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Marsonia vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-87
19-28 21-21 20-16 21-22
Position#9
Record3-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
Position#6
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game76.3
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 12· Sports Hall Viju
Other2023-24
Meetings · Marsonia v Kastela
01 Feb 2026
MARS59
KAST84
10 Nov 2024
MARS64
KAST88
23 Dec 2023
MARS81
KAST87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marsonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MarsoniaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMarsonia
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
77-75
77
75
+2
68avg 66
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
84avg 66
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
75-88
75
88
-13
58avg 66
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
L
79-81
79
81
-2
64avg 66
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
71-77
71
77
-6
54avg 66
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
106-107
106
107
-1
99avg 66
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
102-74
102
74
+28
85avg 66
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
60-99
60
99
-39
42avg 66
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
95-91
95
91
+4
86avg 66
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 66
A16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-17
20-10
23-24
39-21
7-32
30-25
18-24
12-29
25-14
14-21
24-24
22-14
24-19
15-23
18-25
10-31
18-14
21-15
22-17
27-36
28-22
32-26
19-23
16-10
27-14
31-20
28-30
17-23
11-24
8-24
24-28
23-20
17-30
32-17
23-24
16-29
22-14
8-22
20-15
169.9Avg total
82.5Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.586.7167.2-6.327%
Season at home (6)83.584.2167.7-0.733%
Season away (5)76.889.8166.6-13.020%
Last 10 (10)82.587.4169.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)85.890.2176.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.791.0171.7-10.314%
vs Similar (2)71.577.5149.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (2)88.581.0169.5+7.550%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
76avg 76
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 76
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 76
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
98-76
98
76
+22
98avg 76
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
89-52
89
52
+37
95avg 76
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-86
88
86
+2
88avg 76
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 76
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 76
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 76
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
91avg 76
H16/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
25-20
18-14
22-18
20-21
24-23
16-17
14-18
32-21
18-19
13-21
17-25
23-30
22-17
25-14
28-15
30-8
25-1
17-21
17-22
22-27
25-19
11-16
30-24
22-19
13-25
21-19
11-26
24-16
13-21
13-14
18-13
10-18
22-25
16-16
11-14
25-15
24-16
26-20
20-21
155.2Avg total
80.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.176.3157.4+4.855%
Season at home (6)81.776.5158.2+5.267%
Season away (5)80.476.0156.4+4.440%
Last 10 (10)80.374.9155.2+5.460%
Last 5 (5)75.476.8152.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.876.6147.3-5.833%
vs Similar (7)80.678.4159.0+2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.970.3153.1+12.693%
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
MarsoniaKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MarsoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H22/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A29/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H04/11
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H12/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A18/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H26/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A03/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H10/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A16/12
Prva Liga
83.2Avg total
39.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)38.543.481.9-4.818%-
Last 30 at home (6)38.740.879.5-2.233%-
Last 30 away (5)38.446.484.8-8.00%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.783.2-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.485.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.946.685.4-7.714%-
vs Similar (2)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker (2)40.033.573.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/10
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
55-9
55
9
+46
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/12
Prva Liga
82.0Avg total
43.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.376.6+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.775.5+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)38.838.977.7-0.127%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.182.0+5.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.280.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.039.072.0-6.011%-
vs Similar (7)41.136.077.1+5.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.436.979.3+5.471%-
This opponent (Marsonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Marsoniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Marsonia: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.9
51.7%
52.9%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
71.2%12.1
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.2
55.6%
52.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
32.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws12.19.4
77.7%
71.2%9.4
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Marsonia
LWLWLLLLLW
Kastela
WLWLWWWLLW
#9
League position
#6
-5.6
Net rating
+6.5
99.6
Offensive rating
107.4
105.2
Defensive rating
100.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.7%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.18
31.2%
3-point %
33.8%
45.1%
Assist %
66.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 107.4Defence105.2 · 100.9Shooting49.7% · 53.4%3-point %31.2% · 33.8%Ball care18.3% · 17.7%Off. rebounds27.1% · 27.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Marsonia   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Marsonia wins
0
Kastela wins
No previous meetings.
Marsonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AMladost66-80
10/12/23HHermes95-91
03/12/23AOsijek60-99
26/11/23HCrikvenica102-74
18/11/23AJazine106-107
12/11/23HKK Zagreb71-77
04/11/23HSamobor79-81
29/10/23APodstrana75-88
22/10/23HKvarner94-102
14/10/23AOmis77-75
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HPodstrana95-72
09/12/23AKvarner59-73
02/12/23HOmis68-64
25/11/23AGorica67-89
18/11/23HStoja88-86
11/11/23ASamobor89-52
04/11/23AMladost98-76
28/10/23HHermes80-86
21/10/23HOsijek74-79
15/10/23HCrikvenica85-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Marsonia
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL27%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%33%20%
Points / game80.583.576.8
Allowed / game86.784.289.8
Point differential-6.3-0.7-13.0
Avg total167.2167.7166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game81.181.780.4
Allowed / game76.376.576.0
Point differential+4.8+5.2+4.4
Avg total157.4158.2156.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1211192%92.075.1+16.9
2 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
3 KK Zagreb118373%82.571.9+10.5
4 Gorica127558%78.074.1+3.9
5 Kastela116555%81.176.3+4.8
6 Omis116555%76.376.0+0.3
7 Samobor116555%78.781.9-3.2
8 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Podstrana124833%73.282.8-9.5
11 Mladost113827%77.483.5-6.1
12 Marsonia113827%80.586.7-6.3
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Marsonia1921202181
Kastela2821162287
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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