214864%78.571.0+7.5
8 Florida State2314961%76.770.9+5.8
9 North Carolina23131057%81.276.7+4.5
10 California23121152%75.275.0+0.3
11 Georgia Tech23111248%75.173.7+1.4
12 Virginia23111248%63.764.9-1.1
13 Virginia Tech24111346%70.072.6-2.6
14 Boston College22101245%70.575.7-5.3
15 Notre Dame23101343%72.769.7+3.0
16 Syracuse23101343%73.377.3-4.0
17 NC State2291341%69.367.6+1.7
18 Miami (FL)2251723%74.979.6-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville464288
Miami (FL)384078
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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