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Jonava vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-74
31-19 16-15 24-24 18-16
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game85.5
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#9
Record0-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game93.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Jonavos sporto arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Mazeikiai
16 Apr 2025
JON116
MAZ55
31 Oct 2024
JON89
MAZ74
19 Oct 2024
JON103
MAZ83
03 Feb 2024
JON87
MAZ96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 77
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
63avg 77
H25/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 77
A29/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 77
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
104-93
104
93
+11
93avg 77
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 77
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 77
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
103-83
103
83
+20
94avg 77
H19/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
91-94
91
94
-3
66avg 77
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
105-93
105
93
+12
111avg 77
A28/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
20-27
22-21
27-30
20-22
16-24
19-26
17-21
22-24
24-27
22-19
19-20
16-18
19-22
32-15
26-25
23-25
29-27
28-13
24-28
21-22
22-18
21-24
23-20
25-27
19-24
28-11
16-22
26-17
19-23
31-13
27-30
21-22
18-29
19-19
33-24
30-22
21-22
28-19
26-30
181.7Avg total
92.0Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.885.5175.2+4.275%
Season at home (3)89.382.7172.0+6.7100%
Season away (1)91.094.0185.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)92.089.7181.7+2.360%
Last 5 (5)94.887.6182.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.195.9177.0-14.720%
vs Similar (12)88.388.9177.2-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)103.384.7188.0+18.767%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 71
A21/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
84avg 71
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 71
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 71
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
71-106
71
106
-35
61avg 71
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
46-91
46
91
-45
34avg 71
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 71
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
83-103
83
103
-20
82avg 71
A19/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
85-91
85
91
-6
81avg 71
H22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
107-96
107
96
+11
103avg 71
H27/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
17-19
20-19
24-20
19-24
13-25
24-13
24-18
15-28
27-19
17-20
14-19
26-25
26-25
13-24
21-21
19-25
15-27
24-32
13-22
17-21
17-21
6-26
6-23
26-26
21-19
8-28
16-16
17-26
23-19
13-31
30-27
24-19
30-20
22-24
9-28
28-22
20-20
29-25
30-29
172.7Avg total
79.3Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.093.0168.0-18.00%
Season at home (2)79.088.5167.5-9.50%
Season away (2)71.097.5168.5-26.50%
Last 10 (10)79.393.4172.7-14.110%
Last 5 (5)78.494.0172.4-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)76.590.9167.4-14.514%
vs Similar (5)83.284.4167.6-1.260%
vs Weaker (3)90.776.3167.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.6-3.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +7.0+7.0Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.6-3.6
JonavaMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H25/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H19/10
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A28/10
LKL
89.9Avg total
43.2Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.946.289.1-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.744.187.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)42.247.990.1-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)43.246.789.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.445.289.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.046.587.5-5.513%-
vs Similar (12)44.046.790.7-2.742%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)48.042.790.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H22/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/10
LKL
87.1Avg total
41.7Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.644.184.7-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.943.082.9-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.445.286.6-3.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.745.487.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.687.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)40.044.584.4-4.541%-
vs Similar (5)43.246.689.8-3.440%-
vs Weaker (3)41.337.378.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.6
55.1%
55.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.6
36.8%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws26.219.2
73.3%
74.4%19.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.214.5
51.4%
55.0%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.912.1
40.5%
36.6%36.3
🏀 Free throws18.713.2
70.6%
74.4%13.2
They take 58.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLWWWWWLLL
Mazeikiai
WLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#9
+3.3
Net rating
-18.9
120.4
Offensive rating
105.2
117.1
Defensive rating
124.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.7%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
21.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.8%
3-point %
40.5%
58.0%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence120.4 · 105.2Defence117.1 · 124.1Shooting55.1% · 56.2%3-point %36.8% · 40.5%Ball care16.5% · 20.7%Off. rebounds37.9% · 21.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Jonava   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Jonava wins
1
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai103-83
14/04/24Mazeikiai v Jonava62-79
03/02/24Jonava v Mazeikiai87-96
23/09/23Mazeikiai v Jonava79-82
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/24ANevezis105-93
23/10/24AJuventus91-94
19/10/24HMazeikiai103-83
15/10/24HNeptunas88-84
10/10/24HSiauliai87-84
05/10/24HSiauliai104-93
02/10/24HNevezis93-80
29/09/24ANeptunas87-90
25/09/24HZalgiris Kaunas72-93
22/09/24ABC Wolves90-103
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HNeptunas107-96
22/10/24HSiauliai85-91
19/10/24AJonava83-103
15/10/24ANevezis71-89
13/10/24HJuventus46-91
09/10/24ANeptunas71-106
05/10/24HBC Wolves86-95
02/10/24HJuventus73-86
29/09/24HSiauliai93-95 OT
21/09/24ALietkabelis78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game89.889.391.0
Allowed / game85.582.794.0
Point differential+4.2+6.7-3.0
Avg total175.2172.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.079.071.0
Allowed / game93.088.597.5
Point differential-18.0-9.5-26.5
Avg total168.0167.5168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai54180%94.488.2+6.2
2 Jonava43175%89.885.5+4.2
3 Juventus53260%84.886.0-1.2
4 Neptunas52340%92.684.6+8.0
5 Nevezis52340%87.089.0-2.0
6 Mazeikiai4040%75.093.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava3116241889
Mazeikiai1915241674
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