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Lusitania vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 74-97
15-20 30-26 17-28 12-23
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game52.0
Allowed / game54.5
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game64.5
PortugalProligaRound 3· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lusitania v Portimonense
19 Oct 2024
LUSI74
PORT97
23 Mar 2024
LUSI75
PORT92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
70-95
70
95
-25
57avg 58
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
71avg 58
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 58
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
87-113
87
113
-26
77avg 58
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
64-98
64
98
-34
48avg 58
A06/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 58
H13/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
61-89
61
89
-28
no box
A20/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
53avg 58
H27/04
LPB
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
60-59
60
59
+1
42avg 58
H05/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
28avg 58
A12/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-23
16-27
18-23
17-22
21-22
21-21
24-33
26-31
15-27
15-18
19-16
26-31
22-34
17-28
22-20
15-23
22-25
20-24
7-26
22-30
24-16
16-28
11-39
8-24
18-22
16-25
19-18
17-32
16-26
14-22
20-18
14-17
16-20
14-7
16-15
3-10
6-5
20-14
15-21
158.9Avg total
68.4Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)52.054.5106.5-2.550%
Season at home (1)60.059.0119.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)44.050.094.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)68.490.5158.9-22.110%
Last 5 (5)61.081.8142.8-20.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)73.393.6166.9-20.44%
vs Similar ◀ (1)44.050.094.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (1)60.059.0119.0+1.0100%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
66-93
66
93
-27
56avg 63
A02/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
62-86
62
86
-24
49avg 63
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 63
A23/03
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
53avg 63
A27/03
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 63
H06/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
56avg 63
H13/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
68avg 63
A20/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-105
61
105
-44
58avg 63
H27/04
LPB
Santo Andre
#9
W
60-53
60
53
+7
54avg 63
H05/10
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
68-76
68
76
-8
46avg 63
A13/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
18-21
13-23
11-23
14-23
22-20
12-19
14-24
31-26
27-15
18-15
16-19
26-22
17-22
12-22
11-22
22-28
24-8
8-14
18-24
21-22
16-27
20-18
15-14
25-26
15-12
15-20
18-20
21-24
14-26
16-19
10-36
12-11
16-15
16-17
16-10
22-27
17-19
14-9
15-21
150.1Avg total
69.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)64.064.5128.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)60.053.0113.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)69.280.9150.1-11.720%
Last 5 (5)66.878.6145.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.583.9151.5-16.45%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.272.7143.8-1.550%
vs Weaker (4)78.273.5151.8+4.875%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: -6.9-6.9
LusitaniaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H13/04
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A20/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
33-58
33
58
-25
H27/04
LPB
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H05/10
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
9-15
9
15
-6
A12/10
Proliga
80.6Avg total
34.4Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.744.180.9-7.413%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.345.785.0-6.320%-
Last 30 away (15)34.142.676.7-8.57%-
Last 10 (10)34.446.280.6-11.80%-
Last 5 (5)28.840.469.2-11.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)38.045.983.9-7.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)9.015.024.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (1)30.037.067.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A23/03
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/03
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H06/04
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H13/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A20/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H27/04
LPB
Santo Andre
#9
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H05/10
Proliga
Imortal B
#15
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A13/10
Proliga
82.4Avg total
40.4Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.239.977.2-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.537.473.9-0.838%-
Last 30 away (17)37.841.979.6-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.082.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.877.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)35.842.278.0-6.316%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.735.070.7+0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)43.239.582.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 68.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.5
46.1%
49.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.2
27.4%
30.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.710.1
64.3%
68.4%10.1
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.6 points a game
51%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.8
48.1%
49.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.74.9
24.9%
30.1%14.7
🏀 Free throws21.113.9
65.9%
68.4%13.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LWLLLLLLLL
Portimonense
LWLLLLLWLL
#6
League position
#7
-25.7
Net rating
-15.2
84.0
Offensive rating
87.2
109.7
Defensive rating
102.5
44.1%
Effective FG%
44.6%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
23.0%
Turnover %
23.5%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
27.4%
3-point %
24.9%
49.8%
Assist %
57.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence84.0 · 87.2Defence109.7 · 102.5Shooting44.1% · 44.6%3-point %27.4% · 24.9%Ball care23.0% · 23.5%Off. rebounds24.9% · 27.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Lusitania   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lusitania wins
3
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
23/03/24Lusitania v Portimonense75-92
14/02/24Portimonense v Lusitania86-79
18/11/23Portimonense v Lusitania67-64
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ASanto Andre44-50
05/10/24HBenfica Lisboa B60-59
27/04/24HFC Porto67-98
20/04/24AEsgueira61-89
13/04/24HBenfica73-113
06/04/24AOliveirense64-98
30/03/24HSporting CP87-113
23/03/24HPortimonense75-92
16/03/24HOliveirense83-98
14/03/24HSporting CP70-95
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/24AImortal B68-76
05/10/24HSanto Andre60-53
27/04/24HBenfica61-105
20/04/24AOliveirense73-78
13/04/24HVitoria72-81
06/04/24HCD Povoa72-74
27/03/24AImortal66-88
23/03/24ALusitania92-75
09/03/24HSporting CP62-86
02/03/24AOvarense66-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game52.060.044.0
Allowed / game54.559.050.0
Point differential-2.5+1.0-6.0
Avg total106.5119.094.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
Proliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game64.060.068.0
Allowed / game64.553.076.0
Point differential-0.5+7.0-8.0
Avg total128.5113.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illiabum220100%76.057.5+18.5
2 Braga220100%87.570.0+17.5
3 Imortal B220100%78.568.5+10.0
4 Vasco Da Gama220100%76.069.0+7.0
5 Santo Andre32167%59.354.3+5.0
6 Benfica Lisboa B21150%71.562.5+9.0
7 Galitos Aveiro21150%68.565.0+3.5
8 CAB Madeira21150%60.058.5+1.5
9 Portimonense21150%64.064.5-0.5
10 Barreirense21150%65.568.0-2.5
11 Ginasio21150%68.571.0-2.5
12 Lusitania21150%52.054.5-2.5
13 Sampaense2020%68.579.5-11.0
14 CB Queluz3030%59.774.7-15.0
15 Maia2020%70.086.0-16.0
16 Sangalhos2020%60.577.5-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1530171274
Portimonense2026282397
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