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Helios Domzale vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-69
18-22 32-11 19-16 30-20
Position#3
Record20-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#8
Record10-15
FormLWWLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game77.9
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 26· Sportna dvorana Domzale
Other2023-24
Meetings · Helios Domzale v Rogaska
14 Nov 2026
HDO v ROGA
upcoming
02 Feb 2026
HDO81
ROGA82
08 Feb 2025
HDO79
ROGA63
20 Apr 2024
HDO99
ROGA69
06 Nov 2023
HDO74
ROGA80
11 May 2023
HDO89
ROGA71
31 Jan 2023
HDO87
ROGA57
17 Feb 2022
HDO79
ROGA76
01 Nov 2021
HDO97
ROGA74
21 Apr 2021
HDO73
ROGA66
19 Dec 2020
HDO68
ROGA67
18 Apr 2020
HDO v ROGA
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
HDO72
ROGA67
06 Apr 2019
HDO80
ROGA82
03 Feb 2019
HDO75
ROGA82
31 Oct 2018
HDO66
ROGA58
28 Apr 2018
HDO73
ROGA71
17 Dec 2017
HDO71
ROGA45
29 Apr 2017
HDO85
ROGA56
06 Mar 2017
HDO67
ROGA62
26 Nov 2016
HDO67
ROGA86
17 May 2016
HDO74
ROGA58
11 May 2016
HDO68
ROGA63
16 Apr 2016
HDO95
ROGA63
06 Feb 2016
HDO66
ROGA68
05 Jan 2016
HDO69
ROGA66
15 May 2015
HDO82
ROGA66
07 Mar 2015
HDO95
ROGA87
08 May 2014
HDO82
ROGA75
03 May 2014
HDO75
ROGA55
28 Apr 2014
HDO77
ROGA63
19 Oct 2013
HDO67
ROGA47
26 Jan 2013
HDO74
ROGA60
23 Nov 2011
HDO89
ROGA73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Helios Domzale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Helios DomzaleSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDomzale
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 74
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
53-74
53
74
-21
37avg 74
H18/03
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A20/03
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
76-75
76
75
+1
68avg 74
H23/03
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
no box
A26/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
94-69
94
69
+25
96avg 74
H30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 74
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
71-84
71
84
-13
57avg 74
H09/04
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
78avg 74
A12/04
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 74
A16/04
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
22-16
15-18
16-17
6-18
19-19
13-20
15-17
–
–
–
–
21-22
19-23
19-18
17-12
23-21
23-20
13-17
24-25
28-16
20-28
22-12
24-13
27-25
19-19
23-12
26-28
19-22
14-19
18-20
20-23
22-17
21-22
16-10
20-17
17-21
27-23
12-12
12-23
144.2Avg total
73.5Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.377.2163.4+9.180%
Season at home (13)86.373.2159.5+13.292%
Season away (12)86.281.5167.8+4.867%
Last 10 (10)73.570.7144.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)81.476.4157.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.489.4168.8-10.020%
vs Similar (8)65.865.6131.4+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.675.4163.1+12.282%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 74
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 74
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
61-69
61
69
-8
56avg 74
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 74
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
59-116
59
116
-57
44avg 74
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
79-46
79
46
+33
78avg 74
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 74
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
65avg 74
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
74avg 74
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
17-18
20-25
13-11
19-18
25-25
14-16
21-25
17-24
27-20
19-25
9-16
19-16
16-22
14-23
12-8
24-21
19-22
18-11
26-21
14-30
17-26
10-27
18-33
18-13
20-12
21-13
20-8
23-17
21-25
19-17
19-20
23-20
8-8
11-14
22-22
15-19
27-19
17-10
21-22
155.5Avg total
76.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.477.9153.3-2.440%
Season at home (12)81.577.0158.5+4.567%
Season away (13)69.878.7148.5-8.815%
Last 10 (10)76.179.4155.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)75.278.2153.4-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.290.2167.4-13.040%
vs Similar (17)78.978.5157.4+0.441%
vs Weaker (8)86.577.0163.5+9.562%
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
Helios DomzaleRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Helios DomzaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#11
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sutjeska
#10
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H18/03
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H23/03
ABA League 2
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A26/03
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/04
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
Liga Nova KBM
Spartak Subotica
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A16/04
ABA League 2
83.8Avg total
41.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.439.979.3-0.545%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.240.881.1-0.644%-
Last 30 away (13)38.438.877.2-0.446%-
Last 10 (9)41.941.983.8+0.056%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.485.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.844.883.6-6.00%-
vs Similar (7)36.941.178.0-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.637.978.6+2.765%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
78.2Avg total
38.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.280.1+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.881.4+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)39.139.678.7-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.678.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.875.0-0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.041.879.8-3.860%-
vs Similar (17)39.638.878.4+0.953%-
vs Weaker (8)45.238.583.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Helios Domzale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Helios Domzaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Helios Domzale: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.518.5
58.7%
52.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.3
30.6%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.315.2
83.1%
74.0%15.2
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.8
50.5%
52.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.6
28.8%
33.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.912.6
74.6%
74.0%12.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Helios Domzale
LWLWWLWWLW
Rogaska
WLWWLWLLLL
#3
League position
#8
+6.2
Net rating
-3.1
108.5
Offensive rating
95.6
102.3
Defensive rating
98.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
47.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
22.0%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.6%
3-point %
28.8%
65.5%
Assist %
67.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 95.6Defence102.3 · 98.8Shooting52.4% · 47.5%3-point %30.6% · 28.8%Ball care16.5% · 22.0%Off. rebounds26.0% · 30.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Helios Domzale   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Helios Domzale wins
2
Rogaska wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/24ASpartak Subotica68-79
12/04/24ALTH Castings79-66
09/04/24HSpartak Subotica71-84
06/04/24HPerspektiva Ilirija95-84
30/03/24HSencur94-69
26/03/24ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek96-99 OT
23/03/24HPodgorica76-75
20/03/24ABorac Banja Luka20-0
18/03/24HSutjeska53-74
15/03/24HPolzela83-77
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek80-70
08/04/24ALTH Castings76-80 OT
29/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija82-79
23/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj79-46
13/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto59-116
09/03/24HTajfun Sentjur87-75
02/03/24ASencur61-69
15/02/24HKK Krka Novo mesto72-85
05/02/24APerspektiva Ilirija98-99 OT
03/02/24AKK Triglav Kranj67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Helios Domzale
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%92%67%
Points / game86.386.386.2
Allowed / game77.273.281.5
Point differential+9.1+13.2+4.8
Avg total163.4159.5167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLWL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%67%15%
Points / game75.481.569.8
Allowed / game77.977.078.7
Point differential-2.4+4.5-8.8
Avg total153.3158.5148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2521484%91.275.7+15.4
2 Helios Domzale2520580%86.377.2+9.1
3 Perspektiva Ilirija26141254%80.879.4+1.4
4 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek25121348%82.584.4-1.9
5 Sencur25111444%77.180.1-3.0
6 LTH Castings25111444%80.883.8-3.0
7 Rogaska25101540%75.477.9-2.4
8 Tajfun Sentjur25101540%80.385.3-5.0
9 KK Triglav Kranj2691735%73.077.5-4.5
10 Polzela2581732%79.285.1-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Helios Domzale1832193099
Rogaska2211162069
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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