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Maitland M. vs Penrith P. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 110-73
34-21 19-16 26-15 31-21
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#16
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game95.4
AustraliaNBL1 East
Other2024
Meetings · Maitland M. v Penrith P.
24 May 2025
MAIT101
PENR50
18 May 2024
MAIT110
PENR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maitland M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penrith P. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Maitland M.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
A05/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H12/08
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
109-72
109
72
+37
H06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H07/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
90-69
90
69
+21
H13/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H25/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
96-70
96
70
+26
A27/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
113-89
113
89
+24
A04/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
86-101
86
101
-15
H11/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
25-19
17-22
21-8
22-18
15-19
18-27
25-19
29-7
25-28
22-24
33-13
24-19
21-12
30-24
26-24
16-20
30-19
18-11
26-19
23-21
24-21
13-25
25-15
20-18
28-17
25-17
22-17
24-16
23-27
28-13
21-14
28-18
27-26
30-19
28-26
19-24
21-34
29-18
17-25
173.2Avg total
94.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)96.978.9175.8+18.088%
Season at home (5)96.278.0174.2+18.280%
Season away (3)98.080.3178.3+17.7100%
Last 10 (10)94.378.9173.2+15.480%
Last 5 (5)95.082.2177.2+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.094.0177.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)88.382.2170.6+6.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.280.4175.6+14.885%
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
95-112
95
112
-17
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
78-109
78
109
-31
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
86-96
86
96
-10
A11/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
L
94-109
94
109
-15
H12/05
NBL1 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
12-33
31-21
28-18
12-26
21-15
22-20
18-26
22-26
22-27
29-34
22-25
16-16
16-18
20-30
25-24
18-26
21-31
34-14
22-21
19-36
19-24
25-23
15-26
21-19
16-17
11-23
17-21
23-15
15-21
15-26
17-24
22-23
21-22
15-23
28-28
22-26
32-25
25-28
15-30
177.1Avg total
81.9Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.495.4176.9-14.011%
Season at home (4)76.896.0172.8-19.20%
Season away (5)85.295.0180.2-9.820%
Last 10 (10)81.995.2177.1-13.310%
Last 5 (5)78.696.0174.6-17.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)74.794.8169.5-20.210%
vs Similar (1)95.092.0187.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
Maitland M.Penrith P.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Maitland M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/08
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H12/08
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H06/04
NBL1 East
Inner West Bulls
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H13/04
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hornsby S.
#14
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H25/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A27/04
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A04/05
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H11/05
NBL1 East
87.8Avg total
46.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.441.887.2+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.541.286.7+4.465%-
Last 30 away (13)45.242.587.8+2.777%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.987.8+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)47.444.491.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.045.086.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.643.186.7+0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.541.087.5+5.585%-
This opponent (Penrith P.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penrith P.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inner West Bulls
#2
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A23/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A06/04
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A14/04
NBL1 East
Bankstown Bruins
#9
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
NBL1 East
Illawarra Hawks
#15
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A20/04
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
38-60
38
60
-22
H26/04
NBL1 East
Newcastle Falcons
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/04
NBL1 East
Canberra
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/05
NBL1 East
Norths Bears
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/05
NBL1 East
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#5
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H12/05
NBL1 East
85.2Avg total
38.5Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.649.284.8-13.614%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.848.485.2-11.621%-
Last 30 away (15)34.549.984.4-15.37%-
Last 10 (10)38.546.785.2-8.230%-
Last 5 (5)42.045.687.6-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.548.984.4-13.414%-
vs Similar (1)39.057.096.0-18.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Maitland M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Maitland M. wins
0
Penrith P. wins
DateGameScore
09/07/23Penrith P. v Maitland M.95-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/24HHills Hornets86-101
04/05/24AAlbury-Wodonga Bandits113-89
27/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders96-70
25/04/24HHornsby S.95-69
20/04/24ASutherland Sharks85-82
13/04/24HCanberra90-69
07/04/24HInner West Bulls101-79
06/04/24HNewcastle Falcons109-72
12/08/23HSutherland Sharks80-83
05/08/23ACanberra88-75
Penrith P.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/24HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits94-109
11/05/24ANorths Bears86-96
04/05/24HCanberra70-86
27/04/24HNewcastle Falcons65-80
26/04/24HHills Hornets78-109
20/04/24AIllawarra Hawks95-92
19/04/24ABankstown Bruins77-88
14/04/24ACentral Coast Crusaders95-112
06/04/24ASutherland Sharks73-87
23/07/23AInner West Bulls86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Maitland M.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%80%100%
Points / game96.996.298.0
Allowed / game78.978.080.3
Point differential+18.0+18.2+17.7
Avg total175.8174.2178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penrith P.
NBL1 East 2024
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%0%20%
Points / game81.476.885.2
Allowed / game95.496.095.0
Point differential-14.0-19.2-9.8
Avg total176.9172.8180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Canberra98189%86.068.9+17.1
2 Maitland M.87188%96.978.9+18.0
3 Albury-Wodonga Bandits97278%97.888.9+8.9
4 Manly W.86275%90.277.5+12.8
5 Inner West Bulls107370%92.379.8+12.5
6 BA CoE85362%84.477.9+6.5
7 Norths Bears106460%83.980.3+3.6
8 Sydney Comets95456%79.978.9+1.0
9 Hills Hornets95456%84.284.4-0.2
10 Bankstown Bruins84450%77.678.2-0.6
11 Sutherland Sharks83538%80.884.0-3.2
12 Central Coast Crusaders83538%85.090.8-5.8
13 Newcastle Falcons93633%67.877.1-9.3
14 Penrith P.91811%81.495.4-14.0
15 Illawarra Hawks91811%77.4100.2-22.8
16 Hornsby S.110110%75.894.7-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Maitland M.34192631110
Penrith P.2116152173
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