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Mega Basket vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-82
19-15 27-14 14-26 20-27
Position#6
Record12-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game86.2
vs
Position#3
Record19-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mega Basket v Buducnost
23 Nov 2025
MEG65
BUD98
16 May 2025
MEG87
BUD92
09 Mar 2025
MEG93
BUD79
28 Jan 2024
MEG72
BUD92
07 May 2023
MEG80
BUD82
08 Apr 2023
MEG76
BUD85
07 Nov 2021
MEG87
BUD81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
84avg 77
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 77
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 77
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
90avg 77
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
78-87
78
87
-9
80avg 77
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
70avg 77
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
70-85
70
85
-15
52avg 77
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
77-94
77
94
-17
76avg 77
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
83-74
83
74
+9
80avg 77
A03/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-29
21-27
14-18
20-24
21-15
19-17
29-22
22-27
26-15
28-22
17-22
17-28
18-16
31-16
20-20
23-20
20-21
26-26
21-18
19-25
17-26
17-21
25-15
24-24
14-30
26-14
12-17
11-26
23-17
18-19
18-23
22-14
15-35
18-28
22-17
20-15
23-19
22-16
18-24
167.1Avg total
82.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.486.2170.7-1.844%
Season at home (13)84.584.9169.5-0.454%
Season away (14)84.487.4171.8-3.136%
Last 10 (10)82.185.0167.1-2.950%
Last 5 (5)76.885.0161.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.388.6162.9-14.49%
vs Similar (10)90.284.4174.6+5.870%
vs Weaker (8)91.682.0173.6+9.675%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Trento
#18
L
76-79
76
79
-3
35avg 75
A14/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#1
L
69-94
69
94
-25
55avg 75
H21/03
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
86-69
86
69
+17
78avg 75
A25/03
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 75
A29/03
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
99-78
99
78
+21
102avg 75
H03/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 75
A08/04
ABA League
Ulm
#6
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 75
A12/04
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
no box
H15/04
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
82-83
82
83
-1
69avg 75
H21/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 75
H28/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
15-25
25-13
23-17
11-24
16-24
23-20
19-26
18-17
19-21
24-11
25-20
19-19
11-20
15-22
27-16
31-20
25-14
23-25
20-19
24-24
30-14
14-26
17-12
30-16
23-26
9-26
21-24
22-21
20-21
24-28
19-17
15-19
16-22
25-18
26-24
14-22
35-15
28-18
17-22
164.3Avg total
83.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)87.377.9165.2+9.470%
Season at home (14)85.371.6156.9+13.779%
Season away (13)89.584.8174.2+4.762%
Last 10 (10)83.181.2164.3+1.940%
Last 5 (5)85.883.0168.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.083.0157.0-9.025%
vs Similar (8)78.477.6156.0+0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.474.7162.1+12.782%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Mega BasketBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/03
ABA League
Split
#10
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/03
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H03/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H08/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A28/04
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A03/05
Super League
84.7Avg total
39.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.385.2-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.944.084.9-3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)41.044.585.5-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.884.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.646.283.8-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.248.585.7-11.40%-
vs Similar (10)41.942.384.2-0.460%-
vs Weaker (8)44.641.686.2+3.062%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#18
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A14/03
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#1
L
27-48
27
48
-21
H21/03
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/03
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#3
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A29/03
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H03/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A08/04
ABA League
Ulm
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A12/04
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H15/04
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H21/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
81.5Avg total
40.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.378.7+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.237.776.9+1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)41.639.080.6+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.881.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.840.085.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.840.073.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (8)38.938.577.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.238.180.2+4.153%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.622.8
57.6%
55.6%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.3
34.4%
35.2%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
75.8%16.0
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.5
55.7%
55.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.9
32.5%
35.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.2
75.1%
75.8%14.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLLLLWWWWL
Buducnost
WLLLWWLWLL
#6
League position
#3
+1.0
Net rating
+2.4
108.9
Offensive rating
113.6
107.8
Defensive rating
111.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.4%
3-point %
32.5%
57.1%
Assist %
49.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 113.6Defence107.8 · 111.3Shooting55.5% · 53.4%3-point %34.4% · 32.5%Ball care18.7% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 30.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
4
Buducnost wins
DateGameScore
28/04/23Buducnost v Mega Basket94-77
08/04/23Mega Basket v Buducnost76-85
25/12/22Buducnost v Mega Basket79-66
13/02/22Buducnost v Mega Basket86-69
07/11/21Mega Basket v Buducnost87-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/23AVojvodina Novi Sad83-74
28/04/23ABuducnost77-94
15/04/23ACedevita Olimpija70-85
08/04/23HBuducnost76-85
03/04/23HCrvena zvezda78-87
26/03/23HSplit90-85
19/03/23ABorac Mozzart86-80
12/03/23HMZT Skopje93-86
06/03/23HMornar Bar89-78
18/02/23ACrvena zvezda79-96
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/23HMega Basket94-77
21/04/23HPartizan82-83
15/04/23HBorac Mozzart85-87
12/04/23AUlm83-92
08/04/23AMega Basket85-76
03/04/23HMornar Bar99-78
29/03/23ATurk Telekom72-77
25/03/23AStudentski Centar86-69
21/03/23HGran Canaria69-94
14/03/23ATrento76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWWWLL54%
AwayWWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %44%54%36%
Points / game84.484.584.4
Allowed / game86.284.987.4
Point differential-1.8-0.4-3.1
Avg total170.7169.5171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%23%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Buducnost
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW70%
HomeWWLLW79%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %70%79%62%
Points / game87.385.389.5
Allowed / game77.971.684.8
Point differential+9.4+13.7+4.7
Avg total165.2156.9174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (2)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2624292%93.277.9+15.3
2 Crvena zvezda2724389%87.572.7+14.8
3 Buducnost2719870%87.377.9+9.4
4 Cedevita Olimpija28181064%85.380.2+5.0
5 FMP Beograd28151354%89.986.7+3.2
6 Mega Basket27121544%84.486.2-1.8
7 Igokea26111542%80.584.2-3.7
8 Studentski Centar26111542%84.288.5-4.3
9 Zadar27111641%85.386.4-1.1
10 Split26101638%82.586.4-4.0
11 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
12 Helios Domzale31233%84.098.0-14.0
13 Borac Mozzart2992031%84.289.2-5.1
14 Mornar Bar2681831%83.391.3-8.1
15 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1927142080
Buducnost1514262782
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