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Gargzdai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:10
Final 87-104
24-24 18-26 19-37 26-17
Position#5
Record4-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#3
Record7-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game90.5
LithuaniaLKL· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Neptunas
06 Feb 2027
GAR v NEP
upcoming
26 Sep 2026
GAR87
NEP78
23 May 2026
GAR74
NEP84
14 Mar 2026
GAR81
NEP70
13 Dec 2025
GAR87
NEP104
06 Nov 2023
GAR73
NEP92
25 Oct 2023
GAR87
NEP97
13 Mar 2023
GAR54
NEP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
80avg 76
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 76
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
104avg 76
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 76
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
57avg 76
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 76
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 76
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 76
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 76
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
92avg 76
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
26-19
15-18
26-23
22-21
26-25
19-28
20-20
25-19
25-27
24-26
28-19
19-21
24-20
14-25
23-23
19-24
11-23
17-27
26-16
24-11
12-24
26-23
24-21
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
26-23
20-11
30-20
14-20
174.2Avg total
84.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.489.4172.7-6.036%
Season at home (6)86.382.8169.2+3.550%
Season away (5)79.897.2177.0-17.420%
Last 10 (10)84.989.3174.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)84.688.2172.8-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.394.6171.9-17.37%
vs Similar (10)87.181.9169.0+5.260%
vs Weaker (5)88.486.2174.6+2.240%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
91avg 82
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 82
A02/11
LKL
Manresa
#10
W
100-87
100
87
+13
95avg 82
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
85-72
85
72
+13
85avg 82
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
L
93-110
93
110
-17
78avg 82
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
97-90
97
90
+7
87avg 82
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 82
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
100-85
100
85
+15
96avg 82
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
124-117 OT
124
117
+7
121avg 82
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-87 OT
103
87
+16
81avg 82
H10/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
15-26
21-25
24-24
26-16
23-26
20-17
16-30
27-17
31-27
22-20
20-23
12-15
24-23
29-20
20-14
28-29
28-25
27-28
10-28
23-27
31-18
19-24
24-21
28-21
18-29
18-23
23-20
32-18
20-18
31-18
17-31
24-29
26-15
24-25
24-29
16-30
24-16
24-19
19-18
188.9Avg total
96.8Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)96.290.5186.7+5.770%
Season at home (4)93.885.8179.5+8.075%
Season away (6)97.893.7191.5+4.267%
Last 10 (10)96.892.1188.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)102.294.4196.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.892.2174.0-10.325%
vs Similar (7)94.991.0185.9+3.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)97.589.9187.4+7.582%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -4.1-4.1
GargzdaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/12
King Mindaugas Cup
86.2Avg total
41.7Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.986.2-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.639.684.3+5.079%-
Last 30 away (16)40.247.687.9-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.744.586.2-2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.684.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.446.386.7-5.933%-
vs Similar (10)44.041.585.5+2.570%-
vs Weaker (5)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A29/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A02/11
LKL
Manresa
#10
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H08/11
LKL
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A11/11
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/11
LKL
Aris
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H18/11
Eurocup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A04/12
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/12
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#18
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/12
Eurocup
93.1Avg total
49.0Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.444.989.3-0.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.044.590.5+1.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.045.288.2-2.256%-
Last 10 (10)49.044.193.1+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.292.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.045.886.8-4.850%-
vs Similar (7)45.144.789.9+0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.644.091.6+3.664%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.5
51.2%
55.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.5
36.3%
35.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws25.217.4
69.0%
74.3%17.4
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 95.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.6 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.6
54.7%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.7
39.6%
35.5%38.1
🏀 Free throws26.820.3
75.7%
74.3%20.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
WLLWWLLWLL
Neptunas
WWWLWLWWLW
#5
League position
#3
-6.2
Net rating
+5.2
110.6
Offensive rating
122.0
116.7
Defensive rating
116.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.3%
3-point %
39.6%
61.7%
Assist %
57.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 122.0Defence116.7 · 116.8Shooting52.4% · 57.0%3-point %36.3% · 39.6%Ball care16.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds30.4% · 38.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
11/10/25Neptunas v Gargzdai102-74
14/01/24Neptunas v Gargzdai100-81
16/11/23Neptunas v Gargzdai84-78
06/11/23Gargzdai v Neptunas73-92
25/10/23Gargzdai v Neptunas87-97
29/04/23Neptunas v Gargzdai91-86
13/03/23Gargzdai v Neptunas54-73
24/10/22Neptunas v Gargzdai94-69
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HNevezis90-74
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
04/12/25AJonava82-97
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
16/11/25HNevezis86-79
12/11/25AJuventus73-90
08/11/25HLietkabelis80-89
05/11/25HSiauliai102-91
03/11/25ANevezis87-94
30/10/25HJonava84-88
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25HSlask Wroclaw103-87 OT
07/12/25AJonava124-117 OT
04/12/25ABahcesehir Kol.100-85
18/11/25HAris87-93
15/11/25AJuventus97-90
11/11/25AHapoel Jerusalem93-110
08/11/25HJuventus85-72
05/11/25HManresa100-87
02/11/25ASiauliai85-89
29/10/25ACedevita Olimpija94-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL36%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game83.486.379.8
Allowed / game89.482.897.2
Point differential-6.0+3.5-17.4
Avg total172.7169.2177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game96.293.897.8
Allowed / game90.585.893.7
Point differential+5.7+8.0+4.2
Avg total186.7179.5191.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%89.874.0+15.8
2 Rytas129375%92.880.2+12.6
3 Neptunas107370%96.290.5+5.7
4 Lietkabelis127558%86.782.4+4.2
5 Siauliai115645%86.289.7-3.5
6 Juventus104640%83.586.0-2.5
7 Gargzdai114736%83.489.4-6.0
8 Nevezis113827%81.691.3-9.6
9 Jonava111109%84.5100.9-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2418192687
Neptunas24263717104
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