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Mega Basket vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-78
20-24 21-15 19-17 29-22
Position#6
Record8-11
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#14
Record6-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game91.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 20
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mega Basket v Mornar Bar
13 Oct 2024
MEG84
MBA59
11 Feb 2024
MEG101
MBA87
06 Mar 2023
MEG89
MBA78
20 Mar 2022
MEG70
MBA83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
74avg 76
H02/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 76
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
no box
A14/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
76avg 76
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
106-72
106
72
+34
116avg 76
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
74avg 76
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 76
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A18/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
23-22
18-18
24-28
18-19
19-18
19-22
21-13
24-28
19-21
27-22
32-31
24-20
16-18
17-20
23-19
28-18
30-19
29-13
19-22
17-28
20-37
20-20
21-18
21-19
29-30
28-16
25-18
19-18
25-20
19-14
12-10
20-24
10-16
22-14
34-13
23-22
21-29
21-27
14-18
171.8Avg total
88.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.386.7172.1-1.442%
Season at home (8)84.185.4169.5-1.250%
Season away (11)86.287.7173.9-1.536%
Last 10 (10)88.183.7171.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)84.282.2166.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.190.0165.1-14.914%
vs Similar (10)89.382.5171.8+6.870%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.683.6177.2+10.060%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
87-104
87
104
-17
74avg 72
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-100
79
100
-21
64avg 72
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
L
102-113
102
113
-11
90avg 72
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
77-97
77
97
-20
51avg 72
A15/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
68avg 72
H20/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
74-92
74
92
-18
69avg 72
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-94
74
94
-20
47avg 72
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-84
93
84
+9
91avg 72
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
W
103-98
103
98
+5
no box
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
L
80-100
80
100
-20
no box
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-37
23-18
23-29
28-20
17-28
21-19
24-30
17-23
24-18
29-33
25-25
24-37
16-23
18-30
15-25
28-19
26-15
16-21
22-20
19-25
26-28
15-13
21-30
12-21
21-29
16-20
21-19
16-26
27-26
19-20
22-22
25-16
25-29
20-20
19-25
39-24
25-17
20-27
17-29
18-27
181.5Avg total
85.2Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.191.6176.7-6.433%
Season at home (9)87.992.3180.2-4.444%
Season away (9)82.390.8173.1-8.422%
Last 10 (10)85.296.3181.5-11.130%
Last 5 (5)84.893.6178.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)84.895.4180.2-10.625%
vs Similar (17)80.880.3161.1+0.553%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Mega BasketMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/01
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
37-65
37
65
-28
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/02
Korac cup
87.7Avg total
42.3Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.785.8-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.542.482.8-1.945%-
Last 30 away (19)41.446.187.5-4.732%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.487.7-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.048.689.6-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.548.085.5-10.57%-
vs Similar (10)43.741.485.1+2.370%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.043.688.6+1.440%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
36-55
36
55
-19
H18/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A27/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H03/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A15/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H20/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A29/01
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A05/02
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H14/02
Montenegrin Cup
Buducnost
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A15/02
Montenegrin Cup
88.8Avg total
41.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.045.087.0-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.944.687.5-1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)41.245.386.5-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)41.747.188.8-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.888.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.948.389.2-7.433%-
vs Similar (17)42.542.484.9+0.153%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.519.5
54.9%
55.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.5
34.8%
35.2%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.6
74.3%
75.8%15.6
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.5
56.3%
55.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.1
29.8%
35.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.915.9
72.6%
75.8%15.9
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LWWWLWWWWL
Mornar Bar
LWWLLWLLLL
#6
League position
#14
-2.4
Net rating
-12.4
107.8
Offensive rating
111.1
110.2
Defensive rating
123.5
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.8%
3-point %
29.8%
65.4%
Assist %
51.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 111.1Defence110.2 · 123.5Shooting53.8% · 51.0%3-point %34.8% · 29.8%Ball care18.0% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 34.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
2
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
20/11/22Mornar Bar v Mega Basket85-101
20/03/22Mega Basket v Mornar Bar70-83
04/12/21Mornar Bar v Mega Basket79-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ACrvena zvezda79-96
17/02/23AFMP Beograd86-67
15/02/23HVojvodina Novi Sad75-62
11/02/23AStudentski Centar103-83
05/02/23HPartizan78-103
29/01/23ACibona106-72
23/01/23HZadar80-77
14/01/23AIgokea115-109 OT
08/01/23HFMP Beograd77-72
02/01/23HCedevita Olimpija82-96
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23ABuducnost80-100
14/02/23HStudentski Centar103-98
10/02/23HMZT Skopje93-84
05/02/23AStudentski Centar74-94
29/01/23APartizan74-92
20/01/23HCibona83-81
15/01/23AZadar77-97
03/01/23HFMP Beograd102-113
27/12/22ACedevita Olimpija79-100
18/12/22HBuducnost87-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW42%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %42%50%36%
Points / game85.384.186.2
Allowed / game86.785.487.7
Point differential-1.4-1.2-1.5
Avg total172.1169.5173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %11%12%9%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW33%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%44%22%
Points / game85.187.982.3
Allowed / game91.692.390.8
Point differential-6.4-4.4-8.4
Avg total176.7180.2173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2018290%95.077.3+17.6
2 Crvena zvezda1917289%87.571.5+16.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija1914574%87.879.5+8.3
4 Buducnost2014670%87.077.5+9.4
5 FMP Beograd2012860%89.685.7+3.9
6 Zadar2091145%87.488.0-0.6
7 Studentski Centar2091145%85.790.3-4.7
8 Mega Basket1981142%85.386.7-1.4
9 Split2081240%81.286.1-5.0
10 Cibona2081240%79.590.2-10.7
11 Mornar Bar1861233%85.191.6-6.4
12 Igokea1951426%81.587.9-6.4
13 Borac Mozzart2051525%79.888.8-9.1
14 MZT Skopje2041620%79.690.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2021192989
Mornar Bar2415172278
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