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Marquette vs Mississippi St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#145
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game53.0
vs
Position#99
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Marquette v Mississippi St.
12 Dec 2026
MARQ v MISS
upcoming
21 Nov 2022
MARQ55
MISS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marquette win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarquetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H01/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
78-56
78
56
+22
A05/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
87-89
87
89
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#318
W
78-43
78
43
+35
H03/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
93-32
93
32
+61
H07/11
NCAA
Michigan
#106
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-51
53-45
35-44
35-32
40-35
36-25
14-32
37-30
37-23
41-33
33-35
35-27
38-38
49-51
36-14
42-29
41-19
52-13
27-35
43-49
141.9Avg total
75.9Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.353.0133.3+27.367%
Season at home (2)85.537.5123.0+48.0100%
Season away (1)70.084.0154.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)75.966.0141.9+9.950%
Last 5 (5)79.262.0141.2+17.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.977.6146.5-8.78%
vs Similar (15)76.774.7151.4+1.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)80.353.0133.3+27.367%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
89-97
89
97
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
75-100
75
100
-25
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
64-88
64
88
-24
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
74-108
74
108
-34
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
106-88
106
88
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-46
50-51
33-63
42-37
23-54
41-34
35-47
39-61
47-42
49-60
33-30
28-49
53-37
53-51
49-27
33-17
51-29
47-28
31-41
32-40
165.2Avg total
80.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season at home (4)87.267.5154.8+19.875%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.884.4165.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)82.069.8151.8+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)74.685.2159.8-10.725%
vs Similar (7)82.673.1155.7+9.471%
vs Weaker (3)95.363.0158.3+32.3100%
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: -1.4-1.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: -1.4-1.4
MarquetteMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MarquetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A25/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
14-32
14
32
-18
H01/03
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
37-23
37
23
+14
A05/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#318
W
36-14
36
14
+22
H03/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
41-19
41
19
+22
H07/11
NCAA
Michigan
#106
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.235.170.2+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.232.969.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (13)33.837.971.7-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.666.2+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.028.263.2+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.638.371.9-4.817%-
vs Similar (15)36.534.971.5+1.653%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.722.757.3+12.067%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#278
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A26/02
NCAA
Missouri
#111
L
23-54
23
54
-31
H28/02
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia
#68
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A11/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#224
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H03/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#339
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#273
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H10/11
NCAA
Xavier
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H14/11
NCAA
81.0Avg total
39.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.775.2-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.236.373.5+0.856%-
Last 30 away (12)37.939.877.8-1.942%-
Last 10 (10)39.441.681.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.432.876.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.140.475.5-5.235%-
vs Similar (7)38.333.171.4+5.171%-
vs Weaker (3)51.031.082.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Marquette) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marquette wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
22/11/22Marquette v Mississippi St.55-58
Marquettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AMichigan70-84
07/11/26HDetroit93-32
03/11/26HMercyhurst Lakers78-43
11/03/26HXavier87-89
07/03/26HUconn68-62
05/03/26AProvidence78-56
01/03/26HDePaul51-62
25/02/26AGeorgetown76-60
19/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)70-76
14/02/26AXavier88-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HXavier63-81
10/11/26HJackson State98-57
06/11/26HNorthwestern St.82-44
03/11/26HTennessee Tech106-88
11/03/26AAuburn61-79
07/03/26HGeorgia96-102
04/03/26AFlorida74-108
28/02/26HMissouri64-88
26/02/26AAlabama75-100
21/02/26ASouth Carolina89-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marquette
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.385.570.0
Allowed / game53.037.584.0
Point differential+27.3+48.0-14.0
Avg total133.3123.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game87.287.2-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+19.8+19.8-
Avg total154.8154.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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