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Marbo W vs Hogsbo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 62-61
8-11 21-17 15-10 18-23
Position#6
Record7-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.9
Allowed / game76.8
Marbo W 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo W
Sweden
Position#7
Record9-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game73.5
SwedenBasketligan W· Kinnahallen (Kinna)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Marbo W v Hogsbo W
10 Mar 2024
MARB62
HOGS61
13 Jan 2023
MARB81
HOGS61
11 Mar 2022
MARB76
HOGS79
19 Mar 2021
MARB65
HOGS95
06 Nov 2019
MARB76
HOGS95
10 Mar 2019
MARB48
HOGS68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marbo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Marbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
L
74-77
74
77
-3
67avg 57
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
46-99
46
99
-53
27avg 57
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
65-67
65
67
-2
50avg 57
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
90-65
90
65
+25
87avg 57
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
81-58
81
58
+23
86avg 57
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
W
78-72
78
72
+6
69avg 57
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-98
56
98
-42
41avg 57
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
54-79
54
79
-25
34avg 57
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
85-58
85
58
+27
84avg 57
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
73-97
73
97
-24
65avg 57
A01/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
20-16
13-28
28-19
9-29
9-25
14-20
14-25
15-14
21-25
16-17
13-11
22-13
27-17
14-16
27-19
24-15
25-15
17-15
15-13
14-20
16-23
24-12
24-17
14-30
18-20
16-24
8-24
23-15
13-27
8-17
10-20
23-16
18-15
22-10
22-17
27-23
16-18
12-27
18-29
147.2Avg total
70.2Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)67.976.8144.7-8.939%
Season at home (8)69.172.4141.5-3.238%
Season away (10)66.980.3147.2-13.440%
Last 10 (10)70.277.0147.2-6.840%
Last 5 (5)69.280.8150.0-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)64.191.0155.1-26.90%
vs Similar (7)77.972.0149.9+5.971%
vs Weaker (8)84.067.1151.1+16.988%
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
95-76
95
76
+19
92avg 64
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
56-88
56
88
-32
33avg 64
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
79avg 64
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
87-64
87
64
+23
91avg 64
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
47avg 64
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
59-71
59
71
-12
50avg 64
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
72-45
72
45
+27
72avg 64
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
103-70
103
70
+33
80avg 64
H24/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
59-79
59
79
-20
45avg 64
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 64
H02/03
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
26-22
20-21
27-19
20-20
6-19
19-26
11-23
19-25
23-14
23-18
21-25
19-12
18-21
18-14
32-17
13-20
17-15
21-28
10-10
12-19
19-17
11-12
17-23
13-11
18-17
14-10
27-7
28-16
25-14
25-15
25-25
14-21
13-16
19-18
13-24
29-20
24-22
8-21
21-22
149.3Avg total
76.0Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.373.5145.7-1.247%
Season at home (9)74.975.2150.1-0.356%
Season away (10)69.971.9141.8-2.040%
Last 10 (10)76.073.3149.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)75.070.0145.0+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)61.585.0146.5-23.512%
vs Similar (2)70.582.0152.5-11.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.668.3147.9+11.482%
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Marbo WHogsbo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Marbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo W
#7
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A15/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
18-54
18
54
-36
A10/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H21/01
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#11
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A18/02
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H25/02
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/03
Basketligan W
75.7Avg total
36.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.642.979.5-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.240.478.6-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)35.245.180.3-9.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.739.075.7-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.477.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)33.046.579.5-13.520%-
vs Similar (7)40.742.383.0-1.629%-
vs Weaker (8)39.836.876.5+3.050%-
This opponent (Hogsbo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hogsbo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Visby W
#11
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A03/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H13/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A24/01
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#12
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/01
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A02/02
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A03/02
Basketligan W
Sjuharads W
#9
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A15/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#10
W
53-30
53
30
+23
H24/02
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#1
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A28/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#4
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H02/03
Basketligan W
73.3Avg total
37.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.737.872.5-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.636.771.3-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)34.838.873.6-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)37.835.573.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.673.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.940.771.6-9.812%-
vs Similar (2)42.039.081.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.133.272.3+5.973%-
This opponent (Marbo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marbo W: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.816.9
41.4%
44.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.37.8
28.6%
30.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.3
75.0%
73.7%12.3
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo W: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.018.8
41.8%
44.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.1
29.9%
30.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.913.1
82.4%
73.7%13.1
They take 72.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marbo W
LWLLWWWLLL
Hogsbo W
LLWWLLWWLW
#6
League position
#7
-8.5
Net rating
+2.8
88.2
Offensive rating
96.7
96.7
Defensive rating
93.9
42.0%
Effective FG%
42.9%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
34.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.6%
3-point %
29.9%
70.0%
Assist %
71.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 96.7Defence96.7 · 93.9Shooting42.0% · 42.9%3-point %28.6% · 29.9%Ball care19.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 34.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Marbo W   ■ Hogsbo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Marbo W wins
8
Hogsbo W wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Hogsbo W v Marbo W77-74
13/01/23Marbo W v Hogsbo W81-61
17/12/22Hogsbo W v Marbo W80-73
11/03/22Marbo W v Hogsbo W76-79
27/10/21Hogsbo W v Marbo W59-69 OT
19/03/21Marbo W v Hogsbo W65-95
13/12/20Hogsbo W v Marbo W125-59
22/01/20Hogsbo W v Marbo W66-63
06/11/19Marbo W v Hogsbo W76-95
10/03/19Marbo W v Hogsbo W48-68
Marbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24ALulea W73-97
28/02/24AAIK Basket W85-58
25/02/24HAlvik W54-79
18/02/24ANorrkoping W56-98
29/01/24AVisby W78-72
24/01/24HSjuharads W81-58
21/01/24HLund W90-65
14/01/24HUppsala W65-67
10/01/24ASodertalje W46-99
15/12/23AHogsbo W74-77
Hogsbo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HUppsala W82-85
28/02/24ASodertalje W59-79
24/02/24HLund W103-70
15/02/24ASjuharads W72-45
03/02/24AOstersund W59-71
02/02/24ALulea W61-73
27/01/24HAIK Basket W87-64
24/01/24AAlvik W86-82
13/01/24HNorrkoping W56-88
03/01/24AVisby W95-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL39%
HomeLLWWL38%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%38%40%
Points / game67.969.166.9
Allowed / game76.872.480.3
Point differential-8.9-3.2-13.4
Avg total144.7141.5147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo W
Basketligan W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game72.374.969.9
Allowed / game73.575.271.9
Point differential-1.2-0.3-2.0
Avg total145.7150.1141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sodertalje W2019195%87.759.0+28.6
2 Lulea W2018290%83.858.1+25.6
3 Norrkoping W2017385%82.063.6+18.4
4 Uppsala W2014670%78.871.5+7.3
5 Ostersund W1912763%75.366.4+8.8
6 Hogsbo W1991047%72.373.5-1.2
7 Marbo W1871139%67.976.8-8.9
8 Alvik W2071335%72.980.8-7.9
9 Sjuharads W2061430%60.068.0-8.0
10 Lund W2051525%67.285.8-18.6
11 Visby W2031715%61.583.6-22.1
12 AIK Basket W201195%60.482.8-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marbo W821151862
Hogsbo W1117102361
← all games of the day
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