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Louisville vs Stanford Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#156
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#127
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Louisville v Stanford
02 Jan 2027
LOUI v STAN
upcoming
13 Mar 2025
LOUI75
STAN73
08 Mar 2025
LOUI68
STAN48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Stanford win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A28/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
92-89
92
89
+3
A07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H11/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A12/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H19/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A21/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#214
W
84-70
84
70
+14
H03/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#238
W
107-57
107
57
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Memphis
#142
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-38
40-42
39-21
38-41
46-37
46-52
26-26
36-32
38-37
35-41
37-27
46-52
31-36
38-41
56-35
28-35
46-33
61-24
–
–
154.8Avg total
80.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.775.0164.7+14.767%
Season at home (2)95.563.5159.0+32.0100%
Season away (1)78.098.0176.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)80.074.8154.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.583.5146.0-21.00%
vs Similar (7)74.780.3155.0-5.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)86.371.6158.0+14.781%
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H28/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A05/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
85-84
85
84
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Rice
#209
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H10/11
NCAA
UNLV
#72
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-39
41-33
32-34
43-33
34-27
61-48
45-37
41-41
37-34
48-50
23-31
40-33
34-30
40-35
38-33
43-30
45-29
46-44
33-39
35-37
150.1Avg total
78.4Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.569.2147.8+9.275%
Season at home (3)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)78.471.7150.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)75.468.2143.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.378.7150.0-7.350%
vs Similar (14)75.973.6149.5+2.250%
vs Weaker (10)76.467.4143.8+9.080%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +7.1+7.11st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: +5.4+5.4
LouisvilleStanford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#56
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H04/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/03
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H19/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#214
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H03/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#238
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H07/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
39.3Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.333.473.8+6.959%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.631.272.8+10.475%-
Last 30 away (13)38.836.274.9+2.638%-
Last 10 (9)39.332.271.6+7.167%-
Last 5 (5)41.633.675.2+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.538.075.5-0.550%-
vs Similar (7)35.034.769.7+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.532.575.0+10.065%-
This opponent (Stanford) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StanfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#79
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H26/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#269
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A05/03
NCAA
NC State
#128
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#308
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H03/11
NCAA
Oakland
#345
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Rice
#209
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H10/11
NCAA
UNLV
#72
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A14/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
34.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.769.7+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.933.067.9+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)35.236.872.0-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)34.633.367.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.467.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.839.874.7-5.033%-
vs Similar (14)34.433.968.2+0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)36.132.768.8+3.460%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Louisville wins
1
Stanford wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Stanford v Louisville80-76
13/03/25Louisville v Stanford75-73
08/03/25Louisville v Stanford68-48
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AMemphis78-98
07/11/26HMorehead State107-57
03/11/26HChattanooga Mocs84-70
21/03/26AMichigan State69-77
19/03/26HSouth Florida83-79
12/03/26AMiami (FL)73-78
11/03/26HSMU Mustangs62-58
07/03/26AMiami (FL)92-89
04/03/26HSyracuse77-62
28/02/26AClemson75-80
Stanfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUNLV68-76
10/11/26HRice91-73
07/11/26HOakland81-63
03/11/26HEast. Washington74-65
10/03/26HPittsburgh63-64
07/03/26ANC State85-84
05/03/26ANotre Dame86-78
28/02/26HSMU Mustangs95-75
26/02/26HPittsburgh75-67
21/02/26ACalifornia66-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game89.795.578.0
Allowed / game75.063.598.0
Point differential+14.7+32.0-20.0
Avg total164.7159.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stanford
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game78.582.068.0
Allowed / game69.267.076.0
Point differential+9.2+15.0-8.0
Avg total147.8149.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 SMU Mustangs440100%92.067.5+24.5
2 Notre Dame440100%87.564.2+23.2
3 Virginia550100%91.869.6+22.2
4 Virginia Tech440100%89.867.8+22.0
5 NC State440100%83.862.2+21.5
6 Boston College440100%74.053.5+20.5
7 Pittsburgh440100%83.264.5+18.8
8 Georgia Tech440100%82.570.8+11.8
9 California54180%85.874.8+11.0
10 Duke43175%90.057.0+33.0
11 Miami (FL)43175%83.259.2+24.0
12 Wake Forest43175%76.262.8+13.5
13 North Carolina43175%83.870.8+13.0
14 Stanford43175%78.569.2+9.2
15 Clemson43175%84.276.8+7.5
16 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
17 Louisville32167%89.775.0+14.7
18 Florida State42250%79.080.2-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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