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Lublin vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 77-91
15-23 22-31 18-25 22-12
Position#13
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#5
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game77.2
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 8· Globus
Other2025-26
Meetings · Lublin v Zielona Gora
20 Dec 2026
LUB v ZGO
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
LUB77
ZGO91
13 Dec 2024
LUB91
ZGO82
26 Nov 2023
LUB91
ZGO95
03 Mar 2023
LUB76
ZGO83
22 Dec 2022
LUB88
ZGO94
17 Feb 2022
LUB82
ZGO81
19 Nov 2021
LUB73
ZGO99
20 Mar 2021
LUB90
ZGO103
29 Sep 2019
LUB84
ZGO79
06 Feb 2019
LUB69
ZGO77
15 Dec 2017
LUB82
ZGO81
10 Dec 2016
LUB63
ZGO85
13 Dec 2015
LUB82
ZGO78
04 Oct 2014
LUB73
ZGO86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lublin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zielona Gora winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LublinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLublin
Date
Competition
Krosno
#16
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 77
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
W
90-80
90
80
+10
81avg 77
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
83avg 77
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
92-95
92
95
-3
83avg 77
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
72-98
72
98
-26
55avg 77
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#2
L
75-102
75
102
-27
62avg 77
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
76-91
76
91
-15
68avg 77
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 77
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 77
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
76-73
76
73
+3
66avg 77
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-18
25-23
19-21
17-17
21-23
23-18
29-22
18-17
17-26
22-13
21-22
24-25
18-22
19-18
31-30
15-27
23-24
21-18
13-29
26-21
22-24
12-25
15-32
20-25
14-26
20-17
22-23
15-19
9-18
20-18
26-24
19-26
20-24
23-21
19-19
25-18
17-8
15-25
19-22
167.8Avg total
80.4Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.289.2167.3-11.033%
Season at home (2)83.088.0171.0-5.050%
Season away (4)75.889.8165.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)80.487.4167.8-7.040%
Last 5 (5)75.687.0162.6-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.988.5168.4-8.536%
vs Similar (14)84.485.2169.6-0.850%
vs Weaker (3)83.381.7165.0+1.767%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
85-83
85
83
+2
82avg 74
A24/04
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
L
75-77
75
77
-2
74avg 74
H30/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
81avg 74
A04/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 74
H07/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
L
79-86 OT
79
86
-7
72avg 74
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
86-62
86
62
+24
88avg 74
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
75-77
75
77
-2
64avg 74
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
82-70
82
70
+12
80avg 74
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
48avg 74
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
71-88
71
88
-17
67avg 74
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
24-25
15-20
19-21
20-27
24-15
15-16
16-19
22-14
18-25
26-13
16-28
18-26
26-17
23-28
25-16
17-15
17-13
15-24
18-15
24-18
24-16
17-17
21-11
18-21
22-21
18-16
17-19
13-17
23-16
20-16
26-21
19-22
16-21
16-22
15-15
17-21
11-21
22-28
21-18
158.3Avg total
79.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.577.2153.7-0.733%
Season at home (4)76.880.2157.0-3.525%
Season away (2)76.071.0147.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)79.379.0158.3+0.350%
Last 5 (5)76.075.4151.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.883.7160.5-6.825%
vs Similar (16)80.981.9162.8-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)82.574.0156.5+8.550%
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
LublinZielona Gora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LublinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krosno
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#14
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Murcia
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#10
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
KK Bosna
#4
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#8
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
80.5Avg total
37.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.585.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.642.685.2-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.444.384.8-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.780.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.879.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.444.082.4-5.618%-
vs Similar (14)44.444.188.5+0.257%-
vs Weaker (3)38.739.778.3-1.033%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A24/04
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H30/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#15
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A04/05
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A13/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
78.8Avg total
40.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.481.4-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.380.4-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.582.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.878.8+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.342.882.2-3.542%-
vs Similar (16)40.441.681.9-1.231%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Lublin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lublintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lublin: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.1
50.8%
54.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.8
32.9%
33.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.614.0
68.0%
72.7%14.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.3
56.3%
54.1%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.6
33.9%
33.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
72.7%13.3
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lublin
WLLLLLLWWW
Zielona Gora
LLWLWLWWLW
#13
League position
#5
-8.8
Net rating
+1.0
99.9
Offensive rating
107.4
108.7
Defensive rating
106.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
17.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.9%
3-point %
33.9%
48.8%
Assist %
68.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 107.4Defence108.7 · 106.5Shooting50.3% · 54.3%3-point %32.9% · 33.9%Ball care17.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds24.6% · 28.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Lublin   ■ Zielona Gora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lublin wins
7
Zielona Gora wins
DateGameScore
10/04/25Zielona Gora v Lublin101-92
13/12/24Lublin v Zielona Gora91-82
24/03/24Zielona Gora v Lublin91-103
26/11/23Lublin v Zielona Gora91-95
03/03/23Lublin v Zielona Gora76-83
22/12/22Lublin v Zielona Gora88-94 OT
27/10/22Zielona Gora v Lublin96-67
17/02/22Lublin v Zielona Gora82-81 OT
20/01/22Zielona Gora v Lublin85-70
19/11/21Lublin v Zielona Gora73-99
Lublinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HRilski Sportist76-73
08/11/25AAnwil Wloclawek81-90
05/11/25AKK Bosna70-79
02/11/25HOstrow Wielkopolski76-91
29/10/25HMurcia75-102
25/10/25ACzarni Slupsk72-98
22/10/25ARilski Sportist92-95
18/10/25HTorun90-85 OT
15/10/25HKK Bosna90-80
11/10/25AKrosno82-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25HLegia71-88
01/11/25ASzczecin66-80
26/10/25HDabrowa Gornicza82-70
17/10/25HGdynia75-77
13/10/25AGTK Gliwice86-62
03/10/25HGornik Walbrzych79-86 OT
07/05/25HOstrow Wielkopolski92-87
04/05/25ASpojnia Stargard82-80
30/04/25HCzarni Slupsk75-77
24/04/25ADziki Warszawa85-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lublin
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game78.283.075.8
Allowed / game89.288.089.8
Point differential-11.0-5.0-14.0
Avg total167.3171.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game76.576.876.0
Allowed / game77.280.271.0
Point differential-0.7-3.5+5.0
Avg total153.7157.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Legia76186%87.077.7+9.3
2 Szczecin76186%86.180.6+5.6
3 Trefl Sopot65183%91.378.2+13.2
4 Gornik Walbrzych64267%79.880.3-0.5
5 Gdynia64267%84.387.0-2.7
6 Slask Wroclaw74357%88.782.7+6.0
7 Czarni Slupsk74357%89.784.3+5.4
8 Anwil Wloclawek63350%89.583.2+6.3
9 Dziki Warszawa73443%86.184.6+1.6
10 Zielona Gora62433%76.577.2-0.7
11 Torun62433%85.886.7-0.8
12 Dabrowa Gornicza62433%82.585.7-3.2
13 Lublin62433%78.289.2-11.0
14 Ostrow Wielkopolski72529%83.492.4-9.0
15 Krosno61517%82.387.5-5.2
16 GTK Gliwice61517%72.790.2-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lublin1522182277
Zielona Gora2331251291
← all games of the day
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