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Mega Basket vs KK Metalac Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 88-77
19-16 26-19 32-20 11-22
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game74.0
Mega Basket 🏆
Serbia
vs
KK Metalac
Serbia
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game80.0
SerbiaSuper LeagueRound 3· Hala sportova Ranko
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Metalac winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
84avg 77
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 77
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 77
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 77
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
80avg 77
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 77
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
52avg 77
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
76avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 77
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
H07/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-15
19-17
29-22
22-27
26-15
28-22
17-22
17-28
18-16
31-16
20-20
23-20
20-21
26-26
21-18
19-25
17-26
17-21
25-15
24-24
14-30
26-14
12-17
11-26
23-17
18-19
18-23
22-14
15-35
18-28
22-17
20-15
23-19
22-16
18-24
19-15
27-14
14-26
20-27
165.8Avg total
82.2Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.283.6165.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)77.284.0161.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.888.1162.8-13.38%
vs Similar (9)91.884.1175.9+7.778%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)91.682.0173.6+9.675%
This opponent (KK Metalac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK MetalacSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMetalac
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
A16/02
Korac cup
Dunav
#16
W
98-83
98
83
+15
no box
H01/03
First League
OKK Beograd
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
A07/03
First League
Mladost Zemun
#10
W
82-64
82
64
+18
no box
H11/03
First League
Vrsac
#8
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A19/03
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#13
L
97-99
97
99
-2
no box
H25/03
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
no box
A02/04
First League
Sloga
#9
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H08/04
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
66-121
66
121
-55
no box
A19/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
L
76-80
76
80
-4
71avg 71
H27/04
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
22-23
24-18
18-24
23-22
21-21
32-17
22-23
19-26
21-15
10-26
18-12
22-13
20-22
21-22
19-7
23-28
24-14
13-25
22-19
20-25
25-26
29-25
23-23
21-22
11-19
16-20
26-30
29-12
15-18
16-20
24-23
21-27
18-32
16-34
11-28
22-17
22-19
16-17
16-27
167.0Avg total
80.3Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.386.7167.0-6.430%
Last 5 (5)79.492.8172.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)76.080.0156.0-4.00%
vs Similar (10)83.183.2166.3-0.150%
vs Weaker (18)87.577.7165.2+9.872%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
Mega BasketKK Metalac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/05
Super League
Buducnost
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H07/05
ABA League
82.7Avg total
40.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.885.0-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.642.984.5-1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.044.585.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.682.7-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.881.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.946.984.8-9.08%-
vs Similar (9)42.442.184.6+0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.641.686.2+3.062%-
This opponent (KK Metalac) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK MetalacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A16/02
Korac cup
Dunav
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H01/03
First League
OKK Beograd
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/03
First League
Mladost Zemun
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H11/03
First League
Vrsac
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A19/03
First League
OKK Novi Pazar
#13
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/03
First League
Zlatibor
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/04
First League
Sloga
#9
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/04
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A19/04
First League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H27/04
Super League
83.8Avg total
41.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.038.882.9+5.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.535.980.4+8.593%-
Last 30 away (15)43.641.785.3+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.783.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)44.036.080.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (10)43.641.184.7+2.560%-
vs Weaker (18)44.837.282.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.2
55.9%
54.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.7
32.1%
34.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws23.916.9
70.7%
72.9%16.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Metalactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Metalac: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.024.0
57.1%
54.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.04.0
23.5%
34.3%12.0
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
72.9%16.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 10 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWLLLLWWWW
KK Metalac
LLWLLLWLWL
#5
League position
#8
-1.3
Net rating
-2.7
106.6
Offensive rating
103.5
107.9
Defensive rating
106.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
50.8%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
41.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
20.4%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.1%
3-point %
23.5%
60.2%
Assist %
39.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 103.5Defence107.9 · 106.3Shooting53.2% · 50.8%3-point %32.1% · 23.5%Ball care18.9% · 20.4%Off. rebounds30.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.39 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Mega Basket   ■ KK Metalac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Basket wins
0
KK Metalac wins
No previous meetings.
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23HBuducnost80-82
03/05/23AVojvodina Novi Sad83-74
28/04/23ABuducnost77-94
15/04/23ACedevita Olimpija70-85
08/04/23HBuducnost76-85
03/04/23HCrvena zvezda78-87
26/03/23HSplit90-85
19/03/23ABorac Mozzart86-80
12/03/23HMZT Skopje93-86
06/03/23HMornar Bar89-78
KK Metalaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23HVojvodina Novi Sad76-80
19/04/23ASpartak Subotica66-121
08/04/23HSloga84-73
02/04/23AZlatibor74-91
25/03/23HOKK Novi Pazar97-99
19/03/23AVrsac82-86
11/03/23HMladost Zemun82-64
07/03/23AOKK Beograd68-79
01/03/23HDunav98-83
16/02/23AFMP Beograd76-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
Super League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+9.0-+9.0
Avg total157.0-157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
KK Metalac
Super League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game76.076.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FMP Beograd330100%101.784.0+17.7
2 Mega Basket110100%83.074.0+9.0
3 OKK Beograd32167%89.779.3+10.3
4 Vojvodina Novi Sad21150%77.079.5-2.5
5 KK Metalac1010%76.080.0-4.0
6 Spartak Subotica2020%73.592.5-19.0
7 Zlatibor2020%78.5101.5-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1926321188
KK Metalac1619202277
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