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Mega Basket vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 90-85
23-20 20-21 26-26 21-18
Position#6
Record11-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#10
Record9-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game86.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mega Basket v Split
20 Apr 2026
MEG95
SPL72
09 Feb 2025
MEG84
SPL82
31 Mar 2024
MEG92
SPL78
26 Mar 2023
MEG90
SPL85
12 Dec 2021
MEG78
SPL65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
76avg 77
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
106-72
106
72
+34
116avg 77
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
74avg 77
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 77
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
84avg 77
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
87avg 77
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-80
86
80
+6
80avg 77
A19/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
16-18
17-20
23-19
28-18
30-19
29-13
19-22
17-28
20-37
20-20
21-18
21-19
29-30
28-16
25-18
19-18
25-20
19-14
12-10
20-24
10-16
22-14
34-13
23-22
21-29
21-27
14-18
20-24
21-15
19-17
29-22
22-27
26-15
28-22
17-22
17-28
18-16
31-16
20-20
167.9Avg total
87.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.986.0171.9-0.150%
Season at home (10)85.584.7170.2+0.860%
Season away (12)86.287.1173.2-0.942%
Last 10 (10)87.580.4167.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)86.681.4168.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.888.2163.0-13.315%
vs Similar ◀ (9)90.284.3174.6+5.967%
vs Weaker (7)92.983.1176.0+9.771%
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
W
90-72
90
72
+18
90avg 71
A10/02
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
91-67
91
67
+24
no box
H13/02
Premijer liga
Gorica
#13
W
110-64
110
64
+46
no box
H16/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#1
L
95-96
95
96
-1
94avg 71
H04/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A05/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
104-71
104
71
+33
no box
A10/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
84-96
84
96
-12
69avg 71
A13/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 71
H17/03
ABA League
Zadar
#1
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
A20/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A24/03
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
30-14
23-16
18-26
21-22
28-21
19-13
23-11
28-11
26-12
32-21
24-20
24-27
23-21
24-23
24-25
23-16
26-14
22-17
21-19
26-10
24-17
32-23
22-21
18-16
25-28
26-29
15-23
28-28
25-14
20-18
18-20
16-20
25-24
18-24
25-15
23-24
15-18
22-24
28-14
170.4Avg total
92.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.786.3168.0-4.541%
Season at home (11)82.283.5165.7-1.445%
Season away (11)81.389.0170.3-7.736%
Last 10 (10)92.977.5170.4+15.480%
Last 5 (5)90.282.0172.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)84.890.0174.8-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.687.5173.1-1.962%
vs Weaker (16)90.173.7163.8+16.488%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +2.4+2.4
Mega BasketSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
37-65
37
65
-28
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H12/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/03
ABA League
87.0Avg total
42.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.485.1-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.242.382.5-2.250%-
Last 30 away (18)41.045.886.8-4.828%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.387.0-1.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.282.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.447.284.6-9.88%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.842.484.2-0.756%-
vs Weaker (7)44.942.787.6+2.157%-
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A10/02
ABA League
Alkar
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H13/02
Premijer liga
Gorica
#13
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H16/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#1
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H04/03
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A05/03
Premijer liga
Bosco
#11
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A10/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A13/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H17/03
ABA League
Zadar
#1
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A20/03
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A24/03
Premijer liga
84.6Avg total
47.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.986.0+4.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.939.284.1+5.854%-
Last 30 away (17)45.142.387.4+2.835%-
Last 10 (10)47.337.384.6+10.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.039.884.8+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.643.083.6-2.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.548.192.6-3.625%-
vs Weaker (16)46.836.383.1+10.569%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.5
56.7%
55.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.6
37.1%
35.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.016.4
71.3%
75.8%16.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.3
54.6%
55.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.4
32.6%
35.2%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.617.4
77.0%
75.8%17.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WWWLWWWLWW
Split
WWWLWWLWWW
#6
League position
#10
+4.8
Net rating
+0.4
112.7
Offensive rating
115.5
108.0
Defensive rating
115.1
56.3%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.1%
3-point %
32.6%
60.8%
Assist %
61.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 115.5Defence108.0 · 115.1Shooting56.3% · 52.6%3-point %37.1% · 32.6%Ball care17.0% · 13.4%Off. rebounds29.1% · 32.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
2
Split wins
DateGameScore
11/12/22Split v Mega Basket79-75
31/03/22Split v Mega Basket81-80
12/12/21Mega Basket v Split78-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23ABorac Mozzart86-80
12/03/23HMZT Skopje93-86
06/03/23HMornar Bar89-78
18/02/23ACrvena zvezda79-96
17/02/23AFMP Beograd86-67
15/02/23HVojvodina Novi Sad75-62
11/02/23AStudentski Centar103-83
05/02/23HPartizan78-103
29/01/23ACibona106-72
23/01/23HZadar80-77
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/23ADubrava88-80
20/03/23AZadar84-83
17/03/23HMornar Bar91-80
13/03/23AStudentski Centar84-96
10/03/23ABosco104-71
05/03/23AGKK Sibenka92-66
04/03/23HPartizan95-96
16/02/23HGorica110-64
13/02/23HAlkar91-67
10/02/23ACibona90-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLWWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %50%60%42%
Points / game85.985.586.2
Allowed / game86.084.787.1
Point differential-0.1+0.8-0.9
Avg total171.9170.2173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %9%10%8%
Split
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW41%
HomeWLWLW45%
AwayWLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%45%36%
Points / game81.782.281.3
Allowed / game86.383.589.0
Point differential-4.5-1.4-7.7
Avg total168.0165.7170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2119290%94.877.5+17.3
2 Crvena zvezda2118386%87.372.4+14.9
3 Buducnost2216673%86.977.4+9.5
4 Cedevita Olimpija2115671%86.679.9+6.7
5 FMP Beograd2213959%89.785.4+4.4
6 Mega Basket22111150%85.986.0-0.1
7 Zadar23101343%86.286.9-0.7
8 Studentski Centar23101343%84.789.9-5.2
9 Split2291341%81.786.3-4.5
10 Igokea2281436%80.885.7-4.9
11 Cibona2281436%79.990.0-10.2
12 Mornar Bar2171433%85.491.8-6.3
13 Borac Mozzart2361726%81.789.2-7.5
14 MZT Skopje2341917%80.090.8-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2320262190
Split2021261885
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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