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Bayern vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 97-92
23-26 20-13 26-26 28-27
Position#16
Record4-9
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game77.8
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record6-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game83.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Valencia
28 Jan 2027
BAY v VAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
BAY93
VAL89
28 Dec 2023
BAY85
VAL84
15 Dec 2022
BAY97
VAL92
13 Nov 2020
BAY90
VAL79
11 Mar 2015
BAY60
VAL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
82-69
82
69
+13
80avg 72
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 72
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 72
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
87avg 72
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 72
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 72
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
53-78
53
78
-25
43avg 72
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 72
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
48avg 72
H13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
27-9
15-21
20-22
25-15
17-18
11-20
22-21
14-17
19-17
17-19
29-27
23-16
26-18
14-21
20-18
26-24
24-20
23-23
25-22
13-14
34-16
13-14
20-19
26-20
18-11
18-19
19-27
10-17
20-27
12-11
11-23
16-23
18-18
14-21
20-16
22-21
17-21
11-12
14-14
151.2Avg total
76.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.277.8150.9-4.631%
Season at home (7)75.779.7155.4-4.029%
Season away (6)70.275.5145.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)76.374.9151.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)69.272.8142.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.278.8151.9-5.623%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.176.1154.2+2.062%
vs Weaker (8)82.972.4155.2+10.588%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
59-89
59
89
-30
44avg 77
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
69avg 77
A19/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 77
H22/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 77
H25/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
67-83
67
83
-16
55avg 77
H27/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
no box
A01/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
62-79
62
79
-17
no box
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
68avg 77
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
104-69
104
69
+35
110avg 77
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
94-91 OT
94
91
+3
no box
H13/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-24
17-18
17-24
17-23
17-27
19-23
18-23
24-21
19-31
12-10
15-18
27-21
31-24
13-13
17-22
15-21
15-14
21-31
21-16
10-22
21-21
16-22
23-21
24-20
7-19
20-13
16-26
19-21
10-15
17-20
20-18
21-31
22-14
23-22
34-9
25-24
20-26
24-15
26-22
14-21
162.6Avg total
78.1Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.483.6164.0-3.246%
Season at home (7)80.980.9161.7+0.043%
Season away (6)79.886.8166.7-7.050%
Last 10 (10)78.184.5162.6-6.430%
Last 5 (5)85.683.8169.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.385.4163.8-7.133%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.882.5163.2-1.746%
vs Weaker (5)88.678.2166.8+10.480%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.9-2.9
BayernValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
47-26
47
26
+21
A19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/11
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/12
Euroleague
77.4Avg total
41.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.777.8+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.239.279.4+0.938%-
Last 30 away (14)40.135.976.0+4.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.535.977.4+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.240.377.5-3.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.237.678.9+3.650%-
vs Weaker (8)43.434.177.5+9.275%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A17/11
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H22/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H25/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H27/11
ACB
Partizan
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/12
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A08/12
Euroleague
Basquet Girona
#15
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H11/12
ACB
Panathinaikos
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/12
Euroleague
75.4Avg total
35.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.279.9-0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.140.180.3+0.060%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.379.5-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)35.240.275.4-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.473.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.842.278.0-6.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.339.180.4+2.277%-
vs Weaker (5)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.015.6
47.3%
53.5%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.6
35.2%
36.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws16.914.4
85.2%
78.5%14.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.715.4
48.6%
53.5%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.6
36.1%
36.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.813.0
77.4%
78.5%13.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LLLWWWWLWW
Valencia
WWLLWLLLLL
#16
League position
#13
-2.0
Net rating
-8.4
108.3
Offensive rating
104.2
110.4
Defensive rating
112.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
20.5%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.2%
3-point %
36.1%
54.8%
Assist %
61.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.3 · 104.2Defence110.4 · 112.6Shooting49.8% · 51.2%3-point %35.2% · 36.1%Ball care19.0% · 20.5%Off. rebounds34.4% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Bayern   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
25/03/21Valencia v Bayern83-76
13/11/20Bayern v Valencia90-79
11/03/15Bayern v Valencia60-94
04/03/15Valencia v Bayern80-58
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22HReal Madrid64-68
11/12/22ABonn68-78
09/12/22ABaskonia53-78
06/12/22HOldenburg81-77
04/12/22HBayreuth80-63
02/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-89
27/11/22HWurzburg83-73
25/11/22AMonaco79-80
23/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne75-74
19/11/22ASyntainics MBC82-69
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22HPanathinaikos94-91 OT
11/12/22HBasquet Girona104-69
08/12/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv68-84
04/12/22AReal Madrid62-79
01/12/22APartizan100-96 OT
27/11/22HUnicaja67-83
25/11/22HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
22/11/22HReal Madrid73-80
19/11/22ATenerife78-94
17/11/22AVirtus Bologna59-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL31%
HomeLWLWL29%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%29%33%
Points / game73.275.770.2
Allowed / game77.879.775.5
Point differential-4.6-4.0-5.3
Avg total150.9155.4145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW46%
HomeWWLLW43%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%43%50%
Points / game80.480.979.8
Allowed / game83.680.986.8
Point differential-3.2+0.0-7.0
Avg total164.0161.7166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %15%14%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1310377%85.577.5+7.9
2 Olympiacos139469%87.377.5+9.8
3 Barcelona139469%79.575.8+3.7
4 Monaco139469%82.780.4+2.3
5 Real Madrid149564%83.278.4+4.8
6 Baskonia138562%86.080.9+5.1
7 Anadolu Efes137654%83.278.0+5.2
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv137654%82.282.3-0.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%76.178.7-2.6
10 Crvena zvezda147750%73.676.6-3.1
11 Panathinaikos136746%81.282.3-1.2
12 Valencia136746%80.483.6-3.2
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne135838%73.778.3-4.6
14 Virtus Bologna135838%75.580.5-5.0
15 Partizan134931%84.587.4-2.9
16 Bayern134931%73.277.8-4.6
17 Olimpia Milano1441029%68.976.0-7.1
18 Alba Berlin1331023%80.684.3-3.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2320262897
Valencia2613262792
← all games of the day
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