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Nevezis vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 109-80
28-25 29-15 25-18 27-22
Position#9
Record10-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game89.9
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
Position#10
Record3-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game98.3
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Nevezis v Mazeikiai
11 May 2025
NEV109
MAZ80
07 Dec 2024
NEV93
MAZ87
15 Oct 2024
NEV89
MAZ71
07 Mar 2024
NEV72
MAZ83
28 Apr 2015
NEV82
MAZ98
09 Oct 2014
NEV69
MAZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
89-96
89
96
-7
88avg 82
A29/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
101-71
101
71
+30
92avg 82
A05/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
99-94
99
94
+5
94avg 82
A12/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
86avg 82
H15/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 82
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 82
A22/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
80-102
80
102
-22
66avg 82
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
88-105
88
105
-17
78avg 82
A29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 82
A04/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
106-107
106
107
-1
103avg 82
H07/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
20-31
26-20
26-24
22-21
26-18
27-13
26-19
35-22
10-27
24-25
30-20
20-26
32-17
18-12
27-27
26-30
21-22
21-23
23-21
15-28
19-13
25-18
20-12
22-22
19-17
22-30
17-33
18-24
30-27
23-29
17-25
20-27
18-20
26-21
26-28
26-20
27-29
25-23
28-35
184.0Avg total
92.0Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)89.889.9179.8-0.131%
Season at home (15)87.488.8176.2-1.427%
Season away (17)92.090.9182.9+1.135%
Last 10 (10)92.092.0184.0+0.040%
Last 5 (5)88.696.2184.8-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)87.094.5181.5-7.50%
vs Similar (15)92.188.8180.9+3.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.087.7179.7+4.344%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 70
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
71-101
71
101
-30
64avg 70
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-105
80
105
-25
70avg 70
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
55-116
55
116
-61
42avg 70
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
67avg 70
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-109
63
109
-46
50avg 70
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-113
81
113
-32
72avg 70
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
96-122
96
122
-26
92avg 70
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
71avg 70
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
86-107
86
107
-21
71avg 70
H06/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
26-20
13-21
22-17
21-22
18-26
13-27
19-26
24-31
15-24
23-20
18-30
10-37
18-28
14-35
13-16
13-19
17-28
16-28
23-15
20-31
7-26
12-32
24-20
20-30
20-24
22-28
19-31
26-33
30-33
17-22
23-34
18-25
26-23
21-23
20-23
19-31
19-22
24-24
24-30
180.0Avg total
76.3Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.298.3177.6-19.19%
Season at home (17)81.197.1178.2-15.912%
Season away (15)77.199.7176.9-22.67%
Last 10 (10)76.3103.7180.0-27.40%
Last 5 (5)82.2109.0191.2-26.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)79.697.3176.9-17.720%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -9.4-9.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -5.8-5.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
NevezisMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A29/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A05/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H15/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A19/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A22/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H26/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A29/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A04/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H07/05
LKL
90.5Avg total
44.3Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.144.389.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.241.187.3+5.275%-
Last 30 away (18)44.346.490.8-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)44.346.290.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.488.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)46.245.791.8+0.533%-
vs Similar (15)44.144.488.5-0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.143.289.3+2.956%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
28-65
28
65
-37
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H06/05
LKL
91.8Avg total
38.3Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.247.886.0-9.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.944.783.6-5.920%-
Last 30 away (15)37.650.888.4-13.27%-
Last 10 (10)38.353.591.8-15.20%-
Last 5 (5)41.055.696.6-14.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.247.886.0-9.513%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.7
57.3%
55.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.8
33.0%
35.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.8
75.4%
75.0%17.8
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.0
52.5%
55.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
35.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.514.1
72.3%
75.0%14.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LLLLWLWWWL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#10
-1.3
Net rating
-35.6
115.2
Offensive rating
98.0
116.4
Defensive rating
133.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
60.5%
17.0%
Turnover %
22.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.0%
3-point %
32.2%
61.3%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 98.0Defence116.4 · 133.6Shooting53.8% · 50.8%3-point %33.0% · 32.2%Ball care17.0% · 22.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 0%
■ Nevezis   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nevezis wins
5
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Mazeikiai v Nevezis71-101
07/12/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai93-87
27/11/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis89-85
03/11/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis77-98
15/10/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai89-71
09/05/24Mazeikiai v Nevezis81-93
07/03/24Nevezis v Mazeikiai72-83
13/11/23Mazeikiai v Nevezis88-81
28/04/15Nevezis v Mazeikiai82-98
31/01/15Mazeikiai v Nevezis76-75
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/25HBC Wolves106-107
04/05/25ANeptunas90-96
29/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas88-105
26/04/25HJonava80-102
22/04/25ALietkabelis79-71
19/04/25ASiauliai91-96
15/04/25HLietkabelis97-82
12/04/25ABC Wolves99-94
05/04/25AMazeikiai101-71
29/03/25AJonava89-96
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/25HJonava86-107
03/05/25HJuventus85-94
30/04/25ASiauliai96-122
26/04/25HRytas81-113
24/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas63-109
19/04/25ALietkabelis69-90
16/04/25AJonava55-116
13/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-105
05/04/25HNevezis71-101
29/03/25AJuventus77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL31%
HomeWLWLL27%
AwayWLWLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %31%27%35%
Points / game89.887.492.0
Allowed / game89.988.890.9
Point differential-0.1-1.4+1.1
Avg total179.8176.2182.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %9%12%7%
Points / game79.281.177.1
Allowed / game98.397.199.7
Point differential-19.1-15.9-22.6
Avg total177.6178.2176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3230294%91.873.2+18.6
2 Rytas3327682%92.883.0+9.8
3 Jonava32191359%90.490.2+0.1
4 BC Wolves32171553%90.189.5+0.6
5 Lietkabelis33171652%83.281.8+1.4
6 Juventus33151845%84.787.0-2.3
7 Siauliai33132039%90.995.5-4.5
8 Neptunas32112134%83.888.4-4.6
9 Nevezis32102231%89.889.9-0.1
10 Mazeikiai323299%79.298.3-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis28292527109
Mazeikiai2515182280
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