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Neptunas vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-79
23-20 21-14 26-28 15-17
Position#7
Record11-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game88.7
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
Position#10
Record3-30
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game98.6
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v Mazeikiai
14 May 2025
NEP85
MAZ79
01 Feb 2025
NEP99
MAZ63
09 Oct 2024
NEP106
MAZ71
01 Apr 2024
NEP91
MAZ89
08 Nov 2023
NEP109
MAZ80
23 Oct 2023
NEP84
MAZ87
04 Jan 2015
NEP95
MAZ77
27 Sep 2014
NEP110
MAZ64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
97avg 80
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 80
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
85-97
85
97
-12
85avg 80
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
94-100
94
100
-6
92avg 80
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
79avg 80
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
89avg 80
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 80
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
97avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
49-84
49
84
-35
38avg 80
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 80
A11/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-27
24-34
22-21
35-16
14-26
20-24
34-21
24-14
18-22
23-15
23-30
21-30
24-36
18-17
20-25
32-22
16-30
24-21
22-26
23-26
28-26
19-19
14-27
29-23
24-27
23-19
16-18
16-20
27-20
20-18
21-26
28-26
7-20
8-27
18-22
16-15
21-25
21-27
21-26
21-18
178.3Avg total
85.1Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)83.888.7172.5-4.833%
Season at home (16)82.286.6168.8-4.331%
Season away (17)85.490.6176.0-5.335%
Last 10 (10)85.193.2178.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)79.689.8169.4-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.289.9169.2-10.719%
vs Similar (8)83.989.6173.5-5.812%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.579.7171.2+11.883%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
71-101
71
101
-30
64avg 71
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-105
80
105
-25
70avg 71
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
55-116
55
116
-61
42avg 71
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
67avg 71
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-109
63
109
-46
50avg 71
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-113
81
113
-32
72avg 71
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
96-122
96
122
-26
92avg 71
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
71avg 71
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
86-107
86
107
-21
71avg 71
H06/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
80-109
80
109
-29
61avg 71
A11/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-26
13-27
19-26
24-31
15-24
23-20
18-30
10-37
18-28
14-35
13-16
13-19
17-28
16-28
23-15
20-31
7-26
12-32
24-20
20-30
20-24
22-28
19-31
26-33
30-33
17-22
23-34
18-25
26-23
21-23
20-23
19-31
19-22
24-24
24-30
25-28
15-29
18-25
22-27
183.2Avg total
76.6Scored
106.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.398.6177.9-19.49%
Season at home (17)81.197.1178.2-15.912%
Season away (16)77.3100.3177.6-23.06%
Last 10 (10)76.6106.6183.2-30.00%
Last 5 (5)85.6109.0194.6-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)79.997.9177.8-18.020%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -6.4-6.4Q1: -9.1-9.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -8.4-8.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -4.7-4.7
NeptunasMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H12/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H27/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A30/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H04/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
15-47
15
47
-32
A07/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#4
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/05
LKL
87.5Avg total
39.5Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.644.984.4-5.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.843.083.8-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.247.085.2-8.814%-
Last 10 (10)39.548.087.5-8.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.685.2-6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.644.983.5-6.438%-
vs Similar (8)39.846.886.5-7.012%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.042.284.2-0.233%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
28-65
28
65
-37
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/05
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H06/05
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A11/05
LKL
93.1Avg total
38.1Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.547.986.4-9.513%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.344.283.5-4.921%-
Last 30 away (16)37.851.288.9-13.46%-
Last 10 (10)38.155.093.1-16.90%-
Last 5 (5)43.655.699.2-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.547.986.4-9.513%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.119.6
57.5%
55.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.2
34.7%
35.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
75.0%17.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
55.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.2
30.6%
35.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
75.0%13.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWLLLLLWL
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
#7
League position
#10
-10.2
Net rating
-38.0
108.9
Offensive rating
95.9
119.1
Defensive rating
133.9
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
60.3%
22.4%
Turnover %
22.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
30.6%
70.8%
Assist %
54.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 95.9Defence119.1 · 133.9Shooting55.1% · 50.6%3-point %34.7% · 30.6%Ball care22.4% · 22.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 26.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Neptunas   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Neptunas wins
3
Mazeikiai wins
DateGameScore
15/03/25Mazeikiai v Neptunas77-96
01/02/25Neptunas v Mazeikiai99-63
06/11/24Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-91
27/10/24Mazeikiai v Neptunas107-96
09/10/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai106-71
01/04/24Neptunas v Mazeikiai91-89
17/12/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas70-68
08/11/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai109-80
23/10/23Neptunas v Mazeikiai84-87
11/10/23Mazeikiai v Neptunas86-87 OT
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25ABC Wolves84-96
07/05/25AZalgiris Kaunas49-84
04/05/25HNevezis96-90
30/04/25ALietkabelis79-84
27/04/25HSiauliai90-95
24/04/25ARytas85-103
21/04/25AJuventus94-100
15/04/25HBC Wolves85-97
12/04/25HRytas92-85
05/04/25HJonava97-98
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25ANevezis80-109
06/05/25HJonava86-107
03/05/25HJuventus85-94
30/04/25ASiauliai96-122
26/04/25HRytas81-113
24/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas63-109
19/04/25ALietkabelis69-90
16/04/25AJonava55-116
13/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-105
05/04/25HNevezis71-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWLLW31%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%31%35%
Points / game83.882.285.4
Allowed / game88.786.690.6
Point differential-4.8-4.3-5.3
Avg total172.5168.8176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %9%12%6%
Points / game79.381.177.3
Allowed / game98.697.1100.3
Point differential-19.4-15.9-23.0
Avg total177.9178.2177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3432294%91.773.5+18.2
2 Rytas3428682%93.183.4+9.7
3 Jonava34191556%89.489.7-0.3
4 Lietkabelis34181653%82.881.4+1.4
5 BC Wolves34181653%89.889.3+0.5
6 Juventus34161847%85.287.1-2.0
7 Siauliai34132138%91.195.7-4.6
8 Neptunas33112233%83.888.7-4.8
9 Nevezis34112332%90.489.9+0.5
10 Mazeikiai333309%79.398.6-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2321261585
Mazeikiai2014281779
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