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Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 76-89
19-27 19-24 23-20 15-18
Position#9
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game67.5
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Nevezis v Zalgiris Kaunas
14 Feb 2027
NEV v ZAL
upcoming
11 Oct 2026
NEV76
ZAL80
18 Feb 2026
NEV67
ZAL91
09 Nov 2025
NEV68
ZAL94
23 Mar 2025
NEV80
ZAL84
29 Sep 2024
NEV76
ZAL89
22 Oct 2023
NEV70
ZAL76
15 May 2023
NEV86
ZAL92
04 Mar 2023
NEV69
ZAL97
14 Apr 2022
NEV64
ZAL72
02 Jan 2022
NEV69
ZAL77
09 Feb 2020
NEV63
ZAL92
28 Sep 2019
NEV57
ZAL83
10 Apr 2019
NEV70
ZAL102
16 Dec 2018
NEV55
ZAL79
24 May 2018
NEV75
ZAL96
12 Mar 2018
NEV73
ZAL79
01 Oct 2017
NEV66
ZAL77
09 Apr 2017
NEV54
ZAL82
30 Oct 2016
NEV68
ZAL81
25 Jan 2016
NEV54
ZAL98
08 Nov 2015
NEV67
ZAL90
30 Mar 2015
NEV74
ZAL112
24 Sep 2014
NEV59
ZAL93
12 Jan 2014
NEV65
ZAL84
18 Apr 2013
NEV71
ZAL91
14 Jan 2013
NEV42
ZAL83
11 Feb 2012
NEV60
ZAL74
19 Mar 2011
NEV66
ZAL78
18 Oct 2009
NEV52
ZAL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 78
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
71avg 78
H30/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
83-102
83
102
-19
69avg 78
A06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
77avg 78
H15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
116-83
116
83
+33
130avg 78
H18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
92-79
92
79
+13
91avg 78
A22/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
78-102
78
102
-24
62avg 78
A02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
93-92
93
92
+1
84avg 78
A06/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
93-81
93
81
+12
80avg 78
A09/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
74-78
74
78
-4
60avg 78
H25/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
16-20
20-19
12-21
19-21
11-28
27-24
22-15
27-23
24-30
16-27
16-22
18-24
26-21
15-25
27-24
37-19
29-22
33-17
17-25
24-26
21-20
20-12
27-21
15-32
21-29
21-23
21-18
24-17
21-31
20-27
28-17
29-23
22-17
20-16
22-25
19-21
14-21
16-15
25-21
174.3Avg total
87.0Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.087.3174.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)86.086.4172.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)84.196.3180.4-12.229%
vs Similar (11)89.488.2177.5+1.245%
vs Weaker (5)90.283.2173.4+7.080%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
76-58
76
58
+18
76avg 80
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
86avg 80
H21/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
80avg 80
A23/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
84avg 80
H26/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
76avg 80
H05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
94-104 OT
94
104
-10
87avg 80
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
81avg 80
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
87-88
87
88
-1
74avg 80
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
91-63
91
63
+28
92avg 80
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
93-72
93
72
+21
88avg 80
A25/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
17-22
18-10
18-12
33-14
15-24
18-22
27-12
16-22
22-17
23-29
29-21
18-18
21-26
24-10
25-25
17-19
19-24
20-11
21-23
30-19
20-25
17-27
20-16
25-15
22-21
19-20
25-25
24-23
24-28
17-19
22-18
17-19
23-15
28-16
23-13
22-20
24-16
26-19
21-17
168.6Avg total
89.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)92.067.5159.5+24.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.179.5168.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)91.281.6172.8+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.064.0126.0-2.00%
vs Similar (13)84.882.7167.5+2.146%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)93.474.6168.0+18.988%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +4.9+4.9
NevezisZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A23/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H30/03
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H15/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
66-41
66
41
+25
H18/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-61
36
61
-25
A02/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A06/05
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A09/05
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H25/09
LKL
90.4Avg total
44.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.392.5-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.046.591.5-1.543%-
Last 30 away (16)45.448.193.4-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)44.545.990.4-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.489.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.351.693.9-9.421%-
vs Similar (11)48.545.293.7+3.445%-
vs Weaker (5)46.040.086.0+6.080%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mazeikiai
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H21/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H26/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H05/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A07/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H10/06
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/06
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A22/09
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A25/09
LKL
83.3Avg total
43.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.338.782.0+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.437.883.2+7.665%-
Last 30 away (13)40.639.880.5+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.183.3+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.240.286.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.031.056.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.241.482.6-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.236.983.1+9.281%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.1
53.9%
55.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.7
33.6%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.416.7
78.0%
75.0%16.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.3
57.5%
55.6%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.919.0
79.5%
75.0%19.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWWLWWLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLLWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-1.2
Net rating
+12.5
113.4
Offensive rating
119.0
114.6
Defensive rating
106.5
52.3%
Effective FG%
53.6%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
13.9%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.6%
3-point %
31.8%
56.7%
Assist %
58.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 119.0Defence114.6 · 106.5Shooting52.3% · 53.6%3-point %33.6% · 31.8%Ball care17.2% · 13.9%Off. rebounds34.0% · 32.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Nevezis   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nevezis wins
10
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24HJuventus74-78
09/05/24AMazeikiai93-81
06/05/24ALietkabelis93-92
02/05/24AZalgiris Kaunas78-102
22/04/24ANeptunas92-79
18/04/24HJonava116-83
15/04/24HSiauliai86-94
06/04/24ABC Wolves83-102
30/03/24HRytas79-88
23/03/24APieno Zvaigzdes76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/24AJonava93-72
22/09/24ASiauliai91-63
12/06/24ARytas87-88
10/06/24HRytas91-81
07/06/24ARytas94-104 OT
05/06/24HRytas88-89 OT
26/05/24HLietkabelis88-79
23/05/24ALietkabelis90-89
21/05/24HLietkabelis93-72
14/05/24AMazeikiai76-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game78.078.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total152.0152.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game92.0-92.0
Allowed / game67.5-67.5
Point differential+24.5-+24.5
Avg total159.5-159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%92.067.5+24.5
2 Neptunas110100%90.084.0+6.0
3 Lietkabelis220100%82.579.5+3.0
4 BC Wolves21150%92.086.5+5.5
5 Rytas21150%85.084.0+1.0
6 Juventus21150%78.080.0-2.0
7 Siauliai21150%79.092.0-13.0
8 Mazeikiai2020%85.588.5-3.0
9 Nevezis1010%74.078.0-4.0
10 Jonava2020%81.098.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis1919231576
Zalgiris Kaunas2724201889
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