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Oliveirense vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 98-64
23-15 25-22 24-20 26-7
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#12
Record1-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game91.6
PortugalLPBRound 19· Pavilhão Dr. Salvador Machado
Other2023-24
Meetings · Oliveirense v Lusitania
06 Apr 2024
OLIV98
LUSI64
05 Mar 2023
OLIV73
LUSI69
08 Oct 2022
OLIV96
LUSI78
13 Jan 2022
OLIV88
LUSI73
07 Feb 2021
OLIV102
LUSI95
13 Dec 2020
OLIV84
LUSI90
26 Oct 2019
OLIV92
LUSI70
31 Mar 2019
OLIV98
LUSI74
03 Nov 2018
OLIV89
LUSI87
13 May 2018
OLIV88
LUSI66
12 May 2018
OLIV103
LUSI94
26 Jan 2018
OLIV100
LUSI78
12 Feb 2017
OLIV82
LUSI62
11 Oct 2015
OLIV80
LUSI62
15 Feb 2015
OLIV69
LUSI78
21 Dec 2013
OLIV67
LUSI87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
91-73
91
73
+18
93avg 77
H20/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 77
A27/01
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 77
H03/02
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
73avg 77
H10/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
no box
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
74-55
74
55
+19
70avg 77
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
79avg 77
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
54avg 77
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 77
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
82avg 77
A22/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
23-20
25-18
23-27
17-27
21-12
16-16
24-14
23-25
30-22
15-19
22-20
25-15
13-25
23-13
19-20
19-19
16-25
20-22
21-10
16-10
22-15
22-9
14-21
25-9
16-13
23-18
15-24
18-21
14-20
17-16
24-19
22-17
22-21
21-21
33-24
27-22
17-19
17-15
24-17
156.9Avg total
83.4Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.174.7154.8+5.472%
Season at home (9)82.179.3161.4+2.867%
Season away (9)78.170.0148.1+8.178%
Last 10 (10)83.473.5156.9+9.990%
Last 5 (5)81.870.2152.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.081.9160.9-2.956%
vs Similar (4)77.281.5158.8-4.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.669.2150.8+12.488%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 60
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 60
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 60
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 60
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
68-102
68
102
-34
56avg 60
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 60
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
70-95
70
95
-25
57avg 60
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
71avg 60
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 60
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
87-113
87
113
-26
77avg 60
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
15-30
21-16
19-23
13-33
23-25
26-24
13-28
25-22
21-22
15-23
16-27
18-23
17-22
21-22
21-21
24-33
26-31
15-27
15-18
19-16
26-31
22-34
17-28
22-20
171.9Avg total
75.1Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.191.6165.7-17.66%
Season at home (9)75.192.0167.1-16.911%
Season away (9)73.091.2164.2-18.20%
Last 10 (10)75.196.8171.9-21.70%
Last 5 (5)80.499.4179.8-19.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)75.093.0167.9-18.07%
vs Similar (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -6.8-6.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -8.3-8.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.6-3.6
OliveirenseLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/01
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/01
Taca da Liga
FC Porto
#2
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/02
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/02
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Galomar
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A01/03
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A03/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H09/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A16/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A22/03
LPB
77.1Avg total
40.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.537.877.3+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.980.5+2.650%-
Last 30 away (16)37.636.874.4+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.577.1+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.833.473.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.243.383.6-3.144%-
vs Similar (4)36.042.878.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.734.074.7+6.762%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H30/03
Taca da Liga
83.8Avg total
37.0Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.244.582.7-6.320%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.045.086.0-4.036%-
Last 30 away (16)35.844.079.8-8.26%-
Last 10 (10)37.046.883.8-9.80%-
Last 5 (5)42.452.294.6-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)38.745.484.0-6.718%-
vs Similar (1)27.030.057.0-3.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.5
54.8%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.5
38.0%
33.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.213.5
74.2%
69.3%13.5
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.5
49.1%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.5
29.5%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.713.0
69.5%
69.3%13.0
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oliveirense
WWLWWWWWWW
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#12
+11.9
Net rating
-26.5
107.4
Offensive rating
92.7
95.4
Defensive rating
119.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
47.2%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
22.5%
Turnover %
19.8%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.0%
3-point %
29.5%
52.8%
Assist %
53.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence107.4 · 92.7Defence95.4 · 119.2Shooting55.7% · 47.2%3-point %38.0% · 29.5%Ball care22.5% · 19.8%Off. rebounds30.7% · 23.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)90% · 0%
■ Oliveirense   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Oliveirense wins
4
Lusitania wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ASporting CP85-73
16/03/24ALusitania98-83
09/03/24HOvarense73-76
03/03/24AGalomar79-64
01/03/24AGalomar74-55
14/02/24HCD Povoa86-83 OT
10/02/24HImortal80-73
03/02/24HFC Porto90-86
27/01/24AEsgueira78-69
20/01/24HEsgueira91-73
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HSporting CP87-113
23/03/24HPortimonense75-92
16/03/24HOliveirense83-98
14/03/24HSporting CP70-95
09/03/24ACD Povoa87-99
02/03/24HVitoria68-102
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %72%67%78%
Points / game80.182.178.1
Allowed / game74.779.370.0
Point differential+5.4+2.8+8.1
Avg total154.8161.4148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%22%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %6%11%0%
Points / game74.175.173.0
Allowed / game91.692.091.2
Point differential-17.6-16.9-18.2
Avg total165.7167.1164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1815383%88.474.6+13.8
2 Benfica1915479%88.569.4+19.1
3 Oliveirense1813572%80.174.7+5.4
4 Sporting CP1913668%90.280.8+9.4
5 Ovarense1811761%79.878.6+1.3
6 CD Povoa1911858%81.983.4-1.4
7 Vitoria1881044%80.379.9+0.4
8 Imortal1881044%78.883.4-4.6
9 Portimonense1961332%71.978.7-6.8
10 Galomar1851328%73.179.6-6.5
11 Esgueira1841422%72.285.9-13.7
12 Lusitania181176%74.191.6-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oliveirense2325242698
Lusitania152220764
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