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Sencur vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-74
23-19 25-21 21-18 16-16
Position#5
Record10-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.8
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record10-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game84.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 22· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sencur v LTH Castings
12 Nov 2024
SENC75
LTH 81
18 Oct 2024
SENC77
LTH 64
03 Apr 2024
SENC85
LTH 74
15 Dec 2023
SENC79
LTH 72
10 Oct 2022
SENC72
LTH 65
19 Apr 2017
SENC77
LTH 80
26 Nov 2016
SENC92
LTH 72
26 Apr 2016
SENC78
LTH 65
27 Feb 2016
SENC79
LTH 47
16 Dec 2015
SENC91
LTH 68
17 Apr 2010
SENC80
LTH 88
09 Jan 2010
SENC50
LTH 89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 64
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
42avg 64
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
69-61
69
61
+8
59avg 64
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
72avg 64
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
53avg 64
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 64
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
59avg 64
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
68avg 64
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 64
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-94
69
94
-25
56avg 64
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
21-19
14-27
30-21
16-29
18-20
9-13
17-18
16-19
22-16
23-14
8-12
22-20
21-22
14-15
24-18
15-18
19-10
17-22
12-14
25-20
20-25
25-28
22-27
22-18
18-28
16-14
19-27
21-25
20-18
17-18
18-18
23-20
19-18
18-19
21-19
16-28
28-20
12-22
13-24
154.4Avg total
74.3Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.679.8156.3-3.243%
Season at home (11)83.374.3157.5+9.082%
Season away (12)70.484.8155.2-14.48%
Last 10 (10)74.380.1154.4-5.830%
Last 5 (5)78.687.2165.8-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.381.7153.0-10.423%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.677.9155.5-0.347%
vs Weaker (2)79.573.0152.5+6.550%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 72
H26/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
64-101
64
101
-37
43avg 72
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 72
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
68-91
68
91
-23
54avg 72
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 72
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
72-87
72
87
-15
63avg 72
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
74avg 72
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
76-81 OT
76
81
-5
no box
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 72
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 72
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
14-10
23-32
19-20
21-25
24-25
13-25
6-26
21-20
20-11
17-28
18-15
14-22
13-31
23-20
18-18
18-18
18-20
16-12
22-26
9-30
25-16
21-20
17-21
25-19
25-19
14-21
22-16
20-19
19-14
12-16
16-18
25-23
22-25
14-17
17-16
8-18
22-23
17-19
16-18
155.8Avg total
73.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.884.4166.2-2.545%
Season at home (12)85.282.4167.6+2.858%
Season away (10)77.886.7164.5-8.930%
Last 10 (10)73.682.2155.8-8.630%
Last 5 (5)75.080.4155.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.584.0159.5-8.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.383.3165.6-1.053%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
SencurLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TFT Skopje
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League 2
Cedevita Junior
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A24/03
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
80.5Avg total
39.4Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.678.6-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.879.6+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)37.040.677.6-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.180.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.086.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.241.879.9-3.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.738.778.3+1.067%-
vs Weaker (2)40.032.572.5+7.550%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H26/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H18/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H27/03
Liga Nova KBM
79.0Avg total
38.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.581.7+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.538.179.6+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.883.9-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.640.479.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)40.041.281.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.240.879.0-2.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.441.683.1-0.258%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.922.4
52.2%
52.9%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.65.8
23.6%
33.0%17.4
🏀 Free throws16.111.4
70.8%
74.0%11.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.2
49.2%
52.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.5
29.6%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.711.5
73.2%
74.0%11.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LWLLLLWWLL
LTH Castings
LLLWLLLWLW
#5
League position
#7
-7.8
Net rating
-12.1
97.9
Offensive rating
97.2
105.7
Defensive rating
109.3
46.1%
Effective FG%
47.4%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
20.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
23.6%
3-point %
29.6%
62.1%
Assist %
52.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 97.2Defence105.7 · 109.3Shooting46.1% · 47.4%3-point %23.6% · 29.6%Ball care17.0% · 20.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 31.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Sencur   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sencur wins
4
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Sencur v LTH Castings79-72
16/10/23LTH Castings v Sencur108-72
13/03/23LTH Castings v Sencur81-74
16/12/22LTH Castings v Sencur85-86
10/10/22Sencur v LTH Castings72-65
19/04/17Sencur v LTH Castings77-80
25/03/17LTH Castings v Sencur62-92
25/02/17LTH Castings v Sencur75-73 OT
26/11/16Sencur v LTH Castings92-72
26/04/16Sencur v LTH Castings78-65
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AHelios Domzale69-94
24/03/24ACedevita Junior81-76
22/03/24HSiroki Brijeg76-79
20/03/24AZlatibor75-87
16/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija92-100
13/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj63-64
06/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto81-75
02/03/24HRogaska69-61
06/02/24APolzela60-80
03/02/24HTFT Skopje77-85
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto63-78
18/03/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek78-81
09/03/24APolzela76-81 OT
04/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj86-75
03/02/24ATajfun Sentjur72-87
27/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija74-76
20/01/24AKK Triglav Kranj68-91
13/01/24HPolzela76-74
03/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto64-101
26/12/23HHelios Domzale79-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWWLWW82%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%82%8%
Points / game76.683.370.4
Allowed / game79.874.384.8
Point differential-3.2+9.0-14.4
Avg total156.3157.5155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%9%8%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL45%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayLLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%58%30%
Points / game81.885.277.8
Allowed / game84.482.486.7
Point differential-2.5+2.8-8.9
Avg total166.2167.6164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2319483%91.376.1+15.3
2 Helios Domzale2318578%86.277.3+8.9
3 Perspektiva Ilirija2314961%81.378.3+3.0
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek23111248%83.085.0-2.0
5 LTH Castings22101245%81.884.4-2.5
6 Sencur23101343%76.679.8-3.2
7 Rogaska2391439%75.278.1-2.9
8 Tajfun Sentjur2391439%80.685.3-4.7
9 KK Triglav Kranj2481633%72.577.6-5.1
10 Polzela2371630%78.785.3-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2325211685
LTH Castings1921181674
← all games of the day
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