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Virginia vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 64-52
35-23 29-29
Position#135
Record11-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game62.5
Allowed / game59.7
vs
Position#265
Record11-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Virginia v Louisville
04 Jan 2025
VIRG50
LOUI70
03 Jan 2024
VIRG77
LOUI53
04 Mar 2023
VIRG75
LOUI60
09 Mar 2022
VIRG51
LOUI50
24 Jan 2022
VIRG64
LOUI52
06 Feb 2021
VIRG v LOUI
upcoming
07 Mar 2020
VIRG57
LOUI54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#178
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
82-49
82
49
+33
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A05/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H15/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
14-24
35-28
34-19
48-30
27-35
23-32
33-33
41-36
36-37
39-28
25-31
33-43
25-23
29-29
29-27
26-36
29-25
37-36
32-43
31-34
125.5Avg total
62.6Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)62.559.7122.2+2.758%
Season at home (10)63.257.5120.7+5.760%
Season away (9)61.762.2123.9-0.656%
Last 10 (10)62.662.9125.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)59.265.4124.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)57.666.2123.8-8.620%
vs Similar (12)61.361.2122.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)66.457.3123.7+9.185%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#149
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H14/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A09/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
70-82
70
82
-12
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-31
44-29
37-46
35-36
26-31
47-38
31-28
36-36
35-32
40-40
40-50
30-29
27-35
36-44
24-28
29-37
30-28
37-26
45-38
25-44
140.2Avg total
69.6Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)69.367.8137.2+1.558%
Season at home (11)71.267.7138.9+3.564%
Season away (8)66.868.0134.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)69.670.6140.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)64.671.8136.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)69.571.0140.5-1.540%
vs Similar (18)66.666.7133.3-0.261%
vs Weaker (2)74.571.5146.0+3.050%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +0.0+0.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.3-1.31st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +1.0+1.02nd half: +0.0+0.0
VirginiaLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#178
L
14-24
14
24
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H23/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A05/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H13/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H15/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/01
NCAA
58.1Avg total
28.4Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.529.458.9+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.028.059.0+3.069%-
Last 30 away (14)27.930.958.8-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)28.429.758.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)28.029.857.8-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)26.432.258.6-5.840%-
vs Similar (12)28.931.760.6-2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)31.326.257.5+5.277%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SE Louisiana
#149
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H14/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#129
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#50
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A02/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A09/01
NCAA
NC State
#297
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A15/01
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H20/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/01
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.365.8+1.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.731.765.4+2.071%-
Last 30 away (13)33.133.266.2-0.154%-
Last 10 (10)33.734.768.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.235.869.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.334.568.8-0.250%-
vs Similar (18)32.931.063.9+1.972%-
vs Weaker (2)33.533.567.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
06/03/21Louisville v Virginia58-68
07/03/20Virginia v Louisville57-54
08/02/20Louisville v Virginia80-73
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22ANC State63-77
20/01/22APittsburgh66-61
15/01/22HWake Forest55-63
13/01/22HVirginia Tech54-52
08/01/22ANorth Carolina58-74
05/01/22AClemson75-65
01/01/22ASyracuse74-69
23/12/21HClemson50-67
18/12/21HFairleigh Dickinson82-49
07/12/21AJames Madison49-52
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/22HNotre Dame70-82
20/01/22HBoston College67-54
15/01/22APittsburgh53-65
13/01/22HNC State63-79
09/01/22AFlorida State70-79
06/01/22HPittsburgh75-72
02/01/22AGeorgia Tech67-64
30/12/21HWake Forest73-69
18/12/21AWestern Kentucky72-82
14/12/21HSE Louisiana86-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL58%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game62.563.261.7
Allowed / game59.757.562.2
Point differential+2.7+5.7-0.6
Avg total122.2120.7123.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL58%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %58%64%50%
Points / game69.371.266.8
Allowed / game67.867.768.0
Point differential+1.5+3.5-1.2
Avg total137.2138.9134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1815383%82.665.6+17.0
2 Wake Forest2117481%79.667.9+11.7
3 SMU Mustangs1814478%76.667.9+8.7
4 Miami (FL)1914574%75.971.7+4.2
5 Florida State1813572%73.668.5+5.1
6 North Carolina1812667%77.972.6+5.3
7 Notre Dame1812667%71.666.6+5.0
8 Stanford1711665%69.670.1-0.5
9 Clemson1911858%73.266.8+6.4
10 Virginia1911858%62.559.7+2.7
11 Louisville1911858%69.367.8+1.5
12 Virginia Tech1810856%69.159.8+9.3
13 NC State20101050%75.273.7+1.6
14 Syracuse1991047%77.775.9+1.8
15 California1991047%64.964.5+0.5
16 Boston College1881044%66.566.9-0.4
17 Georgia Tech1871139%69.669.9-0.3
18 Pittsburgh1971237%61.665.5-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia352964
Louisville232952
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