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Mazeikiai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-98
13-29 22-20 23-30 19-19
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game93.7
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record0-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game90.8
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Nevezis
05 Apr 2025
MAZ71
NEV101
27 Nov 2024
MAZ89
NEV85
03 Nov 2024
MAZ77
NEV98
09 May 2024
MAZ81
NEV93
13 Nov 2023
MAZ88
NEV81
31 Jan 2015
MAZ76
NEV75
13 Dec 2014
MAZ75
NEV83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
84avg 71
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 71
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 71
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
71-106
71
106
-35
61avg 71
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
46-91
46
91
-45
34avg 71
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 71
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
83-103
83
103
-20
82avg 71
A19/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
85-91
85
91
-6
81avg 71
H22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
107-96
107
96
+11
103avg 71
H27/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
69avg 71
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
13-25
24-13
24-18
15-28
27-19
17-20
14-19
26-25
26-25
13-24
21-21
19-25
15-27
24-32
13-22
17-21
17-21
6-26
6-23
26-26
21-19
8-28
16-16
17-26
23-19
13-31
30-27
24-19
30-20
22-24
9-28
28-22
20-20
29-25
30-29
19-31
15-16
24-24
16-18
173.0Avg total
78.9Scored
94.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.293.7175.8-11.517%
Season at home (4)83.094.2177.2-11.225%
Season away (2)80.592.5173.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)78.994.1173.0-15.210%
Last 5 (5)84.093.6177.6-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.390.8167.2-14.513%
vs Similar (5)83.284.4167.6-1.260%
vs Weaker (2)89.573.5163.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
65avg 78
H29/09
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
72avg 78
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-85
78
85
-7
79avg 78
H05/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
74-87
74
87
-13
64avg 78
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 78
A13/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 78
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 78
H20/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 78
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
93-105
93
105
-12
78avg 78
H28/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
92avg 78
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
19-24
23-20
15-18
18-16
22-19
15-32
25-26
30-19
15-21
17-18
16-27
19-24
20-22
18-17
17-24
18-31
27-19
29-19
17-26
26-26
19-21
28-8
16-16
26-21
22-32
23-20
12-20
17-22
22-23
25-25
24-16
22-30
22-21
19-28
30-26
28-27
23-25
21-19
20-21
176.8Avg total
85.6Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.590.8173.3-8.30%
Season at home (5)80.890.0170.8-9.20%
Season away (1)91.095.0186.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)85.691.2176.8-5.620%
Last 5 (5)91.492.6184.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)84.194.9179.0-10.736%
vs Similar (12)86.689.0175.6-2.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.282.8172.0+6.575%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
MazeikiaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/10
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A31/10
King Mindaugas Cup
87.5Avg total
41.7Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.484.6-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.943.082.9-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.786.4-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.887.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.688.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)39.744.684.3-4.939%-
vs Similar (5)43.246.689.8-3.440%-
vs Weaker (2)39.536.576.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H29/09
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A13/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H20/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H28/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
90.4Avg total
43.4Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.948.492.3-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.848.293.0-3.425%-
Last 30 away (14)42.848.791.5-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)43.447.090.4-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)45.449.695.0-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.652.494.1-10.814%-
vs Similar (12)45.745.190.8+0.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)46.244.590.8+1.850%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.914.8
51.2%
55.6%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.712.1
40.7%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws17.712.2
68.9%
75.0%12.2
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.8
50.8%
55.6%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.4
35.0%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws25.919.0
73.4%
75.0%19.0
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LWLLLLLLLL
Nevezis
LLWLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#9
-20.3
Net rating
-7.1
104.5
Offensive rating
111.3
124.8
Defensive rating
118.3
56.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
57.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
20.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
21.0%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.41
40.7%
3-point %
35.0%
63.6%
Assist %
68.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 111.3Defence124.8 · 118.3Shooting56.2% · 51.6%3-point %40.7% · 35.0%Ball care20.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds21.0% · 34.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mazeikiai wins
4
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
15/10/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai89-71
09/05/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis81-93
07/03/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai72-83
13/11/23Mazeikiai v Nevezis88-81
28/04/15Nevezis v Mazeikiai82-98
31/01/15Mazeikiai v Nevezis76-75
13/12/14Mazeikiai v Nevezis75-83
09/10/14Nevezis v Mazeikiai69-65
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24AJonava74-89
27/10/24HNeptunas107-96
22/10/24HSiauliai85-91
19/10/24AJonava83-103
15/10/24ANevezis71-89
13/10/24HJuventus46-91
09/10/24ANeptunas71-106
05/10/24HBC Wolves86-95
02/10/24HJuventus73-86
29/09/24HSiauliai93-95 OT
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/24HSiauliai104-108 OT
28/10/24HJonava93-105
23/10/24ANeptunas88-86
20/10/24HRytas83-93
15/10/24HMazeikiai89-71
13/10/24ASiauliai91-95
09/10/24AJuventus74-87
05/10/24HLietkabelis78-85
02/10/24AJonava80-93
29/09/24HZalgiris Kaunas76-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game82.283.080.5
Allowed / game93.794.292.5
Point differential-11.5-11.2-12.0
Avg total175.8177.2173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.580.891.0
Allowed / game90.890.095.0
Point differential-8.3-9.2-4.0
Avg total173.3170.8186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas76186%92.984.1+8.7
2 Zalgiris Kaunas75271%85.776.4+9.3
3 Neptunas75271%93.790.4+3.3
4 BC Wolves74357%89.085.0+4.0
5 Lietkabelis74357%77.679.0-1.4
6 Juventus73443%78.376.4+1.9
7 Jonava73443%90.792.7-2.0
8 Siauliai73443%93.7100.4-6.7
9 Mazeikiai61517%82.293.7-11.5
10 Nevezis6060%82.590.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1322231977
Nevezis2920301998
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