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Neptunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 106-71
25-19 27-15 32-24 22-13
Position#2
Record0-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Position#9
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game86.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Svyturio arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Mazeikiai
14 May 2025
NEP85
MAZ79
01 Feb 2025
NEP99
MAZ63
09 Oct 2024
NEP106
MAZ71
01 Apr 2024
NEP91
MAZ89
08 Nov 2023
NEP109
MAZ80
23 Oct 2023
NEP84
MAZ87
04 Jan 2015
NEP95
MAZ77
27 Sep 2014
NEP110
MAZ64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 81
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 81
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 81
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 81
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 81
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 81
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
46avg 81
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
91avg 81
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 81
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 81
A06/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
33-22
19-25
27-36
22-31
20-14
21-19
21-27
30-23
23-23
26-10
16-20
16-26
15-14
26-24
23-27
19-12
17-21
22-24
32-27
19-21
12-16
15-16
20-21
24-18
12-29
15-26
8-22
24-22
27-24
19-22
20-19
17-18
26-20
23-29
16-35
32-17
24-29
21-27
22-19
173.9Avg total
84.3Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.0102.0184.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)84.389.6173.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)79.290.0169.2-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.187.9169.9-5.836%
vs Similar (5)87.283.4170.6+3.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.487.8173.2-2.536%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
42avg 71
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
55avg 71
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
75avg 71
A02/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
76avg 71
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
45avg 71
A12/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
58-76
58
76
-18
48avg 71
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 71
A21/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
84avg 71
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 71
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 71
H05/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
12-31
20-18
17-19
7-31
23-25
15-23
23-16
21-31
25-14
20-23
16-20
23-29
17-22
16-20
25-22
26-17
15-25
5-28
15-27
14-23
22-17
10-18
12-18
17-24
17-19
20-19
24-20
19-24
13-25
24-13
24-18
15-28
27-19
17-20
14-19
26-25
26-25
13-24
21-21
163.9Avg total
74.3Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Season at home (1)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.389.6163.9-15.30%
Last 5 (5)77.686.8164.4-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.486.9161.3-12.516%
vs Similar (7)81.484.4165.9-3.043%
vs Weaker (4)87.273.8161.0+13.5100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
NeptunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/10
LKL
85.2Avg total
43.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.082.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.184.4+0.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.239.981.1+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.185.2+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.886.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.640.580.1-0.936%-
vs Similar (5)46.442.088.4+4.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.541.283.6+1.364%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H21/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A02/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/10
LKL
85.4Avg total
37.9Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.082.5-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.141.980.0-3.939%-
Last 30 away (12)41.744.786.3-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.947.585.4-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.885.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.343.782.0-5.437%-
vs Similar (7)42.144.686.7-2.443%-
vs Weaker (4)40.537.277.8+3.275%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.4
50.3%
55.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.5
34.2%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.4
71.6%
74.4%15.4
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.4
46.2%
55.0%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.0
32.7%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.812.7
67.6%
74.4%12.7
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLWLLWLWLL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
-8.5
Net rating
-20.4
108.0
Offensive rating
97.8
116.5
Defensive rating
118.2
50.7%
Effective FG%
47.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.2%
3-point %
32.7%
61.2%
Assist %
69.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 97.8Defence116.5 · 118.2Shooting50.7% · 47.6%3-point %34.2% · 32.7%Ball care16.5% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas wins
2
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
01/04/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai91-89
17/12/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-68
08/11/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai109-80
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
10/11/14Mazeikiai v Neptunas69-81
27/09/14Neptunas v Mazeikiai110-64
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AJuventus99-92
02/10/24ASiauliai82-102
29/09/24HJonava90-87
27/09/24ABilbao59-95
24/09/24HBilbao66-74
21/09/24ARytas90-84
18/05/24ABC Wolves80-91
15/05/24HBC Wolves95-76
13/05/24ABC Wolves84-91
05/05/24ASiauliai98-104
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/24HBC Wolves86-95
02/10/24HJuventus73-86
29/09/24HSiauliai93-95 OT
21/09/24ALietkabelis78-82
14/05/24HZalgiris Kaunas58-76
12/05/24AZalgiris Kaunas61-97
09/05/24HNevezis81-93
02/05/24ALietkabelis82-88
29/04/24AZalgiris Kaunas68-95
21/04/24HRytas63-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game102.0-102.0
Point differential-20.0--20.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game73.073.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-13.0-13.0-
Avg total159.0159.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai110100%102.082.0+20.0
2 Jonava110100%93.080.0+13.0
3 Juventus220100%86.573.5+13.0
4 Mazeikiai1010%73.086.0-13.0
5 Nevezis2020%77.090.0-13.0
6 Neptunas1010%82.0102.0-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas25273222106
Mazeikiai1915241371
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