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Wake Forest vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-65
48-33 42-32
Position#119
Record12-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#348
Record6-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wake Forest v Louisville
07 Feb 2026
WAKE80
LOUI88
20 Jan 2024
WAKE90
LOUI65
26 Feb 2022
WAKE99
LOUI77
13 Jan 2021
WAKE65
LOUI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H06/12
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
88-59
88
59
+29
H19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
91-68
91
68
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-31
39-26
38-32
45-27
42-32
46-27
40-37
51-31
44-24
42-39
36-40
48-38
44-37
29-36
41-42
41-45
27-21
39-26
45-35
31-48
150.1Avg total
81.8Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.670.1150.7+10.571%
Season at home (13)80.866.5147.3+14.485%
Season away (4)79.882.0161.8-2.225%
Last 10 (10)81.868.3150.1+13.580%
Last 5 (5)78.875.4154.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.781.3156.0-6.70%
vs Similar (12)77.275.6152.8+1.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)80.168.7148.7+11.473%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#161
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
76-95
76
95
-19
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
37-45
22-38
46-37
31-29
32-46
39-25
46-38
33-53
43-42
22-37
31-40
34-40
36-43
37-41
43-30
35-44
48-45
29-46
41-40
150.5Avg total
71.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.677.1150.7-3.535%
Season at home (12)76.077.2153.2-1.242%
Season away (5)67.876.8144.6-9.020%
Last 10 (10)71.678.9150.5-7.320%
Last 5 (5)71.281.2152.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)70.078.4148.4-8.419%
vs Similar (2)81.576.0157.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.3+6.31st half: -7.0-7.02nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: -0.3-0.3
Wake ForestLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rutgers
#241
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H06/12
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H10/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#248
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
39.4Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.173.3+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.633.571.1+4.172%-
Last 30 away (12)36.640.076.6-3.417%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.172.5+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.041.380.3-2.333%-
vs Similar (12)37.735.573.2+2.242%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.435.571.9+0.960%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia Tech
#161
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A03/12
NCAA
DePaul
#367
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A09/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H14/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/01
NCAA
69.6Avg total
31.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.236.968.1-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.335.267.5-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)29.839.269.0-9.523%-
Last 10 (10)31.338.369.6-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.441.673.0-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)32.038.270.2-6.227%-
vs Similar (2)25.028.553.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wake Forest wins
3
Louisville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24ANC State76-83
13/01/24HVirginia66-47
10/01/24AFlorida State82-87
06/01/24HMiami (FL)86-82 OT
03/01/24ABoston College84-78
30/12/23HVirginia Tech86-63
21/12/23HPresbyterian91-68
19/12/23HDelaware State88-59
10/12/23HNJIT83-59
06/12/23HRutgers76-57
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/24ANorth Carolina70-86
13/01/24HNC State83-89
11/01/24AMiami (FL)80-71
06/01/24HPittsburgh70-83
04/01/24AVirginia53-77
21/12/23HKentucky76-95
17/12/23HPepperdine85-63
14/12/23HArkansas State63-75
09/12/23ADePaul68-75
03/12/23AVirginia Tech68-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %71%85%25%
Points / game80.680.879.8
Allowed / game70.166.582.0
Point differential+10.5+14.4-2.2
Avg total150.7147.3161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%77%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %12%15%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL35%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %35%42%20%
Points / game73.676.067.8
Allowed / game77.177.276.8
Point differential-3.5-1.2-9.0
Avg total150.7153.2144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1714382%83.969.5+14.4
2 Duke1613381%82.066.1+15.9
3 NC State1713476%77.369.4+7.9
4 SMU Mustangs1712571%74.761.9+12.8
5 Wake Forest1712571%80.670.1+10.5
6 Clemson1712571%80.973.4+7.5
7 Virginia1712571%64.957.8+7.2
8 Syracuse1712571%75.971.8+4.1
9 Miami (FL)1812667%82.172.9+9.2
10 Boston College1711665%78.072.8+5.2
11 Florida State1711665%77.173.2+3.9
12 Pittsburgh1710759%76.366.2+10.1
13 Virginia Tech1710759%73.167.5+5.6
14 Stanford179853%78.676.2+2.4
15 Georgia Tech179853%74.075.2-1.2
16 Notre Dame1871139%62.865.1-2.3
17 Louisville1761135%73.677.1-3.5
18 California1861233%75.376.7-1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest484290
Louisville333265
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