PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-68
21-11 22-17 18-16 23-24
Position#16
Record5-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game78.8
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record6-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game82.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2022
Meetings · Bayern v Panathinaikos
18 Dec 2026
BAY v PAO
upcoming
15 Jan 2026
BAY85
PAO78
27 Dec 2024
BAY69
PAO80
05 Apr 2024
BAY75
PAO82
05 Jan 2023
BAY84
PAO68
18 Nov 2021
BAY81
PAO78
04 Mar 2021
BAY76
PAO71
16 Oct 2018
BAY80
PAO79
23 Oct 2014
BAY81
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 72
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
53-78
53
78
-25
43avg 72
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 72
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
48avg 72
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 72
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 72
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
73avg 72
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 72
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 72
A03/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
18-11
18-19
19-27
10-17
20-27
12-11
11-23
16-23
18-18
14-21
20-16
22-21
17-21
11-12
14-14
23-26
20-13
26-26
28-27
22-20
31-23
18-19
26-16
21-26
14-18
13-16
19-15
23-25
27-26
17-18
20-14
14-19
15-22
20-18
28-24
31-15
22-15
18-15
7-20
154.6Avg total
76.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)74.578.8153.3-4.331%
Season at home (8)78.481.2159.6-2.938%
Season away (8)70.676.4147.0-5.825%
Last 10 (10)76.977.7154.6-0.850%
Last 5 (5)81.276.8158.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.679.4152.0-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.977.8154.6-0.950%
vs Weaker (11)84.173.2157.3+10.991%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
81-67
81
67
+14
79avg 75
A02/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
61avg 75
A05/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
90-77 OT
90
77
+13
no box
H08/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
71-57
71
57
+14
60avg 75
H11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#13
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
no box
A13/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
58avg 75
A16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
69-88
69
88
-19
60avg 75
A23/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#10
W
96-65
96
65
+31
94avg 75
A26/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
71-95
71
95
-24
58avg 75
H30/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
75-44
75
44
+31
75avg 75
A02/01
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
17-15
16-25
21-14
14-24
24-11
10-14
18-19
13-22
20-20
19-17
20-13
25-17
13-12
18-19
15-9
26-20
15-24
22-26
21-14
12-28
18-15
21-19
17-12
13-21
13-21
22-25
21-21
26-12
19-14
26-24
25-15
20-26
16-27
14-20
21-22
25-8
21-17
19-15
10-4
150.7Avg total
77.8Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.982.9161.9-4.038%
Season at home (8)82.680.4163.0+2.250%
Season away (8)75.285.5160.8-10.225%
Last 10 (10)77.872.9150.7+4.950%
Last 5 (5)75.873.2149.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.783.3157.0-9.68%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.082.0164.0+0.067%
vs Weaker (11)81.664.0145.6+17.691%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.6+4.6
BayernPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A03/01
BBL
81.6Avg total
41.0Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.878.7+3.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.538.781.3+3.853%-
Last 30 away (15)39.436.876.2+2.647%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.681.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.540.275.7-4.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.937.678.5+3.262%-
vs Weaker (11)45.736.181.8+9.673%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A02/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A05/12
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H08/12
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H11/12
Basket League
Valencia
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/12
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A16/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A23/12
Euroleague
Apollon Patras
#10
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A26/12
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/12
Euroleague
Promitheas
#4
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A02/01
Basket League
74.4Avg total
37.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.877.3+1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.637.376.9+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)39.538.377.7+1.247%-
Last 10 (10)37.736.774.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.637.874.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.144.281.2-7.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.539.377.8-0.833%-
vs Weaker (11)43.029.572.5+13.591%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.915.9
46.9%
53.5%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
36.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.017.0
85.0%
78.5%17.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.0
51.9%
53.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.7
34.1%
36.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.011.4
76.0%
78.5%11.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WLWLWWLLLW
Panathinaikos
WLWLLLWWLW
#16
League position
#15
-1.4
Net rating
+11.4
106.4
Offensive rating
107.3
107.8
Defensive rating
95.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
51.6%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.8%
3-point %
34.1%
56.0%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 107.3Defence107.8 · 95.9Shooting47.3% · 51.6%3-point %31.8% · 34.1%Ball care17.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bayern wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23ARostock78-65
29/12/22APartizan77-83
27/12/22AHeidelberg87-83
23/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas67-75
17/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig97-78
15/12/22HValencia97-92
13/12/22HReal Madrid64-68
11/12/22ABonn68-78
09/12/22ABaskonia53-78
06/12/22HOldenburg81-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23APromitheas75-44
30/12/22HOlympiacos71-95
26/12/22AApollon Patras96-65
23/12/22AAnadolu Efes69-88
16/12/22ABarcelona68-74
13/12/22AValencia91-94 OT
11/12/22HAEK Athens71-57
08/12/22HOlimpia Milano90-77 OT
05/12/22AOlympiacos66-68
02/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeWLWLW38%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game74.578.470.6
Allowed / game78.881.276.4
Point differential-4.3-2.9-5.8
Avg total153.3159.6147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game78.982.675.2
Allowed / game82.980.485.5
Point differential-4.0+2.2-10.2
Avg total161.9163.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)25% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %19%25%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1611569%80.677.0+3.6
2 Monaco1611569%82.680.9+1.7
3 Baskonia1711665%85.980.7+5.2
4 Olympiacos1610662%86.977.9+9.1
5 Real Madrid1610662%83.978.9+5.0
6 Fenerbahce1710759%82.878.5+4.2
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%81.580.6+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas179853%77.077.6-0.6
9 Anadolu Efes168850%82.677.8+4.8
10 Crvena zvezda168850%75.978.6-2.8
11 Partizan167944%83.585.2-1.8
12 Valencia167944%81.284.8-3.6
13 Virtus Bologna167944%76.981.1-4.2
14 Panathinaikos1661038%78.982.9-4.0
15 Olimpia Milano1661038%70.875.9-5.1
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne1661038%74.279.8-5.6
17 Bayern1651131%74.578.8-4.3
18 Alba Berlin1751229%81.484.4-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2122182384
Panathinaikos1117162468
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.