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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-80
27-23 17-21 17-20 18-16
Position#3
Record11-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#2
Record11-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game79.7
GermanyBBLRound 14
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
53-78
53
78
-25
43avg 73
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
68-78
68
78
-10
58avg 73
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
64-68
64
68
-4
48avg 73
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 73
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
97-78
97
78
+19
no box
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 73
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
73avg 73
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
71avg 73
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
78-65
78
65
+13
74avg 73
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 73
H05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-17
20-27
12-11
11-23
16-23
18-18
14-21
20-16
22-21
17-21
11-12
14-14
23-26
20-13
26-26
28-27
22-20
31-23
18-19
26-16
21-26
14-18
13-16
19-15
23-25
27-26
17-18
20-14
14-19
15-22
20-18
28-24
31-15
22-15
18-15
7-20
21-11
22-17
18-16
23-24
154.0Avg total
77.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.275.2158.3+8.085%
Season at home (7)86.475.3161.7+11.1100%
Season away (6)79.375.0154.3+4.367%
Last 10 (10)77.276.8154.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)78.674.8153.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.679.4152.0-6.820%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.776.7154.3+1.056%
vs Weaker (10)84.273.1157.3+11.190%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
75-104
75
104
-29
62avg 83
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 83
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 83
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 83
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
110-83
110
83
+27
117avg 83
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
56avg 83
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
86-60
86
60
+26
92avg 83
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
99-74
99
74
+25
106avg 83
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
85-84
85
84
+1
88avg 83
H05/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-30
17-30
23-20
27-20
13-29
21-18
30-16
15-18
14-22
23-23
24-22
25-28
19-24
21-20
24-20
32-16
30-20
29-24
19-23
21-19
26-21
16-21
7-22
16-15
21-14
26-20
23-11
15-27
32-22
26-16
18-14
28-17
18-19
27-24
26-14
27-20
27-28
23-19
8-17
169.9Avg total
87.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.179.7172.8+13.492%
Season at home (6)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
Season away (6)97.283.3180.5+13.883%
Last 10 (10)87.282.7169.9+4.560%
Last 5 (5)86.276.0162.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.887.7168.4-6.922%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.080.6162.6+1.438%
vs Weaker (12)94.679.1173.7+15.592%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A09/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A11/12
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H13/12
Euroleague
Valencia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/12
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H17/12
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A23/12
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A27/12
BBL
Partizan
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A29/12
Euroleague
Rostock
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A03/01
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H05/01
Euroleague
81.2Avg total
40.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.879.0+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.180.6+4.556%-
Last 30 away (14)39.637.677.1+2.043%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.381.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.880.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.540.275.7-4.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.136.677.7+4.667%-
vs Weaker (10)46.637.183.7+9.570%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/12
Euroleague
Bayreuth
#18
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H10/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#14
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A14/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A16/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#4
W
62-36
62
36
+26
A18/12
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/12
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/12
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A30/12
Euroleague
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/01
BBL
Baskonia
#8
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H05/01
Euroleague
87.4Avg total
44.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.784.9+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.685.2+2.171%-
Last 30 away (16)42.841.884.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.387.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.486.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)44.346.190.4-1.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.939.579.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (12)44.439.283.6+5.283%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.8
47.3%
54.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.3
32.7%
35.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.715.5
82.9%
75.8%15.5
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.621.6
60.7%
54.4%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.9
34.4%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.214.0
76.9%
75.8%14.0
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWLWWLLL
Alba Berlin
WWWWLWLLWL
#3
League position
#2
+0.3
Net rating
+6.8
107.3
Offensive rating
114.2
107.0
Defensive rating
107.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
56.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
34.4%
56.7%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 114.2Defence107.0 · 107.4Shooting48.1% · 56.6%3-point %32.7% · 34.4%Ball care16.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.6% · 33.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
10/11/22Alba Berlin v Bayern77-79
19/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin81-96
17/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern60-90
14/06/22Bayern v Alba Berlin58-71
10/06/22Alba Berlin v Bayern86-73
10/05/22Bayern v Alba Berlin78-83
28/01/22Bayern v Alba Berlin62-56
12/12/21Alba Berlin v Bayern73-80
28/10/21Alba Berlin v Bayern69-82
13/06/21Bayern v Alba Berlin79-86
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23HPanathinaikos84-68
03/01/23ARostock78-65
29/12/22APartizan77-83
27/12/22AHeidelberg87-83
23/12/22AZalgiris Kaunas67-75
17/12/22HBasketball Braunschweig97-78
15/12/22HValencia97-92
13/12/22HReal Madrid64-68
11/12/22ABonn68-78
09/12/22ABaskonia53-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/23HBaskonia85-84
03/01/23HFrankfurt99-74
30/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne91-79
27/12/22HSyntainics MBC86-60
22/12/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv70-83
18/12/22AUlm110-83
16/12/22AMonaco89-92
14/12/22AVirtus Bologna76-85
10/12/22HBayreuth91-83
08/12/22HFenerbahce75-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%100%67%
Points / game83.286.479.3
Allowed / game75.275.375.0
Point differential+8.0+11.1+4.3
Avg total158.3161.7154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%71%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game93.189.097.2
Allowed / game79.776.083.3
Point differential+13.4+13.0+13.8
Avg total172.8165.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn1413193%90.675.1+15.5
2 Alba Berlin1211192%93.179.7+13.4
3 Bayern1311285%83.275.2+8.0
4 Gottingen149564%87.184.1+2.9
5 Oldenburg149564%85.182.4+2.6
6 Ludwigsburg138562%87.584.5+2.9
7 Chemnitz127558%87.684.8+2.8
8 Wurzburg147750%84.985.9-1.0
9 Bamberg146843%85.184.3+0.8
10 Ulm146843%87.687.6+0.0
11 Hamburg146843%83.585.1-1.6
12 Syntainics MBC146843%83.888.4-4.6
13 Rostock146843%86.692.5-5.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins145936%88.492.9-4.6
15 Frankfurt1441029%78.784.6-5.9
16 Heidelberg1441029%85.391.8-6.5
17 Bayreuth1431121%80.787.6-6.9
18 Basketball Braunschweig1421214%76.985.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2717171879
Alba Berlin2321201680
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