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Buducnost vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-77
14-22 35-15 28-18 17-22
Position#3
Record18-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#6
Record12-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game85.9
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022
Meetings · Buducnost v Mega Basket
26 Dec 2025
BUD100
MEG82
11 May 2025
BUD96
MEG80
03 Nov 2024
BUD77
MEG69
28 Oct 2023
BUD73
MEG71
28 Apr 2023
BUD94
MEG77
25 Dec 2022
BUD79
MEG66
13 Feb 2022
BUD86
MEG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
83avg 75
A11/03
ABA League
Trento
#18
L
76-79
76
79
-3
35avg 75
A14/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#1
L
69-94
69
94
-25
55avg 75
H21/03
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
78avg 75
A25/03
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 75
A29/03
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
102avg 75
H03/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 75
A08/04
ABA League
Ulm
#6
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 75
A12/04
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
H15/04
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
69avg 75
H21/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
18-23
20-20
25-19
13-24
15-25
25-13
23-17
11-24
16-24
23-20
19-26
18-17
19-21
24-11
25-20
19-19
11-20
15-22
27-16
31-20
25-14
23-25
20-19
24-24
30-14
14-26
17-12
30-16
23-26
9-26
21-24
22-21
20-21
24-28
19-17
15-19
16-22
25-18
26-24
164.2Avg total
82.4Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)87.078.0165.0+9.169%
Season at home (13)84.671.2155.8+13.577%
Season away (13)89.584.8174.2+4.762%
Last 10 (10)82.481.8164.2+0.640%
Last 5 (5)86.883.2170.0+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.083.0157.0-9.025%
vs Similar (8)78.477.6156.0+0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.075.3163.3+12.782%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
84avg 77
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 77
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 77
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 77
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
80avg 77
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 77
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
52avg 77
A15/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
25-20
19-14
12-10
20-24
10-16
22-14
34-13
23-22
21-29
21-27
14-18
20-24
21-15
19-17
29-22
22-27
26-15
28-22
17-22
17-28
18-16
31-16
20-20
23-20
20-21
26-26
21-18
19-25
17-26
17-21
25-15
24-24
14-30
26-14
12-17
11-26
23-17
18-19
18-23
163.3Avg total
82.2Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.785.9170.7-1.246%
Season at home (13)84.584.9169.5-0.454%
Season away (13)84.986.9171.8-2.038%
Last 10 (10)82.281.1163.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)80.084.4164.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.888.8164.6-13.18%
vs Similar (10)90.284.4174.6+5.870%
vs Weaker (7)92.983.1176.0+9.771%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
BuducnostMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/03
ABA League
Trento
#18
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A14/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H21/03
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/03
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H03/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A08/04
ABA League
Ulm
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A12/04
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/04
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H21/04
ABA League
81.5Avg total
40.0Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.378.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.637.776.3+0.940%-
Last 30 away (15)42.538.881.3+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.581.5-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)47.239.486.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.840.073.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (8)38.938.577.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.538.080.5+4.553%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/04
ABA League
83.6Avg total
39.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.785.6-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.944.084.9-3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.945.386.2-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.383.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.246.683.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.648.486.0-10.80%-
vs Similar (10)41.942.384.2-0.460%-
vs Weaker (7)44.942.787.6+2.157%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.822.8
54.5%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.9
32.1%
35.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.7
75.4%
75.8%14.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.423.4
57.9%
55.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.3
36.0%
35.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.517.4
74.0%
75.8%17.4
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LLLWWLWLLW
Mega Basket
LLLWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#6
+0.0
Net rating
+3.8
112.9
Offensive rating
112.5
112.9
Defensive rating
108.7
52.4%
Effective FG%
56.6%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.5%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.1%
3-point %
36.0%
50.2%
Assist %
58.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 112.5Defence112.9 · 108.7Shooting52.4% · 56.6%3-point %32.1% · 36.0%Ball care15.0% · 18.5%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Buducnost   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Buducnost wins
1
Mega Basket wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Mega Basket v Buducnost76-85
25/12/22Buducnost v Mega Basket79-66
13/02/22Buducnost v Mega Basket86-69
07/11/21Mega Basket v Buducnost87-81
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/23HPartizan82-83
15/04/23HBorac Mozzart85-87
12/04/23AUlm83-92
08/04/23AMega Basket85-76
03/04/23HMornar Bar99-78
29/03/23ATurk Telekom72-77
25/03/23AStudentski Centar86-69
21/03/23HGran Canaria69-94
14/03/23ATrento76-79
11/03/23ACibona87-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23ACedevita Olimpija70-85
08/04/23HBuducnost76-85
03/04/23HCrvena zvezda78-87
26/03/23HSplit90-85
19/03/23ABorac Mozzart86-80
12/03/23HMZT Skopje93-86
06/03/23HMornar Bar89-78
18/02/23ACrvena zvezda79-96
17/02/23AFMP Beograd86-67
15/02/23HVojvodina Novi Sad75-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWWLL77%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%77%62%
Points / game87.084.689.5
Allowed / game78.071.284.8
Point differential+9.1+13.5+4.7
Avg total165.0155.8174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeWWWLL54%
AwayWWWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %46%54%38%
Points / game84.784.584.9
Allowed / game85.984.986.9
Point differential-1.2-0.4-2.0
Avg total170.7169.5171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%23%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2624292%93.277.9+15.3
2 Crvena zvezda2623388%87.072.7+14.3
3 Buducnost2618869%87.078.0+9.1
4 Cedevita Olimpija2617965%84.879.5+5.3
5 FMP Beograd26141254%90.086.3+3.6
6 Mega Basket26121446%84.785.9-1.2
7 Zadar26111542%85.885.9-0.2
8 Igokea26111542%80.584.2-3.7
9 Studentski Centar26111542%84.288.5-4.3
10 Split26101638%82.586.4-4.0
11 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
12 Mornar Bar2681831%83.391.3-8.1
13 Borac Mozzart2781930%83.189.4-6.3
14 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
15 Helios Domzale1010%78.096.0-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1435281794
Mega Basket2215182277
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