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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-67
26-21 18-14 16-13 15-19
Position#9
Record7-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#16
Record5-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2022
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Bayern
17 Nov 2026
ZAL v BAY
upcoming
24 Mar 2026
ZAL78
BAY71
30 Jan 2025
ZAL82
BAY97
17 Nov 2023
ZAL74
BAY73
23 Dec 2022
ZAL75
BAY67
21 Oct 2021
ZAL73
BAY75
23 Dec 2020
ZAL74
BAY73
14 Mar 2019
ZAL85
BAY79
03 Jan 2014
ZAL66
BAY84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
75avg 77
A25/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 77
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
67-81
67
81
-14
52avg 77
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
79avg 77
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 77
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
84-61
84
61
+23
91avg 77
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
L
73-77
73
77
-4
68avg 77
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
81-72
81
72
+9
70avg 77
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
89-71
89
71
+18
93avg 77
A21/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-31
13-13
22-17
21-15
21-15
23-24
24-29
22-17
13-27
15-17
25-16
14-21
23-18
20-18
13-22
24-17
19-25
14-8
15-30
12-23
19-14
21-18
21-13
23-16
22-14
15-22
21-20
15-21
18-21
19-14
19-20
25-17
24-12
8-25
27-14
26-26
20-14
17-19
33-17
19-21
155.0Avg total
78.9Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.178.7154.9-2.650%
Season at home (7)72.674.1146.7-1.671%
Season away (7)79.783.3163.0-3.629%
Last 10 (10)78.976.1155.0+2.870%
Last 5 (5)82.471.6154.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.475.4147.9-3.057%
vs Weaker (17)88.272.2160.4+16.194%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
79-80
79
80
-1
71avg 73
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
83-73
83
73
+10
87avg 73
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
98-89
98
89
+9
90avg 73
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
80-63
80
63
+17
no box
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 73
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
53-78
53
78
-25
43avg 73
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 73
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
48avg 73
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 73
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H17/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
19-17
17-19
29-27
23-16
26-18
14-21
20-18
26-24
24-20
23-23
25-22
13-14
34-16
13-14
20-19
26-20
18-11
18-19
19-27
10-17
20-27
12-11
11-23
16-23
18-18
14-21
20-16
22-21
17-21
11-12
14-14
23-26
20-13
26-26
28-27
22-20
31-23
18-19
26-16
157.6Avg total
80.0Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.978.8153.6-3.936%
Season at home (8)78.481.2159.6-2.938%
Season away (6)70.275.5145.7-5.333%
Last 10 (10)80.077.6157.6+2.460%
Last 5 (5)75.878.8154.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.278.2151.3-5.025%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.478.4157.8+1.062%
vs Weaker (9)84.473.0157.4+11.489%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
Zalgiris KaunasBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/11
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H28/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H02/12
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A05/12
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/12
Euroleague
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H11/12
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A13/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H15/12
Euroleague
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A21/12
LKL
73.7Avg total
36.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.078.2+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.575.5+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.338.580.8+3.980%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.973.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.634.671.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.137.670.7-4.429%-
vs Weaker (17)44.735.380.0+9.494%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A25/11
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H27/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H02/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#6
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/12
German Cup
Oldenburg
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/12
BBL
Baskonia
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/12
BBL
80.4Avg total
42.2Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.678.1+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.139.480.5+1.644%-
Last 30 away (12)39.734.974.6+4.858%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.280.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.740.377.0-3.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.437.078.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker (9)44.435.179.6+9.378%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.5
52.9%
53.5%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.8
34.8%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.114.9
82.3%
78.5%14.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.8
50.3%
53.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
36.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.315.2
83.1%
78.5%15.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWLWLWW
Bayern
WWLLLWWWWL
#9
League position
#16
+4.8
Net rating
+2.3
110.9
Offensive rating
113.5
106.1
Defensive rating
111.2
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
36.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.8%
3-point %
36.7%
69.2%
Assist %
51.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 113.5Defence106.1 · 111.2Shooting52.6% · 52.4%3-point %34.8% · 36.7%Ball care18.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds32.1% · 36.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
6
Bayern wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22AGargzdai89-71
18/12/22HLietkabelis85-77
15/12/22HReal Madrid81-72
13/12/22ACrvena zvezda73-77
11/12/22HPieno Zvaigzdes84-61
09/12/22HAnadolu Efes60-86
05/12/22AJonava80-75
02/12/22HPanathinaikos67-81
28/11/22HBC Wolves90-85
25/11/22AValencia80-76
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig97-78
15/12/22HValencia97-92
13/12/22HReal Madrid64-68
11/12/22ABonn68-78
09/12/22ABaskonia53-78
06/12/22HOldenburg81-77
04/12/22HBayreuth80-63
02/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv98-89
27/11/22HWurzburg83-73
25/11/22AMonaco79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game76.172.679.7
Allowed / game78.774.183.3
Point differential-2.6-1.6-3.6
Avg total154.9146.7163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeWLWLW38%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %36%38%33%
Points / game74.978.470.2
Allowed / game78.881.275.5
Point differential-3.9-2.9-5.3
Avg total153.6159.6145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1410471%79.175.3+3.9
2 Monaco1410471%83.481.0+2.4
3 Fenerbahce1510567%83.577.1+6.4
4 Real Madrid1510567%83.878.1+5.7
5 Baskonia1510567%85.680.1+5.5
6 Olympiacos159660%86.478.3+8.1
7 Anadolu Efes158753%83.377.7+5.6
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv158753%81.681.2+0.4
9 Crvena zvezda158753%74.777.3-2.6
10 Zalgiris Kaunas147750%76.178.7-2.6
11 Valencia146843%81.284.6-3.4
12 Partizan156940%83.585.8-2.3
13 Panathinaikos156940%79.582.1-2.7
14 Virtus Bologna156940%75.980.6-4.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne156940%73.979.0-5.1
16 Bayern145936%74.978.8-3.9
17 Olimpia Milano1441029%68.976.0-7.1
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.584.7-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2618161575
Bayern2114131967
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