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Maia vs Lusitania Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 21:30
Postponed
Position#13
Record6-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#10
Record9-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game84.0
PortugalLPBRound 24
Other2019-20
Meetings · Maia v Lusitania
24 Oct 2026
MAIA82
LUSI77
27 Dec 2025
MAIA85
LUSI81
16 Mar 2025
MAIA93
LUSI86
03 Jan 2021
MAIA65
LUSI76
27 Mar 2020
MAIA v LUSI
upcoming
18 Mar 2017
MAIA88
LUSI77
21 Jan 2017
MAIA82
LUSI89
05 Mar 2016
MAIA67
LUSI89
20 Feb 2016
MAIA72
LUSI79
26 Oct 2014
MAIA70
LUSI64
23 Mar 2014
MAIA60
LUSI71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
73-95
73
95
-22
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
80-102
80
102
-22
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
114-68
114
68
+46
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
69-100
69
100
-31
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
L
75-79
75
79
-4
H07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
24-29
13-25
17-28
21-23
22-16
16-32
14-24
13-19
21-25
25-31
21-27
14-30
25-27
17-20
29-20
10-16
18-19
8-25
24-33
28-16
25-8
33-24
28-20
22-16
15-31
11-21
21-32
17-25
27-19
13-16
30-32
18-22
17-24
18-13
16-31
13-18
21-16
21-18
20-27
171.4Avg total
79.1Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.487.1164.5-9.727%
Season at home (11)79.585.9165.5-6.436%
Season away (11)75.388.3163.5-13.018%
Last 10 (10)79.192.3171.4-13.210%
Last 5 (5)82.885.8168.6-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.489.4163.8-15.014%
vs Similar (6)82.585.7168.2-3.233%
vs Weaker (2)106.077.0183.0+29.0100%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A28/12
LPB
Vitoria
#5
L
79-92
79
92
-13
H04/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A11/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
82-94
82
94
-12
H08/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A15/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#7
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A20/02
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H29/02
LPB
Galitos
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H07/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
19-15
14-14
15-25
18-18
26-24
20-30
15-20
18-31
22-17
22-20
13-19
30-16
14-15
18-20
18-18
13-17
14-27
19-22
18-19
21-26
26-27
17-20
18-21
20-17
22-18
20-21
21-22
30-23
14-14
23-27
15-23
20-16
23-19
27-20
26-16
23-15
17-26
18-27
22-22
161.7Avg total
79.4Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.684.0162.5-5.441%
Season at home (12)81.684.7166.2-3.142%
Season away (10)75.083.1158.1-8.140%
Last 10 (10)79.482.3161.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)84.684.0168.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.688.0161.6-14.421%
vs Similar (4)86.279.0165.2+7.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)90.375.7166.0+14.767%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
MaiaLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barreirense
#11
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A29/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H04/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A11/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
H25/01
LPB
Illiabum
#12
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A01/02
LPB
Terceira
#14
W
53-24
53
24
+29
H08/02
LPB
Vitoria
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
Galitos
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A15/02
LPB
Ovarense
#9
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/02
LPB
CAB Madeira
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/03
LPB
82.0Avg total
39.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.280.6-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.442.880.2-5.431%-
Last 30 away (14)37.543.681.1-6.114%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.482.0-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.079.6+1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.243.677.9-9.414%-
vs Similar (6)46.744.591.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (2)44.032.576.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A28/12
LPB
Vitoria
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H04/01
LPB
Barreirense
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A11/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H25/01
LPB
FC Porto
#3
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H08/02
LPB
Illiabum
#12
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A15/02
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/02
Taca de Portugal
Terceira
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H29/02
LPB
Galitos
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H07/03
LPB
81.2Avg total
41.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.081.9-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.342.486.6+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)37.839.977.7-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.781.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.283.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.742.480.2-4.732%-
vs Similar (4)46.041.887.8+4.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.736.883.5+9.883%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Maia wins
8
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
07/12/19Lusitania v Maia87-90
22/04/17Lusitania v Maia87-85
18/03/17Maia v Lusitania88-77
21/01/17Maia v Lusitania82-89
05/11/16Lusitania v Maia89-86
09/04/16Lusitania v Maia59-58
05/03/16Maia v Lusitania67-89
20/02/16Maia v Lusitania72-79
28/11/15Lusitania v Maia75-63
17/01/15Lusitania v Maia75-60
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HCAB Madeira75-79
29/02/20HOvarense69-90
15/02/20AGalitos87-92
09/02/20HVitoria69-100
08/02/20HTerceira114-68
01/02/20AIlliabum60-93
25/01/20HSporting CP85-97
11/01/20AFC Porto80-102
04/01/20HOliveirense73-95
29/12/19ABarreirense79-107
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HGalitos80-90
29/02/20HTerceira96-71
20/02/20AGalitos Barreiro82-87
15/02/20AIlliabum83-78
08/02/20HSporting CP82-94
01/02/20AFC Porto64-85
25/01/20HOliveirense80-69
11/01/20ABarreirense75-87
04/01/20HVitoria79-92
28/12/19AEsgueira73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%36%18%
Points / game77.479.575.3
Allowed / game87.185.988.3
Point differential-9.7-6.4-13.0
Avg total164.5165.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Lusitania
LPB 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL41%
HomeLWLWL42%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%42%40%
Points / game78.681.675.0
Allowed / game84.084.783.1
Point differential-5.4-3.1-8.1
Avg total162.5166.2158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP2221195%93.470.2+23.2
2 Benfica2220291%89.871.0+18.8
3 FC Porto2218482%86.675.0+11.7
4 Oliveirense2214864%83.975.6+8.3
5 Vitoria2214864%81.678.5+3.2
6 Galitos22111150%82.882.0+0.8
7 CAB Madeira22101245%79.283.1-4.0
8 Esgueira2291341%79.276.7+2.5
9 Ovarense2291341%77.281.2-4.0
10 Lusitania2291341%78.684.0-5.4
11 Barreirense2271532%75.585.5-10.0
12 Illiabum2261627%75.779.9-4.2
13 Maia2261627%77.487.1-9.7
14 Terceira220220%71.4102.7-31.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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