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LTH Castings vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 79-60
23-19 9-9 25-21 22-11
Position#10
Record0-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game74.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 3· Sportna dvorana Poden
Other2024-25
Meetings · LTH Castings v Rogaska
14 Oct 2024
LTH 79
ROGA60
08 Apr 2024
LTH 80
ROGA76
09 Dec 2023
LTH 93
ROGA84
11 Feb 2023
LTH 84
ROGA87
07 Jan 2017
LTH 70
ROGA115
05 Mar 2016
LTH 70
ROGA86
27 Mar 2013
LTH 62
ROGA63
01 Dec 2012
LTH 70
ROGA71
21 Mar 2012
LTH 56
ROGA57
12 Nov 2011
LTH 55
ROGA69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
74-85
74
85
-11
70avg 70
A03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
64avg 70
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
55avg 70
H12/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
83-78
83
78
+5
80avg 70
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 70
A26/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
74-98
74
98
-24
54avg 70
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
72avg 70
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 70
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
69avg 70
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
79-70
79
70
+9
no box
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
21-25
18-21
16-16
20-23
8-8
14-11
22-22
17-22
22-21
10-16
17-20
23-19
19-23
18-18
23-18
19-19
12-30
23-17
15-15
25-21
13-25
13-28
23-24
24-21
15-19
21-19
22-30
22-22
13-20
19-31
20-11
17-17
14-20
16-17
26-21
17-16
19-13
24-21
19-20
156.9Avg total
75.4Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.579.5153.0-6.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)73.579.5153.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)75.481.5156.9-6.130%
Last 5 (5)76.483.2159.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.084.0158.0-10.018%
vs Similar (16)79.382.2161.6-2.950%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 73
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
59-116
59
116
-57
44avg 73
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
79-46
79
46
+33
78avg 73
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 73
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
65avg 73
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
74avg 73
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
66avg 73
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
84-68
84
68
+16
74avg 73
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
51avg 73
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
94-66
94
66
+28
103avg 73
H05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-22
18-11
26-21
14-30
17-26
10-27
18-33
18-13
20-12
21-13
20-8
23-17
21-25
19-17
19-20
23-20
8-8
11-14
22-22
15-19
27-19
17-10
21-22
22-18
11-32
16-19
20-30
13-15
27-20
23-10
21-23
22-17
13-22
16-17
14-26
23-27
23-13
18-13
30-13
155.6Avg total
77.5Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.574.0153.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)94.066.0160.0+28.0100%
Season away (1)65.082.0147.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)77.578.1155.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)78.477.0155.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.393.0166.3-19.717%
vs Similar (16)78.677.8156.3+0.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.274.5162.8+13.875%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.7-0.7
LTH CastingsRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H12/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A26/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A28/09
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A05/10
Liga Nova KBM
Grosuplje
#22
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A09/10
Slovenian Cup
76.6Avg total
35.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.478.6-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.036.675.6+2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)37.543.681.1-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)35.940.776.6-4.810%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.874.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.341.578.8-4.318%-
vs Similar (16)38.140.678.7-2.644%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/10
Liga Nova KBM
77.9Avg total
38.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.880.1+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.782.2+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.978.0-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.677.9-1.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.479.6-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.744.080.7-7.333%-
vs Similar (16)38.938.677.6+0.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.839.084.8+6.875%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.2
50.3%
53.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.6
27.1%
32.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.311.4
74.5%
72.0%11.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.6
52.8%
53.3%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.812.8
71.9%
72.0%12.8
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
LTH Castings
WLLLLLWLWL
Rogaska
WLWLWLWWLW
#10
League position
#7
-12.2
Net rating
-0.8
97.5
Offensive rating
99.9
109.8
Defensive rating
100.7
46.2%
Effective FG%
50.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
21.6%
Turnover %
21.0%
37.0%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
27.1%
3-point %
31.0%
54.1%
Assist %
67.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 99.9Defence109.8 · 100.7Shooting46.2% · 50.4%3-point %27.1% · 31.0%Ball care21.6% · 21.0%Off. rebounds37.0% · 28.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ LTH Castings   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
LTH Castings wins
8
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
08/04/24LTH Castings v Rogaska80-76 OT
09/12/23LTH Castings v Rogaska93-84
07/10/23Rogaska v LTH Castings96-79
19/03/23Rogaska v LTH Castings94-93
11/02/23LTH Castings v Rogaska84-87
02/12/22Rogaska v LTH Castings93-83
07/01/17LTH Castings v Rogaska70-115
15/10/16Rogaska v LTH Castings94-52
05/03/16LTH Castings v Rogaska70-86
23/12/15Rogaska v LTH Castings58-50
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24AGrosuplje79-70
05/10/24ATajfun Sentjur73-75
28/09/24AZlatorog Lasko74-84
07/05/24HKK Krka Novo mesto82-89
04/05/24AKK Krka Novo mesto74-98
26/04/24APerspektiva Ilirija69-81
20/04/24ATajfun Sentjur83-78
12/04/24HHelios Domzale66-79
08/04/24HRogaska80-76 OT
03/04/24ASencur74-85
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HZlatorog Lasko94-66
27/09/24APerspektiva Ilirija65-82
29/04/24HPolzela84-68
20/04/24AHelios Domzale69-99
15/04/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek80-70
08/04/24ALTH Castings76-80 OT
29/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija82-79
23/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj79-46
13/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto59-116
09/03/24HTajfun Sentjur87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game73.5-73.5
Allowed / game79.5-79.5
Point differential-6.0--6.0
Avg total153.0-153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game79.594.065.0
Allowed / game74.066.082.0
Point differential+5.5+28.0-17.0
Avg total153.5160.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek330100%78.072.7+5.3
2 Helios Domzale32167%73.059.0+14.0
3 Perspektiva Ilirija32167%85.778.3+7.3
4 Tajfun Sentjur32167%68.778.3-9.7
5 KK Krka Novo mesto21150%85.572.0+13.5
6 Rogaska21150%79.574.0+5.5
7 Sencur31233%77.082.7-5.7
8 Zlatorog Lasko31233%73.083.7-10.7
9 LTH Castings2020%73.579.5-6.0
10 KK Triglav Kranj2020%57.571.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
LTH Castings239252279
Rogaska199211160
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