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Esgueira vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 89-61
24-8 22-18 25-16 18-19
Position#9
Record5-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#12
Record1-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game93.0
PortugalLPBRound 21· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2023-24
Meetings · Esgueira v Lusitania
20 Apr 2024
ESGU89
LUSI61
21 Jan 2023
ESGU84
LUSI92
05 Dec 2020
ESGU65
LUSI80
28 Dec 2019
ESGU70
LUSI73
02 Mar 2019
ESGU77
LUSI85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
60avg 62
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
64-100
64
100
-36
51avg 62
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
78-60
78
60
+18
72avg 62
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
53-77
53
77
-24
37avg 62
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
45-104
45
104
-59
25avg 62
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
76-92
76
92
-16
66avg 62
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
75avg 62
A23/03
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
81-82
81
82
-1
65avg 62
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
71avg 62
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
66avg 62
A13/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
12-21
16-16
14-24
17-31
14-11
14-34
19-24
23-11
8-17
27-16
20-16
17-27
17-7
12-27
7-16
9-24
7-32
17-21
12-27
26-19
16-30
13-24
21-19
20-23
14-10
25-10
21-25
13-21
25-15
19-21
24-25
21-23
19-27
29-16
16-16
15-25
24-23
15-16
19-24
153.5Avg total
70.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.985.8158.7-12.925%
Season at home (10)70.787.5158.2-16.830%
Season away (10)75.184.1159.2-9.020%
Last 10 (10)70.483.1153.5-12.730%
Last 5 (5)79.082.4161.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.788.8157.5-20.112%
vs Similar (11)79.178.8157.9+0.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)82.085.5167.5-3.50%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 60
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 60
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
68-102
68
102
-34
56avg 60
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 60
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
70-95
70
95
-25
57avg 60
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
71avg 60
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 60
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
87-113
87
113
-26
77avg 60
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
64-98
64
98
-34
48avg 60
A06/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
73-113
73
113
-40
58avg 60
H13/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
15-30
21-16
19-23
13-33
23-25
26-24
13-28
25-22
21-22
15-23
16-27
18-23
17-22
21-22
21-21
24-33
26-31
15-27
15-18
19-16
26-31
22-34
17-28
22-20
15-23
22-25
20-24
7-26
22-30
24-16
16-28
11-39
175.1Avg total
75.6Scored
99.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.593.0166.5-19.55%
Season at home (10)74.994.1169.0-19.210%
Season away (10)72.191.9164.0-19.80%
Last 10 (10)75.699.5175.1-23.90%
Last 5 (5)76.4102.8179.2-26.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)73.893.9167.6-20.13%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -7.5-7.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -8.5-8.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -7.1-7.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -7.5-7.5
EsgueiraLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H03/02
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A10/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/02
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
L
16-56
16
56
-40
H02/03
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H09/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/03
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H06/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/04
LPB
75.8Avg total
34.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.341.377.5-5.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.041.779.7-3.747%-
Last 30 away (15)34.540.875.3-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)34.441.475.8-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.043.175.1-11.112%-
vs Similar (11)41.638.980.5+2.755%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.542.078.5-5.550%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H13/04
LPB
87.9Avg total
39.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.545.183.6-6.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.945.186.0-4.329%-
Last 30 away (16)36.445.181.5-8.86%-
Last 10 (10)39.348.687.9-9.30%-
Last 5 (5)42.052.294.2-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)38.645.584.1-7.014%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Esgueira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.1
45.4%
51.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
33.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.910.7
67.3%
69.3%10.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.219.6
47.6%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.8
30.8%
33.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
69.3%12.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LWLWLLLWLL
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#12
-16.7
Net rating
-29.1
93.6
Offensive rating
93.0
110.2
Defensive rating
122.1
47.6%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
59.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.2%
19.4%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.7%
3-point %
30.8%
57.2%
Assist %
52.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 93.0Defence110.2 · 122.1Shooting47.6% · 47.1%3-point %33.7% · 30.8%Ball care16.8% · 20.2%Off. rebounds19.4% · 25.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 0%
■ Esgueira   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
8
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Lusitania v Esgueira89-83
21/01/23Esgueira v Lusitania84-92
14/01/23Lusitania v Esgueira85-73
29/10/22Lusitania v Esgueira84-88
07/03/21Lusitania v Esgueira79-75
05/12/20Esgueira v Lusitania65-80
28/12/19Esgueira v Lusitania70-73
05/10/19Lusitania v Esgueira59-91
02/03/19Esgueira v Lusitania77-85
24/11/18Lusitania v Esgueira93-92
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ASporting CP73-88
06/04/24HOvarense85-82
30/03/24HOvarense81-82
23/03/24AGalomar80-68
09/03/24HImortal76-92
02/03/24HFC Porto45-104
14/02/24ABenfica53-77
10/02/24AVitoria78-60
03/02/24HBenfica64-100
27/01/24HOliveirense69-78
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HBenfica73-113
06/04/24AOliveirense64-98
30/03/24HSporting CP87-113
23/03/24HPortimonense75-92
16/03/24HOliveirense83-98
14/03/24HSporting CP70-95
09/03/24ACD Povoa87-99
02/03/24HVitoria68-102
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeWLLLW30%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%30%20%
Points / game72.970.775.1
Allowed / game85.887.584.1
Point differential-12.9-16.8-9.0
Avg total158.7158.2159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%10%0%
Points / game73.574.972.1
Allowed / game93.094.191.9
Point differential-19.5-19.2-19.8
Avg total166.5169.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2117481%90.269.9+20.3
2 FC Porto2117481%88.275.6+12.6
3 Oliveirense2115671%80.974.8+6.1
4 Sporting CP2114767%89.280.7+8.5
5 Ovarense2113862%81.179.3+1.9
6 CD Povoa2112957%82.184.1-2.0
7 Vitoria21111052%81.078.8+2.2
8 Imortal2181338%78.884.1-5.3
9 Galomar2161529%74.280.9-6.7
10 Portimonense2161529%72.078.8-6.8
11 Esgueira2051525%72.985.8-12.9
12 Lusitania201195%73.593.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2422251889
Lusitania818161961
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