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Manresa vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 97-96
22-24 24-29 16-20 35-23
Position#10
Record8-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game88.5
Manresa 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record6-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.8
Allowed / game97.6
EuropeEurocupRound 15
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Manresa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ManresaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormManresa
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
96-90
96
90
+6
90avg 78
A17/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
97avg 78
A20/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 78
A27/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
69-105
69
105
-36
60avg 78
A30/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#12
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 78
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 78
A04/01
ACB
Aris
#13
W
113-99
113
99
+14
118avg 78
H06/01
Eurocup
Breogan
#11
W
104-99
104
99
+5
113avg 78
H10/01
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
96-92
96
92
+4
88avg 78
A13/01
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
L
85-130
85
130
-45
no box
A18/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
22-29
21-10
32-26
25-30
27-21
28-22
10-17
17-16
17-12
28-28
33-27
22-23
27-22
8-27
12-33
25-29
34-19
22-30
14-19
22-30
20-26
21-22
13-25
35-18
28-20
24-28
26-33
28-23
34-15
20-30
22-31
28-27
24-12
20-16
24-37
24-35
18-39
17-27
26-29
192.9Avg total
93.1Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.288.5176.7-0.357%
Season at home (6)92.281.7173.8+10.583%
Season away (8)85.293.6178.9-8.438%
Last 10 (10)93.199.8192.9-6.760%
Last 5 (5)94.8104.6199.4-9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.993.9173.8-14.121%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.093.6185.6-1.650%
vs Weaker (6)91.878.3170.2+13.5100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
W
104-87
104
87
+17
96avg 85
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
97-118
97
118
-21
86avg 85
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
87avg 85
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
101-103
101
103
-2
90avg 85
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
103-118
103
118
-15
101avg 85
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
77-112
77
112
-35
66avg 85
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
98-94
98
94
+4
90avg 85
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
113-82
113
82
+31
111avg 85
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
85-104
85
104
-19
74avg 85
H13/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
87-67
87
67
+20
no box
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
26-18
37-19
17-26
18-38
22-30
33-24
24-26
26-15
15-28
23-13
23-20
33-26
15-29
20-18
33-30
35-29
21-29
31-31
16-29
25-31
6-32
18-23
28-26
25-24
23-20
21-24
29-26
29-24
24-27
33-13
27-18
16-24
25-23
20-27
24-30
17-13
21-24
30-15
19-15
191.3Avg total
95.2Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)93.897.6191.4-3.843%
Season at home (7)96.797.7194.4-1.043%
Season away (7)90.997.4188.3-6.643%
Last 10 (10)95.296.1191.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)92.091.8183.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.1101.8190.9-12.720%
vs Similar ◀ (6)91.784.0175.7+7.767%
vs Weaker (14)100.291.1191.4+9.179%
This opponent (Manresa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -6.5-6.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
ManresaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ManresaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A17/12
Eurocup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A20/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A27/12
ACB
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A30/12
Eurocup
Basquet Girona
#12
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H02/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A04/01
ACB
Aris
#13
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H06/01
Eurocup
Breogan
#11
W
62-38
62
38
+24
H10/01
ACB
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A13/01
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
L
42-74
42
74
-32
A18/01
ACB
96.9Avg total
49.8Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.988.2-1.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.541.187.5+5.462%-
Last 30 away (17)41.047.888.8-6.835%-
Last 10 (10)49.847.196.9+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)52.249.0101.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.846.686.4-6.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.746.793.4+0.050%-
vs Weaker (6)46.237.783.8+8.583%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gargzdai
#5
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A13/12
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#11
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A17/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#4
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H28/12
LKL
Venezia
#9
L
56-58
56
58
-2
H02/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-63
31
63
-32
A04/01
LKL
Hamburg
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A07/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/01
LKL
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/01
Eurocup
Nevezis
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/01
King Mindaugas Cup
95.4Avg total
44.6Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.347.393.6-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.247.394.5-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)45.647.392.9-1.862%-
Last 10 (10)44.650.895.4-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.248.490.6-6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.051.095.0-7.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.244.589.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (14)48.545.994.4+2.664%-
This opponent (Manresa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Manresatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Manresa: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.618.0
52.0%
54.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.6
36.7%
34.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws23.919.4
81.2%
75.2%19.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 95.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.8
54.6%
54.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.3
34.3%
34.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws30.023.3
77.7%
75.2%23.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Manresa
LWWWLLLWWW
Neptunas
WLWWLLLWLW
#10
League position
#14
-5.9
Net rating
-2.3
108.6
Offensive rating
114.4
114.5
Defensive rating
116.7
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.2%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.44
36.7%
3-point %
34.3%
70.3%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 114.4Defence114.5 · 116.7Shooting53.5% · 53.2%3-point %36.7% · 34.3%Ball care19.0% · 15.2%Off. rebounds33.1% · 32.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Manresa   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Manresa wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
05/11/25Neptunas v Manresa100-87
Manresalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ABaskonia85-130
13/01/26ABahcesehir Kol.96-92
10/01/26HBreogan104-99
06/01/26HAris113-99
04/01/26AValencia76-103
02/01/26HBasquet Girona95-97
30/12/25AHapoel Jerusalem69-105
27/12/25ABasket Zaragoza95-83
20/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos102-100 OT
17/12/25ASlask Wroclaw96-90
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HNevezis87-67
13/01/26HCedevita Olimpija85-104
10/01/26HNevezis113-82
07/01/26AHamburg98-94
04/01/26AZalgiris Kaunas77-112
02/01/26HVenezia103-118
28/12/25HSiauliai101-103
23/12/25ANevezis87-76
17/12/25ACluj-Napoca97-118
13/12/25AGargzdai104-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Manresa
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW57%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%83%38%
Points / game88.292.285.2
Allowed / game88.581.793.6
Point differential-0.3+10.5-8.4
Avg total176.7173.8178.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
Eurocup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game93.896.790.9
Allowed / game97.697.797.4
Point differential-3.8-1.0-6.6
Avg total191.4194.4188.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Jerusalem1512380%95.681.9+13.7
2 Besiktas1511473%94.284.4+9.8
3 JL Bourg1511473%81.975.7+6.1
4 Turk Telekom1510567%87.874.9+12.9
5 Cedevita Olimpija1510567%87.378.1+9.2
6 Bahcesehir Kol.1510567%89.481.9+7.5
7 Buducnost159660%87.581.1+6.3
8 Trento159660%84.586.7-2.2
9 Manresa148657%88.288.5-0.3
10 Cluj-Napoca158753%94.892.1+2.7
11 Venezia158753%89.787.5+2.2
12 Chemnitz158753%82.381.8+0.5
13 Aris157847%84.790.3-5.7
14 Ulm157847%83.189.7-6.7
15 Neptunas146843%93.897.6-3.8
16 London Lions1551033%75.281.2-6.0
17 Slask Wroclaw1541127%85.395.4-10.1
18 Lietkabelis1531220%79.387.4-8.1
19 Panionios1521313%76.489.1-12.7
20 Hamburg151147%80.396.1-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Manresa2224163597
Neptunas2429202396
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