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Louisville vs Stanford Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-73
30-33 45-40
Position#26
Record25-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game68.5
Louisville 🏆
USA
vs
Stanford
USA
Position#127
Record20-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game70.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Louisville v Stanford
02 Jan 2027
LOUI v STAN
upcoming
13 Mar 2025
LOUI75
STAN73
08 Mar 2025
LOUI68
STAN48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H01/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H06/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
46-38
42-40
41-27
50-39
35-28
40-32
45-31
44-50
34-26
37-40
39-33
40-35
41-26
44-42
33-18
35-30
147.0Avg total
80.0Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.368.5147.8+10.881%
Season at home (18)77.268.6145.8+8.678%
Season away (13)82.268.4150.6+13.885%
Last 10 (10)80.067.0147.0+13.090%
Last 5 (5)78.466.2144.6+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.076.0141.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)77.274.4151.7+2.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.366.7146.9+13.690%
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H06/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A13/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
70-106
70
106
-36
A15/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H27/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
48-68
48
68
-20
A08/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H12/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
36-39
29-33
45-40
20-35
32-25
34-49
36-57
28-22
38-39
37-19
41-41
45-39
28-29
24-21
30-35
18-33
30-35
38-32
40-41
137.0Avg total
66.6Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)73.070.4143.4+2.662%
Season at home (21)76.867.1144.0+9.781%
Season away (11)65.776.7142.5-11.027%
Last 10 (10)66.670.4137.0-3.850%
Last 5 (5)66.265.0131.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)68.076.1144.1-8.144%
vs Similar (15)72.472.9145.3-0.553%
vs Weaker (6)78.860.2139.0+18.7100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -2.5-2.5
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.8+10.81st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: -2.5-2.5
LouisvilleStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A26/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H06/03
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-18
33
18
+15
H08/03
NCAA
67.8Avg total
39.3Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.031.069.0+7.080%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.531.870.2+6.776%-
Last 30 away (13)37.430.167.5+7.385%-
Last 10 (10)39.328.567.8+10.8100%-
Last 5 (5)38.426.865.2+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)37.234.872.0+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.429.267.7+9.185%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A13/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A15/02
NCAA
California
#268
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H27/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
18-33
18
33
-15
A08/03
NCAA
California
#268
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/03
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.931.965.8+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.829.265.1+6.679%-
Last 30 away (11)30.536.567.0-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)31.032.363.3-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.861.2+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.237.470.7-4.244%-
vs Similar (15)33.731.565.1+2.260%-
vs Weaker (6)35.524.560.0+11.083%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Louisville wins
0
Stanford wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Louisville v Stanford68-48
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25HStanford68-48
06/03/25HCalifornia85-68
01/03/25HPittsburgh79-68
26/02/25AVirginia Tech71-66
22/02/25HFlorida State89-81
17/02/25ANotre Dame75-60
13/02/25ANC State91-66
08/02/25HMiami (FL)88-78
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25HCalifornia78-73
08/03/25ALouisville48-68
06/03/25ANotre Dame54-56
01/03/25HSMU Mustangs73-68
27/02/25HBoston College78-60
23/02/25HCalifornia66-61
15/02/25ADuke70-106
13/02/25AGeorgia Tech52-60
09/02/25HNC State74-73
06/02/25HWake Forest73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLWWWW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %81%78%85%
Points / game79.377.282.2
Allowed / game68.568.668.4
Point differential+10.8+8.6+13.8
Avg total147.8145.8150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%61%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Stanford
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322111
Win %62%81%27%
Points / game73.076.865.7
Allowed / game70.467.176.7
Point differential+2.6+9.7-11.0
Avg total143.4144.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3229391%83.361.6+21.7
2 Clemson3126584%77.165.7+11.4
3 Louisville3125681%79.368.5+10.8
4 SMU Mustangs3223972%80.871.6+9.3
5 Wake Forest32211166%70.268.0+2.2
6 North Carolina34221265%81.175.0+6.1
7 Stanford32201262%73.070.4+2.6
8 Pittsburgh32171553%75.970.8+5.0
9 Florida State32171553%74.572.5+2.0
10 Georgia Tech33171652%73.472.4+0.9
11 Virginia32151747%64.866.8-2.0
12 Notre Dame33151845%72.672.5+0.2
13 California33141942%75.676.8-1.2
14 Syracuse33141942%74.777.8-3.1
15 Virginia Tech32131941%69.273.2-4.0
16 NC State31121939%69.570.3-0.8
17 Boston College31121939%70.475.8-5.4
18 Miami (FL)3172423%74.080.6-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville304575
Stanford334073
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