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Ludwigsburg vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 99-73
29-21 19-17 29-18 22-17
Position#26
Record4-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#31
Record4-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Final· Arena Ludwigsburg
European cup2023
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Darussafaka
16 Jan 2024
LUD99
DAR73
02 Jan 2024
LUD82
DAR63
30 Nov 2022
LUD63
DAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#38
L
60-80
60
80
-20
40avg 74
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 74
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
W
83-79
83
79
+4
66avg 74
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 74
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
104-80
104
80
+24
102avg 74
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
104-94
104
94
+10
99avg 74
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
82-63
82
63
+19
72avg 74
H02/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-85
66
85
-19
50avg 74
A06/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 74
A10/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
106-59
106
59
+47
59avg 74
H13/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
14-20
17-11
17-27
17-22
21-27
23-12
17-20
21-18
14-20
22-18
26-23
25-20
26-23
18-19
13-21
31-18
27-15
29-18
17-29
24-31
26-17
24-26
30-20
20-17
20-16
25-12
17-18
16-14
14-24
16-15
20-32
26-21
8-25
18-22
20-15
34-11
21-11
24-22
27-15
162.4Avg total
83.7Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.279.5158.8-0.250%
Season at home (4)81.577.2158.8+4.275%
Season away (4)77.081.8158.8-4.825%
Last 10 (10)83.778.7162.4+5.050%
Last 5 (5)86.076.8162.8+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.385.3159.7-11.017%
vs Similar (9)85.277.2162.4+8.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.178.9166.0+8.164%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDarussafaka
Date
Competition
Cholet
#14
L
86-97
86
97
-11
79avg 70
A05/12
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
79avg 70
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
78-112
78
112
-34
68avg 70
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 70
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
56-98
56
98
-42
42avg 70
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 70
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
63-82
63
82
-19
49avg 70
A02/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 70
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 70
H10/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
72-88
72
88
-16
65avg 70
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
25-20
19-26
28-26
34-21
15-24
20-23
18-21
21-22
22-28
16-29
19-33
22-17
19-24
21-23
25-17
14-29
15-22
12-25
15-22
22-26
17-17
16-19
23-23
17-20
16-20
12-25
18-17
25-29
20-19
16-18
25-18
21-26
25-8
22-18
15-20
17-19
15-24
15-19
25-26
166.4Avg total
77.6Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.281.8161.0-2.550%
Season at home (4)84.582.0166.5+2.575%
Season away (4)74.081.5155.5-7.525%
Last 10 (10)77.688.8166.4-11.230%
Last 5 (5)76.482.2158.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.583.7161.2-6.247%
vs Similar (12)84.286.4170.6-2.233%
vs Weaker (1)98.090.0188.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
LudwigsburgDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/12
Champions League
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H17/12
BBL
AEK Athens
#33
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A23/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H27/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H30/12
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H02/01
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A06/01
BBL
Darussafaka
#31
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/01
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
55-22
55
22
+33
H13/01
BBL
80.9Avg total
41.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.981.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.839.182.9+4.753%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.779.5-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.280.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.837.479.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.338.873.2-4.517%-
vs Similar (9)40.137.277.3+2.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.742.487.1+2.357%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cholet
#14
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A05/12
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H10/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
VEF Riga
#39
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H19/12
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H25/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A02/01
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/01
Champions League
Besiktas
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.6Avg total
39.6Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.884.0-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.841.982.7-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.743.785.4-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.644.083.6-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.642.682.2-3.129%-
vs Similar (12)42.443.686.0-1.233%-
vs Weaker (1)55.036.091.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.518.5
45.7%
51.4%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.210.6
32.9%
34.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
74.5%14.6
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.3
48.2%
51.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.8
33.0%
34.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
74.5%11.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
WLLWWWLWLL
Darussafaka
LWWLLLWLLL
#26
League position
#31
+7.3
Net rating
-15.0
106.5
Offensive rating
105.9
99.2
Defensive rating
120.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
48.7%
46.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.9%
3-point %
33.0%
66.0%
Assist %
55.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 105.9Defence99.2 · 120.9Shooting47.3% · 48.7%3-point %32.9% · 33.0%Ball care13.7% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.5% · 30.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ludwigsburg wins
2
Darussafaka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HCrailsheim Merlins106-59
10/01/24ADarussafaka72-83
06/01/24AChemnitz66-85
02/01/24HDarussafaka82-63
30/12/23HTubingen104-94
27/12/23HOldenburg104-80
23/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig82-83
20/12/23HAEK Athens83-79
17/12/23HSyntainics MBC78-81
06/12/23ASzczecin60-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ABesiktas72-88
10/01/24HLudwigsburg83-72
07/01/24HTurk Telekom86-84
02/01/24ALudwigsburg63-82
30/12/23AAnadolu Efes78-85
25/12/23HFenerbahce56-98
19/12/23HVEF Riga87-81
15/12/23APetkim Spor78-112
10/12/23HManisa87-89
05/12/23ACholet86-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game79.281.577.0
Allowed / game79.577.281.8
Point differential-0.2+4.2-4.8
Avg total158.8158.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Champions League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game79.284.574.0
Allowed / game81.882.081.5
Point differential-2.5+2.5-7.5
Avg total161.0166.5155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
2 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
3 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 AEK Athens65183%88.076.8+11.2
5 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
6 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
7 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
8 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
9 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
10 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
11 Cholet117464%82.282.5-0.4
12 Promitheas85362%85.677.6+8.0
13 Galatasaray85362%84.981.4+3.5
14 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
15 Peristeri85362%82.083.1-1.1
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
19 Bonn63350%82.878.8+4.0
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Hapoel Holon84450%75.574.6+0.9
22 Breogan84450%78.477.6+0.8
23 Karsiyaka84450%82.181.5+0.6
24 Ludwigsburg84450%79.279.5-0.2
25 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
26 Darussafaka84450%79.281.8-2.5
27 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
28 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
29 Oostende84450%75.480.0-4.6
30 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
31 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
32 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
33 Tofas94544%88.785.9+2.8
34 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Sassari83538%86.688.8-2.1
37 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2919292299
Darussafaka2117181773
← all games of the day
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