Maia vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Mar 2017

Tip-off: 16:30

Final 88-77

26-20 14-28 19-19 29-10

Position#12

Record4-21

FormLLWLL

Points / game74.3

Allowed / game85.8

Maia 🏆

Lusitania

Position#10

Record6-18

FormLLWLL

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game83.7

LPBRound 4

Other2016-17

Meetings · Maia v Lusitania

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

82-89

-7

H21/01

LPB

Sampaense

#11

74-89

-15

A29/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

72-93

-21

H11/02

LPB

Vitoria

74-102

102

-28

A12/02

LPB

Galitos

55-94

-39

A18/02

LPB

Ovarense

62-72

-10

H19/02

LPB

FC Porto

60-110

110

-50

A25/02

LPB

Electrico FC

103-96

103

H04/03

LPB

Ovarense

61-68

-7

A10/03

LPB

Sampaense

#11

88-95

-7

A12/03

LPB

19-20

17-27

30-21

16-21

21-22

11-23

16-21

26-23

20-13

19-27

16-25

17-28

11-29

21-29

25-23

17-21

10-25

20-27

13-22

12-20

20-11

13-25

16-17

13-19

18-35

15-18

15-25

12-32

29-26

27-10

27-31

20-29

10-23

16-21

19-17

16-7

16-25

22-25

27-22

23-23

163.9Avg total

73.1Scored

90.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	74.3	85.8	160.1	-11.5	16%
Season at home (12)	77.2	82.7	159.8	-5.5	25%
Season away (13)	71.6	88.7	160.3	-17.1	8%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	90.8	163.9	-17.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	88.2	163.0	-13.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	67.8	84.0	151.9	-16.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	85.8	84.9	170.7	+0.9	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

73-78 OT

-5

H14/01

LPB

Maia

#12

89-82

A21/01

LPB

Illiabum

78-82

-4

H28/01

LPB

Electrico FC

88-82

A11/02

LPB

Oliveirense

62-82

-20

A12/02

LPB

Benfica

65-100

100

-35

A18/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

79-96

-17

A19/02

LPB

Sampaense

#11

96-65

+31

A25/02

LPB

Ovarense

77-102

102

-25

A05/03

LPB

Electrico FC

90-98

-8

H12/03

LPB

13-22

18-12

21-17

19-20

20-19

27-17

21-30

21-16

20-18

22-18

21-29

15-17

23-13

16-25

25-18

24-26

21-21

9-17

15-24

17-20

16-36

13-22

12-20

24-22

24-24

15-26

16-19

24-27

24-17

23-17

20-13

29-18

17-27

18-30

23-23

19-22

21-31

31-20

21-26

17-21

166.4Avg total

79.7Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	76.0	83.7	159.8	-7.7	25%
Season at home (12)	77.2	82.9	160.1	-5.8	25%
Season away (12)	74.9	84.5	159.4	-9.6	25%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	86.7	166.4	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	92.2	173.6	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	71.6	86.1	157.6	-14.5	5%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	78.1	82.1	160.2	-4.0	50%
vs Weaker (3)	81.0	68.7	149.7	+12.3	100%

This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

MaiaLusitania

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.9	39.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	22.8	39.2	-6.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	22.9	40.3	-5.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.0	42.6	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.1	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.2	38.7	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.8	42.7	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	27.0	47.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.8	39.8	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	20.1	39.9	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.5	39.7	-3.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	23.2	41.3	-5.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.9	20.6	41.5	+0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	21.4	37.6	-5.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	16.4	22.1	38.5	-5.7	16%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.3	67%	-

MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

#10

36-47

-11

H21/01

LPB

Sampaense

#11

32-45

-13

A29/01

LPB

CAB Madeira

39-40

-1

H11/02

LPB

Vitoria

32-58

-26

A12/02

LPB

Galitos

30-52

-22

A18/02

LPB

Ovarense

33-36

-3

H19/02

LPB

FC Porto

33-53

-20

A25/02

LPB

Electrico FC

56-36

+20

H04/03

LPB

Ovarense

26-44

-18

A10/03

LPB

Sampaense

#11

38-50

-12

A12/03

LPB

81.6Avg total

35.5Scored

46.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.1	79.3	-4.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	44.3	78.9	-9.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	46.1	81.6	-10.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	43.8	81.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	34.7	42.5	77.2	-7.8	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.1	41.3	83.4	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Lusitania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ovarense

