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Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 77-72
18-19 19-18 19-22 21-13
Position#6
Record3-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#5
Record10-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game85.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2022
Meetings · Mega Basket v FMP Beograd
28 Mar 2026
MEG79
FBE84
18 May 2025
MEG81
FBE86
29 Sep 2024
MEG83
FBE80
14 Jan 2024
MEG86
FBE72
04 Jun 2023
MEG72
FBE75
08 Jan 2023
MEG77
FBE72
24 Oct 2021
MEG82
FBE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
no box
H23/10
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
75avg 73
A30/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
101avg 73
H06/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
101-85
101
85
+16
no box
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-94
82
94
-12
76avg 73
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
86-74
86
74
+12
82avg 73
H03/12
ABA League
Split
#10
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 73
A11/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
58-92
58
92
-34
50avg 73
A18/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 73
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
74avg 73
H02/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-34
26-22
18-18
24-17
26-25
13-25
19-22
18-14
20-15
18-17
32-16
31-26
31-24
19-21
27-18
24-22
21-25
17-15
23-28
21-26
20-21
25-8
24-21
17-24
19-25
20-26
14-15
22-13
16-25
17-19
18-18
7-30
16-19
18-21
17-21
15-18
17-28
23-22
18-18
24-28
167.9Avg total
82.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.787.1168.8-5.423%
Season at home (5)87.686.2173.8+1.440%
Season away (8)78.087.6165.6-9.612%
Last 10 (10)82.085.9167.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)73.484.0157.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.890.5164.2-16.88%
vs Similar (11)83.678.1161.7+5.564%
vs Weaker (7)87.481.9169.3+5.657%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 76
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 76
A06/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
101-97
101
97
+4
104avg 76
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 76
H27/11
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
no box
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
111-75
111
75
+36
no box
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 76
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-73
90
73
+17
82avg 76
H24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
113-102
113
102
+11
111avg 76
A03/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
15-27
22-17
15-15
21-31
32-15
18-16
25-29
20-24
23-16
27-19
20-26
33-24
22-29
24-13
22-31
24-15
17-30
23-16
25-16
20-20
33-27
14-28
30-28
35-19
28-22
21-18
27-16
17-21
18-24
12-28
39-17
22-21
18-9
31-24
19-19
18-24
33-29
25-25
37-24
182.6Avg total
95.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)93.585.3178.8+8.277%
Season at home (7)95.380.3175.6+15.0100%
Season away (6)91.391.2182.5+0.250%
Last 10 (10)95.087.6182.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)99.488.6188.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.084.7160.7-8.70%
vs Similar (4)89.887.5177.2+2.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.381.3173.6+11.085%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.8+3.8
Mega BasketFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#11
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H23/10
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A30/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A20/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A27/11
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H03/12
ABA League
Split
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A11/12
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A18/12
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H02/01
ABA League
84.2Avg total
40.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.583.5-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (11)41.139.780.8+1.445%-
Last 30 away (19)40.844.285.0-3.337%-
Last 10 (10)40.543.784.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.881.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.647.684.2-11.08%-
vs Similar (11)43.338.782.0+4.555%-
vs Weaker (7)44.739.984.6+4.971%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A24/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H29/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#15
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/11
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A03/01
ABA League
92.5Avg total
47.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.883.9+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.240.082.2+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)41.943.785.6-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)47.445.192.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.443.291.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.145.182.2-8.010%-
vs Similar (4)46.243.890.0+2.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.540.686.2+4.962%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.3
57.0%
55.6%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.9
27.1%
35.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.0
75.2%
75.8%17.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.3
53.2%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.011.6
48.3%
35.2%34.8
🏀 Free throws27.120.8
76.8%
75.8%20.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLLLWLWWLL
FMP Beograd
WWLWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#5
-6.3
Net rating
+9.7
105.2
Offensive rating
124.6
111.5
Defensive rating
115.0
50.3%
Effective FG%
60.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.45
27.1%
3-point %
48.3%
63.8%
Assist %
68.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 124.6Defence111.5 · 115.0Shooting50.3% · 60.9%3-point %27.1% · 48.3%Ball care17.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.4% · 36.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Mega Basket   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Basket wins
2
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
03/10/22FMP Beograd v Mega Basket90-76
29/01/22FMP Beograd v Mega Basket79-86
24/10/21Mega Basket v FMP Beograd82-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/23HCedevita Olimpija82-96
25/12/22ABuducnost66-79
18/12/22ACrvena zvezda58-92
11/12/22ASplit75-79
03/12/22HBorac Mozzart86-74
27/11/22AMZT Skopje82-94
20/11/22AMornar Bar101-85
06/11/22HStudentski Centar101-74
30/10/22APartizan76-86
23/10/22HCibona93-100 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/23AMornar Bar113-102
24/12/22HStudentski Centar90-73
19/12/22APartizan86-90
12/12/22HCibona111-75
02/12/22AZadar97-103
27/11/22HIgokea89-77
18/11/22HMZT Skopje101-97
06/11/22ACedevita Olimpija90-85
29/10/22HBuducnost96-91
24/10/22ACrvena zvezda77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL23%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %23%40%12%
Points / game81.787.678.0
Allowed / game87.186.287.6
Point differential-5.4+1.4-9.6
Avg total168.8173.8165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%100%50%
Points / game93.595.391.3
Allowed / game85.380.391.2
Point differential+8.2+15.0+0.2
Avg total178.8175.6182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%71%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1211192%85.769.6+16.1
2 Partizan1311285%90.876.8+14.0
3 Cedevita Olimpija1311285%90.077.8+12.2
4 FMP Beograd1310377%93.585.3+8.2
5 Buducnost149564%90.181.9+8.2
6 Zadar137654%89.289.8-0.5
7 Cibona136746%79.889.9-10.1
8 Igokea135838%83.485.8-2.4
9 Studentski Centar135838%81.889.5-7.8
10 Split145936%77.084.6-7.6
11 Mornar Bar134931%87.092.3-5.3
12 Mega Basket1331023%81.787.1-5.4
13 Borac Mozzart1431121%79.388.0-8.7
14 MZT Skopje1321115%80.589.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1819192177
FMP Beograd1918221372
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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