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Jonava vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 103-83
26-17 19-23 31-13 27-30
Position#5
Record1-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game94.8
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Position#10
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game90.8
LithuaniaLKL· Jonavos sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Jonava v Mazeikiai
16 Apr 2025
JON116
MAZ55
31 Oct 2024
JON89
MAZ74
19 Oct 2024
JON103
MAZ83
03 Feb 2024
JON87
MAZ96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 76
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-110
77
110
-33
66avg 76
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
90-96
90
96
-6
85avg 76
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
90-103
90
103
-13
78avg 76
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
63avg 76
H25/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
87-90
87
90
-3
80avg 76
A29/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 76
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
W
104-93
104
93
+11
93avg 76
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 76
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 76
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
20-15
25-19
18-24
28-22
18-29
22-28
9-31
23-20
30-21
22-28
15-27
21-25
20-27
22-21
27-30
20-22
16-24
19-26
17-21
22-24
24-27
22-19
19-20
16-18
19-22
32-15
26-25
23-25
29-27
28-13
24-28
21-22
22-18
21-24
23-20
25-27
19-24
28-11
16-22
179.4Avg total
87.3Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.294.8183.0-6.525%
Season at home (2)88.093.0181.0-5.050%
Season away (2)88.596.5185.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)87.392.1179.4-4.840%
Last 5 (5)91.886.2178.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.894.8174.6-15.118%
vs Similar (12)86.888.8175.6-2.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)116.077.0193.0+39.0100%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
76avg 70
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
45avg 70
A12/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
58-76
58
76
-18
48avg 70
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 70
A21/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
93-95 OT
93
95
-2
84avg 70
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 70
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 70
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
71-106
71
106
-35
61avg 70
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
46-91
46
91
-45
34avg 70
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 70
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
17-22
16-20
25-22
26-17
15-25
5-28
15-27
14-23
22-17
10-18
12-18
17-24
17-19
20-19
24-20
19-24
13-25
24-13
24-18
15-28
27-19
17-20
14-19
26-25
26-25
13-24
21-21
19-25
15-27
24-32
13-22
17-21
17-21
6-26
6-23
26-26
21-19
8-28
16-16
162.8Avg total
71.8Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.890.8166.5-15.00%
Season at home (3)75.093.7168.7-18.70%
Season away (1)78.082.0160.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)71.891.0162.8-19.20%
Last 5 (5)69.493.4162.8-24.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)73.288.3161.5-15.114%
vs Similar (6)81.583.3164.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (3)90.776.3167.0+14.3100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -5.4-5.4Q4: -3.6-3.6
JonavaMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A13/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A22/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H25/09
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A29/09
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H10/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
90.7Avg total
43.8Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.246.288.4-3.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.144.186.2-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.448.290.6-5.813%-
Last 10 (10)43.846.990.7-3.120%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.890.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.945.985.9-6.012%-
vs Similar (12)44.047.291.2-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)60.037.097.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H09/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H29/09
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/10
LKL
Neptunas
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H13/10
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A15/10
King Mindaugas Cup
85.3Avg total
39.2Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.883.3-4.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.642.680.2-5.031%-
Last 30 away (14)41.545.286.7-3.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.246.185.3-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.289.0-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)38.544.382.8-5.838%-
vs Similar (6)41.745.587.2-3.833%-
vs Weaker (3)41.337.378.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.2
54.4%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
75.0%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.213.5
46.2%
55.6%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.7
35.0%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.111.9
65.7%
75.0%11.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WWWWLLLLLL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
#5
League position
#10
-6.1
Net rating
-25.8
114.2
Offensive rating
95.5
120.2
Defensive rating
121.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
59.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.3%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.7%
3-point %
35.0%
63.9%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 95.5Defence120.2 · 121.3Shooting54.7% · 49.4%3-point %36.7% · 35.0%Ball care18.4% · 20.3%Off. rebounds34.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Jonava   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jonava wins
1
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
14/04/24Mazeikiai v Jonava62-79
03/02/24Jonava v Mazeikiai87-96
23/09/23Mazeikiai v Jonava79-82
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24HNeptunas88-84
10/10/24HSiauliai87-84
05/10/24HSiauliai104-93
02/10/24HNevezis93-80
29/09/24ANeptunas87-90
25/09/24HZalgiris Kaunas72-93
22/09/24ABC Wolves90-103
15/05/24HRytas90-96
13/05/24ARytas77-110
04/05/24AJuventus85-88
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/24ANevezis71-89
13/10/24HJuventus46-91
09/10/24ANeptunas71-106
05/10/24HBC Wolves86-95
02/10/24HJuventus73-86
29/09/24HSiauliai93-95 OT
21/09/24ALietkabelis78-82
14/05/24HZalgiris Kaunas58-76
12/05/24AZalgiris Kaunas61-97
09/05/24HNevezis81-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game88.288.088.5
Allowed / game94.893.096.5
Point differential-6.5-5.0-8.0
Avg total183.0181.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.875.078.0
Allowed / game90.893.782.0
Point differential-15.0-18.7-4.0
Avg total166.5168.7160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas440100%92.084.2+7.8
2 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%90.275.5+14.8
3 Rytas43175%86.280.8+5.5
4 Lietkabelis43175%79.280.2-1.0
5 Juventus42250%84.876.2+8.5
6 BC Wolves42250%88.287.0+1.2
7 Siauliai42250%86.594.8-8.2
8 Jonava41325%88.294.8-6.5
9 Nevezis4040%79.886.8-7.0
10 Mazeikiai4040%75.890.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava26193127103
Mazeikiai1723133083
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