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Pittsburgh vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-82
34-35 44-47
Position#173
Record12-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game68.9
vs
Position#26
Record11-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pittsburgh v Louisville
17 Jan 2026
PITT59
LOUI100
11 Jan 2025
PITT78
LOUI82
17 Feb 2024
PITT86
LOUI59
07 Feb 2023
PITT91
LOUI57
15 Jan 2022
PITT65
LOUI53
22 Dec 2020
PITT54
LOUI64
14 Jan 2020
PITT68
LOUI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
A29/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
57-90
57
90
-33
A05/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A07/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
110-78
110
78
+32
H21/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H01/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-28
47-35
34-27
41-54
39-48
38-29
25-47
32-43
28-36
36-23
39-36
57-20
52-40
58-38
38-42
48-32
38-30
45-38
24-34
23-42
151.8Avg total
78.3Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.668.9150.5+12.780%
Season at home (9)90.763.8154.4+26.9100%
Season away (6)68.076.5144.5-8.550%
Last 10 (10)78.373.5151.8+4.870%
Last 5 (5)84.470.4154.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.078.5139.5-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.971.9149.8+6.067%
vs Weaker (16)80.365.2145.5+15.194%
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-76
65
76
-11
H08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
90-76
90
76
+14
A21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
70-50
70
50
+20
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
32-30
31-40
32-46
37-33
28-43
32-36
45-38
40-46
45-47
36-34
54-42
46-37
32-39
37-31
46-39
32-27
38-23
42-35
32-29
148.3Avg total
74.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.669.8147.3+7.869%
Season at home (11)75.369.6144.9+5.664%
Season away (5)82.670.0152.6+12.680%
Last 10 (10)74.973.4148.3+1.560%
Last 5 (5)79.067.2146.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.182.0153.1-10.98%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.673.8144.4-3.150%
vs Weaker (9)82.265.4147.7+16.889%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
PittsburghLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#255
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A24/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#172
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A29/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#116
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A05/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/12
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H21/12
NCAA
California
#268
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H01/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A08/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
34.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.932.468.3+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.830.469.2+8.481%-
Last 30 away (14)32.634.667.2-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.474.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.030.559.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.234.871.0+1.567%-
vs Weaker (16)36.530.967.4+5.669%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma
#136
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H29/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#73
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H04/12
NCAA
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H08/12
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H12/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/12
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H28/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H08/01
NCAA
72.3Avg total
36.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.235.970.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.035.469.4-1.442%-
Last 30 away (11)34.536.771.2-2.345%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.872.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.871.4+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.240.273.4-7.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.235.268.5-2.038%-
vs Weaker (9)36.430.166.6+6.367%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pittsburgh wins
4
Louisville wins
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25ADuke47-76
04/01/25HStanford83-68
01/01/25HCalifornia86-74
21/12/24HSam Houston St.110-78
12/12/24HEastern Kentucky96-56
07/12/24AVirginia Tech64-59
05/12/24AMississippi St.57-90
29/11/24AOhio State91-90 OT
24/11/24AWisconsin75-81
22/11/24ALSU74-63
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HClemson74-64
04/01/25AVirginia70-50
01/01/25HNorth Carolina83-70
28/12/24HEastern Kentucky78-76
21/12/24AFlorida State90-76
14/12/24AKentucky85-93
12/12/24HUTEP77-74
08/12/24HDuke65-76
04/12/24HOle Miss63-86
29/11/24HOklahoma64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pittsburgh
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game81.690.768.0
Allowed / game68.963.876.5
Point differential+12.7+26.9-8.5
Avg total150.5154.4144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%17%
Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeLWWWW64%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %69%64%80%
Points / game77.675.382.6
Allowed / game69.869.670.0
Point differential+7.8+5.6+12.6
Avg total147.3144.9152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%45%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1513287%80.058.4+21.6
2 Pittsburgh1512380%81.668.9+12.7
3 Clemson1612475%77.667.3+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%84.172.7+11.4
5 Florida State1511473%79.169.2+9.9
6 Wake Forest1511473%69.164.9+4.1
7 Louisville1611569%77.669.8+7.8
8 Stanford1510567%76.471.1+5.3
9 North Carolina1610662%84.478.4+6.0
10 NC State159660%72.366.7+5.6
11 Boston College159660%71.372.3-1.1
12 California158753%77.675.8+1.8
13 Virginia158753%61.362.4-1.1
14 Georgia Tech168850%75.971.9+4.0
15 Notre Dame157847%74.970.5+4.3
16 Syracuse157847%75.778.1-2.4
17 Virginia Tech156940%70.373.3-2.9
18 Miami (FL)1541127%77.575.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Pittsburgh344478
Louisville354782
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