31-34

-3

H14/01

LPB

Maia

#12

47-36

+11

A21/01

LPB

Illiabum

42-36

H28/01

LPB

Electrico FC

39-38

A11/02

LPB

Oliveirense

30-38

-8

A12/02

LPB

Benfica

29-58

-29

A18/02

LPB

CAB Madeira

39-50

-11

A19/02

LPB

Sampaense

#11

47-34

+13

A25/02

LPB

Ovarense

35-57

-22

A05/03

LPB

Electrico FC

52-51

H12/03

LPB

82.3Avg total

39.1Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	41.7	78.4	-5.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.7	41.4	79.1	-3.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.6	42.1	77.6	-6.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	43.2	82.3	-4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	50.0	90.4	-9.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	34.8	43.1	77.9	-8.3	16%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.6	40.4	80.0	-0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	36.3	77.0	+4.3	67%	-

This opponent (Maia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	20.8	37.7	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	20.1	36.7	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	21.6	38.6	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.4	42.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	15.4	20.3	35.7	-4.9	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	30%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	20.1	38.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.7	19.8	38.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	20.4	38.5	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.1	20.2	38.3	-2.2	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	21.1	41.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	16.3	32.7	+0.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	22.2	42.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	22.3	39.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.0	21.7	45.7	+2.3	70%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	23.4	42.9	-3.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.0	44.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	18.6	22.4	40.9	-3.8	16%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.5	20.6	39.1	-2.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	42.2	78.9	-5.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	42.3	79.4	-5.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	42.2	78.4	-6.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	44.7	82.3	-7.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	44.4	82.0	-6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	33.1	41.5	74.7	-8.4	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	43.7	43.6	87.3	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	41.3	78.8	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.4	39.2	76.6	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	43.8	81.4	-6.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	42.8	83.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	42.2	83.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)	36.6	42.6	79.2	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.5	41.8	80.2	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.3	32.3	72.7	+8.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Maia wins

Lusitania wins

Date	Game	Score
21/01/17	Maia v Lusitania	82-89
05/11/16	Lusitania v Maia	89-86
09/04/16	Lusitania v Maia	59-58
05/03/16	Maia v Lusitania	67-89
20/02/16	Maia v Lusitania	72-79
28/11/15	Lusitania v Maia	75-63
17/01/15	Lusitania v Maia	75-60
26/10/14	Maia v Lusitania	70-64
23/03/14	Maia v Lusitania	60-71
14/12/13	Lusitania v Maia	67-53

Maialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/17	A	Sampaense	88-95
10/03/17	A	Ovarense	61-68
04/03/17	H	Electrico FC	103-96
25/02/17	A	FC Porto	60-110
19/02/17	H	Ovarense	62-72
18/02/17	A	Galitos	55-94
12/02/17	A	Vitoria	74-102
11/02/17	H	CAB Madeira	72-93
29/01/17	A	Sampaense	74-89
21/01/17	H	Lusitania	82-89

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/03/17	H	Electrico FC	90-98
05/03/17	A	Ovarense	77-102
25/02/17	A	Sampaense	96-65
19/02/17	A	CAB Madeira	79-96
18/02/17	A	Benfica	65-100
12/02/17	A	Oliveirense	62-82
11/02/17	A	Electrico FC	88-82
28/01/17	H	Illiabum	78-82
21/01/17	A	Maia	89-82
14/01/17	H	Ovarense	73-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maia

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	16%
Home	WLLLW	25%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	16%	25%	8%
Points / game	74.3	77.2	71.6
Allowed / game	85.8	82.7	88.7
Point differential	-11.5	-5.5	-17.1
Avg total	160.1	159.8	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Lusitania

LPB 2016-17

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	LWLLL	25%
Away	LLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	25%	25%	25%
Points / game	76.0	77.2	74.9
Allowed / game	83.7	82.9	84.5
Point differential	-7.7	-5.8	-9.6
Avg total	159.8	160.1	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	40% (5)	-
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	25	21	4	84%	85.3	67.8	+17.4
2	Benfica	26	20	6	77%	80.5	69.9	+10.6
3	Oliveirense	26	19	7	73%	72.1	65.1	+7.0
4	Vitoria	25	18	7	72%	81.4	75.7	+5.7
5	Galitos	25	14	11	56%	75.1	72.8	+2.3
6	CAB Madeira	24	13	11	54%	80.0	76.4	+3.6
7	Ovarense	25	13	12	52%	76.6	78.3	-1.7
8	Illiabum	25	12	13	48%	75.5	76.3	-0.8
9	Lusitania	24	6	18	25%	76.0	83.7	-7.7
10	Electrico FC	24	5	19	21%	75.8	86.7	-10.9
11	Sampaense	24	4	20	17%	71.2	87.2	-16.0
12	Maia	25	4	21	16%	74.3	85.8	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Maia	26	14	19	29	88
Lusitania	20	28	19	10	77

← all games of the day

Maia vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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