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LTH Castings vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-74
21-20 20-11 17-28 18-15
Position#7
Record8-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game86.6
LTH Castings 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Polzela
Slovenia
Position#11
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game91.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 15· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2023-24
Meetings · LTH Castings v Polzela
13 Jan 2024
LTH 76
POLZ74
16 Nov 2022
LTH 79
POLZ80
21 Apr 2018
LTH 106
POLZ102
27 Jan 2017
LTH 74
POLZ83
23 Mar 2016
LTH 102
POLZ90
21 Oct 2015
LTH 88
POLZ75
13 Apr 2013
LTH 54
POLZ80
17 Nov 2012
LTH 97
POLZ74
18 Apr 2012
LTH 75
POLZ80
21 Jan 2012
LTH 73
POLZ84
05 Feb 2011
LTH 72
POLZ79
10 Apr 2010
LTH 62
POLZ92
16 Jan 2010
LTH 62
POLZ78
04 Oct 2008
LTH 64
POLZ79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
97-81
97
81
+16
no box
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
96-85
96
85
+11
96avg 76
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
73-82
73
82
-9
62avg 76
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
91-88
91
88
+3
89avg 76
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
82avg 76
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
72avg 76
A15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H18/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
62-85
62
85
-23
no box
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 76
H26/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
64-101
64
101
-37
43avg 76
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
29-12
32-19
15-28
21-20
28-25
25-19
22-21
13-29
19-13
20-17
21-23
25-21
24-25
24-26
18-16
14-12
29-24
23-22
27-26
17-22
20-17
18-16
17-24
14-20
27-17
25-11
16-25
13-19
13-33
22-17
14-16
23-16
14-10
23-32
19-20
21-25
24-25
13-25
6-26
164.5Avg total
80.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.286.6172.9-0.457%
Season at home (7)92.186.4178.6+5.771%
Season away (7)80.386.9167.1-6.643%
Last 10 (10)80.983.6164.5-2.760%
Last 5 (5)71.883.2155.0-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.086.2166.2-6.236%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.184.4169.6+0.756%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
H07/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 73
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
75-73
75
73
+2
70avg 73
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
no box
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
A27/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 73
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
92-111
92
111
-19
85avg 73
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
79avg 73
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 73
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
79avg 73
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
17-23
20-25
24-22
13-24
31-20
19-19
26-15
20-18
10-20
24-20
21-15
25-27
22-27
31-14
24-23
19-25
23-15
20-29
26-19
15-15
25-18
10-27
16-18
26-34
21-25
27-27
18-25
21-27
26-28
18-23
19-24
12-20
25-26
11-33
24-17
22-19
20-23
14-36
25-25
175.7Avg total
83.5Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.391.2171.5-10.921%
Season at home (7)78.989.1168.0-10.314%
Season away (7)81.793.3175.0-11.629%
Last 10 (10)83.592.2175.7-8.740%
Last 5 (5)79.098.0177.0-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)79.994.3174.3-14.417%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.384.2163.6-4.933%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
LTH CastingsPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija mladi
#14
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H14/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/11
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H18/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H26/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
81.6Avg total
40.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.281.7+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.437.277.6+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.885.3-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.781.6+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.878.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.840.579.4-1.745%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.141.483.5+0.856%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H07/11
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A13/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
87.1Avg total
41.1Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.046.086.9-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.645.585.1-5.914%-
Last 30 away (16)42.146.488.5-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)41.146.087.1-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.089.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.946.086.9-5.117%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.144.985.0-4.822%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.2
54.6%
52.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.9
34.0%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.411.9
68.4%
74.0%11.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.7
50.1%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.2
34.3%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
74.0%13.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
LWLWLWWLWW
Polzela
LLLLLWWWWL
#7
League position
#11
-4.9
Net rating
-14.0
107.2
Offensive rating
101.1
112.1
Defensive rating
115.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.0%
3-point %
34.3%
54.5%
Assist %
66.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 101.1Defence112.1 · 115.0Shooting53.2% · 50.5%3-point %34.0% · 34.3%Ball care18.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds30.2% · 27.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
LTH Castings wins
5
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
04/11/23Polzela v LTH Castings82-88
21/04/23Polzela v LTH Castings76-78
13/01/23Polzela v LTH Castings73-86
16/11/22LTH Castings v Polzela79-80
21/04/18LTH Castings v Polzela106-102
28/03/18Polzela v LTH Castings107-64
27/01/17LTH Castings v Polzela74-83 OT
31/10/16Polzela v LTH Castings98-77
20/04/16Polzela v LTH Castings87-81
23/03/16LTH Castings v Polzela102-90 OT
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto64-101
26/12/23HHelios Domzale79-78
23/12/23APerspektiva Ilirija62-85
18/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija82-73
15/12/23ASencur72-79
09/12/23HRogaska93-84
04/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-88
24/11/23HTajfun Sentjur73-82
18/11/23APerspektiva Ilirija96-85
14/11/23HCedevita Olimpija mladi97-81
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-103
22/12/23AKK Triglav Kranj72-96
16/12/23ATajfun Sentjur84-102
10/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto92-111
04/12/23AHelios Domzale66-78
27/11/23ASencur95-94 OT
21/11/23ATajfun Sentjur102-91
18/11/23HRogaska75-73
13/11/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek89-78
07/11/23HTajfun Sentjur79-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL57%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game86.292.180.3
Allowed / game86.686.486.9
Point differential-0.4+5.7-6.6
Avg total172.9178.6167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayWWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%14%29%
Points / game80.378.981.7
Allowed / game91.289.193.3
Point differential-10.9-10.3-11.6
Avg total171.5168.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1513287%92.376.0+16.3
2 Helios Domzale1511473%83.976.9+7.1
3 Perspektiva Ilirija148657%79.176.6+2.5
4 LTH Castings148657%86.286.6-0.4
5 Sencur158753%79.579.7-0.2
6 Tajfun Sentjur157847%77.683.3-5.7
7 KK Triglav Kranj145936%74.277.2-3.0
8 Rogaska1551033%76.179.1-2.9
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1551033%84.187.6-3.5
10 Polzela1431121%80.391.2-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings2120171876
Polzela2011281574
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