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Lusitania vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-95
21-22 15-23 16-27 18-23
Position#12
Record1-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game90.9
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP 🏆
Portugal
Position#4
Record12-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game80.4
PortugalLPBRound 15· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lusitania v Sporting CP
30 Mar 2024
LUSI87
SCP113
14 Mar 2024
LUSI70
SCP95
14 May 2023
LUSI73
SCP93
12 Mar 2023
LUSI56
SCP89
28 Jan 2023
LUSI96
SCP99
15 May 2022
LUSI78
SCP90
06 Nov 2021
LUSI83
SCP89
09 Dec 2020
LUSI65
SCP74
08 Feb 2020
LUSI82
SCP94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 59
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 59
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 59
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 59
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 59
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 59
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 59
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 59
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
68-102
68
102
-34
56avg 59
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 59
A09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
14-18
22-26
18-22
16-21
32-14
21-25
20-23
23-18
17-27
16-21
17-20
22-19
15-29
17-27
25-25
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
15-30
21-16
19-23
13-33
23-25
26-24
13-28
25-22
167.4Avg total
75.3Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.790.9164.6-17.37%
Season at home (6)74.790.5165.2-15.817%
Season away (9)73.091.2164.2-18.20%
Last 10 (10)75.392.1167.4-16.810%
Last 5 (5)73.295.4168.6-22.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)73.691.4165.0-17.87%
vs Similar (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
69avg 84
A14/01
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 84
H20/01
LPB
Jonava
#33
W
103-88
103
88
+15
100avg 84
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
74avg 84
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
81avg 84
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
98-68
98
68
+30
101avg 84
H04/02
LPB
Legia
#6
L
86-99
86
99
-13
81avg 84
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
82avg 84
H14/02
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 84
H02/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
86-62
86
62
+24
76avg 84
A09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
14-28
18-21
23-13
18-23
26-13
18-27
24-28
24-14
24-24
31-23
24-27
21-24
23-13
23-21
21-22
20-25
18-31
27-14
22-29
28-22
21-14
23-13
26-19
30-19
23-25
19-31
14-24
23-17
28-19
12-23
18-12
22-17
19-15
16-24
21-23
23-14
20-22
19-12
24-14
169.0Avg total
87.2Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)92.280.4172.6+11.875%
Season at home (8)91.480.1171.5+11.275%
Season away (8)93.080.6173.6+12.475%
Last 10 (10)87.281.8169.0+5.450%
Last 5 (5)85.875.8161.6+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.390.3172.7-8.017%
vs Similar (4)87.283.8171.0+3.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.579.5171.9+13.074%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
LusitaniaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
LPB
78.6Avg total
36.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.443.781.1-6.320%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.842.482.2-2.742%-
Last 30 away (18)35.844.580.3-8.76%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.878.6-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.043.877.8-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.844.582.3-6.718%-
vs Similar (1)27.030.057.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A14/01
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H20/01
LPB
Jonava
#33
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Vitoria
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/02
LPB
Legia
#6
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H07/02
FIBA Europe Cup
FC Porto
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H14/02
Taca da Liga
CD Povoa
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H02/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/03
LPB
84.7Avg total
44.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.739.384.9+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.735.981.6+9.886%-
Last 30 away (16)45.642.287.8+3.462%-
Last 10 (10)44.939.884.7+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.884.2+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.046.587.5-5.517%-
vs Similar (4)47.236.583.8+10.8100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.537.684.1+8.984%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.9
48.0%
51.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
33.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.2
69.7%
69.3%12.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.8
53.4%
51.0%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
33.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.913.6
72.0%
69.3%13.6
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLWL
Sporting CP
WLWLWLWWLL
#12
League position
#4
-22.2
Net rating
+7.2
94.8
Offensive rating
111.1
117.0
Defensive rating
103.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.9%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.8%
3-point %
35.4%
55.6%
Assist %
59.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 111.1Defence117.0 · 103.9Shooting47.3% · 53.3%3-point %30.8% · 35.4%Ball care18.8% · 16.9%Off. rebounds24.3% · 32.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Lusitania   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lusitania wins
10
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
21/10/23Sporting CP v Lusitania107-83
14/05/23Lusitania v Sporting CP73-93
10/05/23Sporting CP v Lusitania99-65
08/04/23Sporting CP v Lusitania98-59
12/03/23Lusitania v Sporting CP56-89
28/01/23Lusitania v Sporting CP96-99
05/11/22Sporting CP v Lusitania90-83
15/05/22Lusitania v Sporting CP78-90
13/05/22Sporting CP v Lusitania82-66
19/03/22Sporting CP v Lusitania91-64
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ACD Povoa87-99
02/03/24HVitoria68-102
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93
06/01/24AImortal79-100
22/12/23AFC Porto73-86
16/12/23HEsgueira89-83
09/12/23HMaia76-82
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24APortimonense86-62
02/03/24HCD Povoa78-79
14/02/24HFC Porto81-71
07/02/24HLegia86-99
04/02/24HVitoria98-68
31/01/24ABahcesehir Kol.87-99
27/01/24AVitoria88-80
24/01/24HJonava103-88
20/01/24HOvarense86-91
14/01/24AFC Porto79-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL7%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %7%17%0%
Points / game73.774.773.0
Allowed / game90.990.591.2
Point differential-17.3-15.8-18.2
Avg total164.6165.2164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayLWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game92.291.493.0
Allowed / game80.480.180.6
Point differential+11.8+11.2+12.4
Avg total172.6171.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1714382%87.374.0+13.3
2 Benfica1713476%88.268.8+19.5
3 Sporting CP1612475%92.280.4+11.8
4 Oliveirense1611569%78.774.2+4.4
5 Ovarense1711665%79.978.1+1.8
6 CD Povoa179853%82.884.6-1.8
7 Vitoria178947%80.880.2+0.5
8 Imortal178947%78.582.0-3.5
9 Galomar1751229%73.479.5-6.2
10 Portimonense1751229%70.879.2-8.5
11 Esgueira1731418%71.886.9-15.2
12 Lusitania151147%73.790.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2115161870
Sporting CP2223272395
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