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Rogaska vs Polzela Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-68
13-15 27-20 23-10 21-23
Position#8
Record10-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game78.7
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#11
Record9-17
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game85.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 27· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rogaska v Polzela
12 Dec 2026
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
ROGA95
POLZ89
29 Apr 2024
ROGA84
POLZ68
27 Jan 2024
ROGA77
POLZ69
07 Jan 2023
ROGA89
POLZ67
23 Apr 2022
ROGA116
POLZ99
05 Nov 2021
ROGA87
POLZ90
11 May 2021
ROGA90
POLZ72
27 Jan 2021
ROGA101
POLZ71
21 Apr 2020
ROGA v POLZ
upcoming
12 Oct 2019
ROGA82
POLZ75
10 Apr 2019
ROGA69
POLZ85
15 Dec 2018
ROGA69
POLZ85
13 Jan 2018
ROGA71
POLZ68
22 Apr 2017
ROGA76
POLZ70
04 Feb 2017
ROGA79
POLZ84
08 Mar 2016
ROGA82
POLZ81
28 Feb 2015
ROGA93
POLZ97
25 Apr 2014
ROGA84
POLZ76
23 Nov 2013
ROGA85
POLZ67
10 Apr 2013
ROGA67
POLZ83
19 Jan 2013
ROGA65
POLZ70
28 Mar 2012
ROGA72
POLZ79
14 Jan 2012
ROGA90
POLZ78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 74
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
61-69
61
69
-8
56avg 74
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 74
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
59-116
59
116
-57
44avg 74
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
79-46
79
46
+33
78avg 74
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 74
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
65avg 74
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
74avg 74
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
66avg 74
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
25-25
14-16
21-25
17-24
27-20
19-25
9-16
19-16
16-22
14-23
12-8
24-21
19-22
18-11
26-21
14-30
17-26
10-27
18-33
18-13
20-12
21-13
20-8
23-17
21-25
19-17
19-20
23-20
8-8
11-14
22-22
15-19
27-19
17-10
21-22
22-18
11-32
16-19
20-30
158.1Avg total
76.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.278.7153.9-3.538%
Season at home (12)81.577.0158.5+4.567%
Season away (14)69.880.1149.9-10.414%
Last 10 (10)76.381.8158.1-5.540%
Last 5 (5)77.274.8152.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.891.7167.5-15.833%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.677.7156.2+0.944%
vs Weaker (8)86.577.0163.5+9.562%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 73
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
80-60
80
60
+20
86avg 73
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 73
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
81-76 OT
81
76
+5
no box
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
72avg 73
A15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
100-86
100
86
+14
101avg 73
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
81-66
81
66
+15
71avg 73
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
71avg 73
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
94-82
94
82
+12
101avg 73
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
98-95 OT
98
95
+3
84avg 73
H22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-21
17-12
14-22
29-16
20-18
13-9
18-17
19-22
17-24
20-16
9-23
19-20
14-19
16-12
18-16
26-30
16-22
18-15
17-16
30-17
22-24
24-17
24-28
24-19
15-14
15-14
27-19
20-21
13-19
29-16
13-26
26-27
23-26
24-15
21-14
22-32
25-13
22-23
17-18
161.2Avg total
82.0Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.985.5165.3-5.635%
Season at home (13)80.484.6165.0-4.238%
Season away (13)79.486.3165.7-6.931%
Last 10 (10)82.079.2161.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)89.682.2171.8+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.396.5177.8-15.210%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.580.1159.6-0.647%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
RogaskaPolzela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
79.2Avg total
38.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.279.6+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.881.4+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)38.339.677.9-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.779.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.636.674.2+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.243.280.3-6.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.238.177.3+1.256%-
vs Weaker (8)45.238.583.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H09/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A15/03
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H22/04
Liga Nova KBM
84.4Avg total
41.8Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.345.486.7-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.644.585.1-3.927%-
Last 30 away (15)42.146.288.3-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.684.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.042.486.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)43.349.392.6-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.742.482.1-2.729%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.7
49.9%
52.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.4
29.5%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.4
73.8%
74.0%12.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.9
50.6%
52.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
74.0%12.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LWLWWLWLLL
Polzela
WWLWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#11
-8.6
Net rating
+0.7
94.1
Offensive rating
103.9
102.7
Defensive rating
103.2
47.6%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
21.9%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.5%
3-point %
35.4%
68.2%
Assist %
67.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 103.9Defence102.7 · 103.2Shooting47.6% · 51.5%3-point %29.5% · 35.4%Ball care21.9% · 19.4%Off. rebounds28.0% · 31.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Rogaska   ■ Polzela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rogaska wins
3
Polzela wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Rogaska v Polzela77-69
18/11/23Polzela v Rogaska75-73
11/03/23Polzela v Rogaska102-99 OT
07/01/23Rogaska v Polzela89-67
21/10/22Polzela v Rogaska83-87 OT
23/04/22Rogaska v Polzela116-99
16/03/22Polzela v Rogaska83-97
26/02/22Polzela v Rogaska74-81
05/11/21Rogaska v Polzela87-90 OT
11/05/21Rogaska v Polzela90-72
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AHelios Domzale69-99
15/04/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek80-70
08/04/24ALTH Castings76-80 OT
29/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija82-79
23/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj79-46
13/03/24AKK Krka Novo mesto59-116
09/03/24HTajfun Sentjur87-75
02/03/24ASencur61-69
15/02/24HKK Krka Novo mesto72-85
05/02/24APerspektiva Ilirija98-99 OT
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/24HKK Krka Novo mesto98-95 OT
17/04/24ASencur94-82
06/04/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek75-82
30/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj81-66
23/03/24HTajfun Sentjur100-86
15/03/24AHelios Domzale77-83
09/03/24HLTH Castings81-76 OT
01/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija65-85
06/02/24HSencur80-60
27/01/24ARogaska69-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game75.281.569.8
Allowed / game78.777.080.1
Point differential-3.5+4.5-10.4
Avg total153.9158.5149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW35%
HomeWWWLW38%
AwayLLLWW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %35%38%31%
Points / game79.980.479.4
Allowed / game85.584.686.3
Point differential-5.6-4.2-6.9
Avg total165.3165.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2722581%91.676.9+14.7
2 Helios Domzale2721678%86.777.7+9.0
3 Perspektiva Ilirija27151256%80.879.0+1.8
4 Sencur27131448%78.079.8-1.8
5 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek26121446%82.184.2-2.1
6 LTH Castings27121544%80.483.5-3.1
7 Rogaska26101638%75.278.7-3.5
8 Tajfun Sentjur27101737%80.185.7-5.6
9 KK Triglav Kranj2691735%73.077.5-4.5
10 Polzela2691735%79.985.5-5.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska1327232184
Polzela1520102368
← all games of the day
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