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LTH Castings vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-76 (OT)
20-23 8-8 14-11 22-22 16-12
Position#7
Record10-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game84.4
vs
Position#8
Record9-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game78.1
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 24· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2023-24
Meetings · LTH Castings v Rogaska
14 Oct 2024
LTH 79
ROGA60
08 Apr 2024
LTH 80
ROGA76
09 Dec 2023
LTH 93
ROGA84
11 Feb 2023
LTH 84
ROGA87
07 Jan 2017
LTH 70
ROGA115
05 Mar 2016
LTH 70
ROGA86
27 Mar 2013
LTH 62
ROGA63
01 Dec 2012
LTH 70
ROGA71
21 Mar 2012
LTH 56
ROGA57
12 Nov 2011
LTH 55
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
64-101
64
101
-37
43avg 72
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 72
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
68-91
68
91
-23
54avg 72
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 72
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
72-87
72
87
-15
63avg 72
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
74avg 72
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 72
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 72
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
70avg 72
A03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
24-25
13-25
6-26
21-20
20-11
17-28
18-15
14-22
13-31
23-20
18-18
18-18
18-20
16-12
22-26
9-30
25-16
21-20
17-21
25-19
25-19
14-21
22-16
20-19
19-14
12-16
16-18
25-23
22-25
14-17
17-16
8-18
22-23
17-19
16-18
19-23
21-25
18-21
16-16
156.0Avg total
73.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.584.4165.9-2.943%
Season at home (12)85.282.4167.6+2.858%
Season away (11)77.586.5164.0-9.127%
Last 10 (10)73.182.9156.0-9.820%
Last 5 (5)75.480.0155.4-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.584.0159.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.183.8165.9-1.747%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 74
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
78avg 74
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 74
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 74
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
61-69
61
69
-8
56avg 74
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 74
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
59-116
59
116
-57
44avg 74
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
79-46
79
46
+33
78avg 74
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 74
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
12-24
20-16
22-23
22-19
21-19
12-17
22-14
17-21
17-18
20-25
13-11
19-18
25-25
14-16
21-25
17-24
27-20
19-25
9-16
19-16
16-22
14-23
12-8
24-21
19-22
18-11
26-21
14-30
17-26
10-27
18-33
18-13
20-12
21-13
20-8
23-17
21-25
19-17
19-20
155.3Avg total
75.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.278.1153.3-2.939%
Season at home (11)81.677.6159.3+4.064%
Season away (12)69.378.6147.9-9.217%
Last 10 (10)75.879.5155.3-3.740%
Last 5 (5)73.677.0150.6-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.290.2167.4-13.040%
vs Similar ◀ (16)80.178.9159.0+1.144%
vs Weaker (8)86.577.0163.5+9.562%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
LTH CastingsRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/04
Liga Nova KBM
81.5Avg total
38.9Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.9+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.179.6+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.843.584.3-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.681.5-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.682.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.240.879.0-2.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.242.283.4-0.953%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
80.1Avg total
39.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.380.9+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.082.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.239.679.8+0.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.180.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.041.879.8-3.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.639.680.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker (8)45.238.583.8+6.875%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.9
50.0%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.2
28.5%
33.0%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.311.2
73.2%
74.0%11.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.2
52.0%
52.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.7
30.6%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
74.0%12.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
LLLLWLLLWL
Rogaska
WWLWLLLLWL
#7
League position
#8
-12.5
Net rating
-6.4
96.7
Offensive rating
97.5
109.2
Defensive rating
103.9
47.2%
Effective FG%
49.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
21.6%
Turnover %
22.4%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.5%
3-point %
30.6%
49.8%
Assist %
65.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.7 · 97.5Defence109.2 · 103.9Shooting47.2% · 49.5%3-point %28.5% · 30.6%Ball care21.6% · 22.4%Off. rebounds32.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
LTH Castings wins
9
Rogaska wins
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/24ASencur74-85
27/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto63-78
18/03/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek78-81
09/03/24APolzela76-81 OT
04/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj86-75
03/02/24ATajfun Sentjur72-87
27/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija74-76
20/01/24AKK Triglav Kranj68-91
13/01/24HPolzela76-74
03/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto64-101
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija82-79
23/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj79-46
13/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto59-116
09/03/24HTajfun Sentjur87-75
02/03/24ASencur61-69
15/02/24HKK Krka Novo mesto72-85
05/02/24APerspektiva Ilirija98-99 OT
03/02/24AKK Triglav Kranj67-75
27/01/24HPolzela77-69
16/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%58%27%
Points / game81.585.277.5
Allowed / game84.482.486.5
Point differential-2.9+2.8-9.1
Avg total165.9167.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW39%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%64%17%
Points / game75.281.669.3
Allowed / game78.177.678.6
Point differential-2.9+4.0-9.2
Avg total153.3159.3147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2420483%91.676.2+15.4
2 Helios Domzale2419579%86.677.6+9.0
3 Perspektiva Ilirija24141058%81.479.0+2.5
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek24121250%83.084.6-1.6
5 Sencur24111346%76.979.5-2.6
6 LTH Castings23101343%81.584.4-2.9
7 Rogaska2391439%75.278.1-2.9
8 Tajfun Sentjur2491538%80.585.8-5.3
9 KK Triglav Kranj2481633%72.577.6-5.1
10 Polzela2471729%78.585.2-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
LTH Castings20814221680
Rogaska23811221276
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