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Mega Basket vs MZT Skopje Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 93-86
22-27 26-15 28-22 17-22
Position#6
Record9-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game86.3
Mega Basket 🏆
vs
MZT Skopje
Position#15
Record4-16
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game90.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MZT Skopje winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 76
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
115-109 OT
115
109
+6
no box
A14/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
76avg 76
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
106-72
106
72
+34
116avg 76
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
74avg 76
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
103-83
103
83
+20
99avg 76
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
75-62
75
62
+13
no box
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
84avg 76
H06/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
19-18
19-22
21-13
24-28
19-21
27-22
32-31
24-20
16-18
17-20
23-19
28-18
30-19
29-13
19-22
17-28
20-37
20-20
21-18
21-19
29-30
28-16
25-18
19-18
25-20
19-14
12-10
20-24
10-16
22-14
34-13
23-22
21-29
21-27
14-18
20-24
21-15
19-17
29-22
170.7Avg total
88.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.586.3171.8-0.845%
Season at home (9)84.784.6169.2+0.156%
Season away (11)86.287.7173.9-1.536%
Last 10 (10)88.881.9170.7+6.980%
Last 5 (5)86.477.2163.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.190.0165.1-14.914%
vs Similar (9)89.883.8173.6+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.882.7175.5+10.267%
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSkopje
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
L
85-103
85
103
-18
66avg 69
A28/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
64avg 69
H04/02
ABA League
Rabotnicki
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
H06/02
Prva Liga
Mornar Bar
#14
L
84-93
84
93
-9
76avg 69
A10/02
ABA League
FMP Akademija
#10
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
A13/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
TFT Skopje
#4
W
102-61
102
61
+41
no box
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Feniks 2010
#2
W
89-73
89
73
+16
no box
H18/02
Macedonian Cup
FMP Beograd
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
82avg 69
H03/03
ABA League
Strumica
#12
W
88-63
88
63
+25
no box
A06/03
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-36
19-26
17-24
21-17
19-21
22-14
15-17
23-22
23-22
21-19
22-16
25-30
26-27
20-19
22-22
16-25
26-25
31-15
21-16
24-30
28-18
21-15
16-12
15-23
28-18
25-13
28-16
21-14
28-14
20-23
23-24
18-12
13-17
22-21
30-18
22-26
25-17
21-22
20-10
22-14
167.7Avg total
88.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.690.3169.9-10.720%
Season at home (10)79.983.9163.8-4.040%
Season away (10)79.396.7176.0-17.40%
Last 10 (10)88.779.0167.7+9.780%
Last 5 (5)89.269.4158.6+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)81.690.8172.4-9.230%
vs Similar (5)80.891.6172.4-10.80%
vs Weaker (14)89.872.4162.2+17.493%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Mega BasketMZT Skopje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A14/01
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H23/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
58-37
58
37
+21
A29/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
37-65
37
65
-28
H05/02
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A11/02
ABA League
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H15/02
Korac cup
FMP Beograd
#4
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A17/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A18/02
Korac cup
Mornar Bar
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H06/03
ABA League
86.7Avg total
42.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.744.785.4-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (11)39.542.481.8-2.945%-
Last 30 away (19)41.446.187.5-4.732%-
Last 10 (10)42.444.386.7-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.485.2-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.548.085.5-10.57%-
vs Similar (9)42.841.784.4+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.342.887.2+1.550%-
This opponent (MZT Skopje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MZT SkopjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#8
L
47-62
47
62
-15
A28/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/02
ABA League
Rabotnicki
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/02
Prva Liga
Mornar Bar
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A10/02
ABA League
FMP Akademija
#10
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A13/02
Prva Liga
Kozuv
#8
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H16/02
Macedonian Cup
TFT Skopje
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H17/02
Macedonian Cup
Feniks 2010
#2
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H18/02
Macedonian Cup
FMP Beograd
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H03/03
ABA League
Strumica
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A06/03
Prva Liga
86.8Avg total
46.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.086.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.837.880.6+5.071%-
Last 30 away (13)45.847.493.2-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)46.640.286.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.681.8+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)39.145.184.2-6.030%-
vs Similar (5)44.048.692.6-4.640%-
vs Weaker (14)47.438.085.4+9.479%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.1
55.2%
55.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
35.2%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
75.8%15.0
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MZT Skopjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MZT Skopje: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.3
49.7%
55.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.9
34.0%
35.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.315.6
80.8%
75.8%15.6
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLWWWLWWWW
MZT Skopje
WWWWWWLWWL
#6
League position
#15
-2.5
Net rating
-16.8
107.8
Offensive rating
103.6
110.3
Defensive rating
120.5
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
34.0%
63.5%
Assist %
52.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 103.6Defence110.3 · 120.5Shooting54.4% · 50.2%3-point %35.4% · 34.0%Ball care18.4% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.6% · 22.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Mega Basket   ■ MZT Skopje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Basket wins
1
MZT Skopje wins
DateGameScore
27/11/22MZT Skopje v Mega Basket94-82
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/23HMornar Bar89-78
18/02/23ACrvena zvezda79-96
17/02/23AFMP Beograd86-67
15/02/23HVojvodina Novi Sad75-62
11/02/23AStudentski Centar103-83
05/02/23HPartizan78-103
29/01/23ACibona106-72
23/01/23HZadar80-77
14/01/23AIgokea115-109 OT
08/01/23HFMP Beograd77-72
MZT Skopjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/23AStrumica88-63
03/03/23HFMP Beograd87-82
18/02/23HFeniks 201089-73
17/02/23HTFT Skopje102-61
16/02/23HKozuv80-68
13/02/23AFMP Akademija102-86
10/02/23AMornar Bar84-93
06/02/23HRabotnicki91-87
04/02/23HCedevita Olimpija79-74
28/01/23AStudentski Centar85-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayLLWWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%56%36%
Points / game85.584.786.2
Allowed / game86.384.687.7
Point differential-0.8+0.1-1.5
Avg total171.8169.2173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%11%9%
MZT Skopje
ABA League 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW20%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game79.679.979.3
Allowed / game90.383.996.7
Point differential-10.7-4.0-17.4
Avg total169.9163.8176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2018290%95.077.3+17.6
2 Crvena zvezda1917289%87.571.5+16.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija1914574%87.879.5+8.3
4 Buducnost2115671%87.077.8+9.1
5 FMP Beograd2112957%88.785.3+3.4
6 Zadar2091145%87.488.0-0.6
7 Mega Basket2091145%85.586.3-0.8
8 Studentski Centar2091145%85.790.3-4.7
9 Split2081240%81.286.1-5.0
10 Cibona2181338%79.690.0-10.4
11 Mornar Bar1961332%84.791.4-6.7
12 Igokea2061430%81.287.0-5.8
13 Borac Mozzart2051525%79.888.8-9.1
14 MZT Skopje2041620%79.690.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket2226281793
MZT Skopje2715222286
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