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Mazeikiai vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-107
19-31 19-22 24-24 24-30
Position#10
Record3-28
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game98.0
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record18-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.8
Allowed / game90.4
LithuaniaLKL· Telsiu sporto arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Jonava
06 May 2025
MAZ86
JON107
05 Jan 2025
MAZ72
JON83
11 Dec 2024
MAZ78
JON76
14 Apr 2024
MAZ62
JON79
23 Sep 2023
MAZ79
JON82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
69-102
69
102
-33
58avg 70
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 70
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
71-101
71
101
-30
64avg 70
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-105
80
105
-25
70avg 70
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
55-116
55
116
-61
42avg 70
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
67avg 70
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-109
63
109
-46
50avg 70
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
81-113
81
113
-32
72avg 70
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
96-122
96
122
-26
92avg 70
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
85-94
85
94
-9
71avg 70
H03/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
22-27
19-27
15-22
16-22
26-20
13-21
22-17
21-22
18-26
13-27
19-26
24-31
15-24
23-20
18-30
10-37
18-28
14-35
13-16
13-19
17-28
16-28
23-15
20-31
7-26
12-32
24-20
20-30
20-24
22-28
19-31
26-33
30-33
17-22
23-34
18-25
26-23
21-23
20-23
177.8Avg total
74.6Scored
103.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.098.0177.1-19.010%
Season at home (16)80.896.4177.2-15.612%
Season away (15)77.199.7176.9-22.67%
Last 10 (10)74.6103.2177.8-28.60%
Last 5 (5)78.8105.6184.4-26.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)79.397.0176.3-17.720%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 80
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
96-89
96
89
+7
88avg 80
H29/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
98-97
98
97
+1
92avg 80
A05/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
102avg 80
A13/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
116-55
116
55
+61
106avg 80
H16/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
99-104
99
104
-5
82avg 80
H21/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
78-72
78
72
+6
78avg 80
H23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-80
102
80
+22
105avg 80
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
82-112
82
112
-30
70avg 80
A29/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
106-101
106
101
+5
97avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
17-19
23-27
27-14
21-17
31-20
20-26
24-26
27-16
34-24
21-22
16-35
22-24
16-24
25-25
33-23
37-10
28-18
35-14
16-13
29-26
25-30
21-28
24-20
24-16
23-17
13-25
18-14
22-22
17-19
30-22
33-17
22-32
31-27
4-24
25-29
29-22
29-24
23-24
25-31
189.0Avg total
98.4Scored
90.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)89.890.4180.2-0.558%
Season at home (16)91.488.4179.8+3.062%
Season away (15)88.292.5180.7-4.353%
Last 10 (10)98.490.6189.0+7.880%
Last 5 (5)93.493.8187.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.695.1179.7-10.633%
vs Similar (17)91.491.2182.6+0.165%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.273.0164.2+18.275%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.5-9.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -9.3-9.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.5-9.5Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -9.3-9.3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: +1.9+1.9
MazeikiaiJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A22/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A29/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H13/04
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
28-65
28
65
-37
A16/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A24/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H26/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A30/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H03/05
LKL
91.5Avg total
38.0Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.147.685.8-9.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.744.583.1-5.820%-
Last 30 away (15)37.650.888.4-13.27%-
Last 10 (10)38.053.591.5-15.50%-
Last 5 (5)39.454.493.8-15.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)38.147.685.8-9.513%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H22/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H29/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A05/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A13/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
65-28
65
28
+37
H16/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H21/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H23/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A29/04
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H04/05
LKL
94.3Avg total
50.9Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.887.0-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.543.690.1+2.950%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.984.3-3.625%-
Last 10 (10)50.943.494.3+7.550%-
Last 5 (5)50.247.097.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.347.387.7-7.011%-
vs Similar (17)45.144.589.6+0.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.833.074.8+8.850%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.6
51.1%
55.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
35.9%21.9
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
75.0%14.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.1
55.0%
55.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.811.8
42.4%
35.9%35.4
🏀 Free throws24.618.4
74.8%
75.0%18.4
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLLLLLLLL
Jonava
WLWWLWWWWW
#10
League position
#5
-37.5
Net rating
+10.8
95.8
Offensive rating
123.0
133.2
Defensive rating
112.2
49.0%
Effective FG%
58.5%
59.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
22.8%
Turnover %
16.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.5%
3-point %
42.4%
57.1%
Assist %
56.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 123.0Defence133.2 · 112.2Shooting49.0% · 58.5%3-point %30.5% · 42.4%Ball care22.8% · 16.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 33.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mazeikiai wins
6
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Jonava v Mazeikiai116-55
05/01/25Mazeikiai v Jonava72-83
11/12/24Mazeikiai v Jonava78-76
31/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai89-74
19/10/24Jonava v Mazeikiai103-83
14/04/24Mazeikiai v Jonava62-79
03/02/24Jonava v Mazeikiai87-96
23/09/23Mazeikiai v Jonava79-82
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25HJuventus85-94
30/04/25ASiauliai96-122
26/04/25HRytas81-113
24/04/25AZalgiris Kaunas63-109
19/04/25ALietkabelis69-90
16/04/25AJonava55-116
13/04/25HZalgiris Kaunas80-105
05/04/25HNevezis71-101
29/03/25AJuventus77-80
22/03/25ARytas69-102
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HSiauliai106-101
29/04/25ARytas82-112
26/04/25ANevezis102-80
23/04/25HJuventus78-72
21/04/25HRytas99-104
16/04/25HMazeikiai116-55
13/04/25AJuventus115-109 OT
05/04/25ANeptunas98-97
29/03/25HNevezis96-89
22/03/25HLietkabelis92-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLLLL12%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %10%12%7%
Points / game79.080.877.1
Allowed / game98.096.499.7
Point differential-19.0-15.6-22.6
Avg total177.1177.2176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Jonava
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLWWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %58%62%53%
Points / game89.891.488.2
Allowed / game90.488.492.5
Point differential-0.5+3.0-4.3
Avg total180.2179.8180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)62% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3129294%92.174.0+18.1
2 Rytas3125681%92.583.1+9.4
3 Jonava31181358%89.890.4-0.5
4 Lietkabelis32171553%83.581.5+2.0
5 BC Wolves31161552%89.589.0+0.5
6 Juventus31141745%84.086.7-2.8
7 Siauliai32131941%91.395.3-4.0
8 Neptunas31112035%85.088.6-3.6
9 Nevezis31102132%89.389.4-0.0
10 Mazeikiai3132810%79.098.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mazeikiai1919242486
Jonava31222430107
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